Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>You might have to go all the back to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guoco-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5290:1" rel="noopener">Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)</a>'s 2012/2013 unconditional cash offer, which was ostensibly blocked by First Eagle AND Elliott Advisors.</li>
<li>Otherwise, it's slim pickings. Past Schemes or Tender Offers arguably failed as minorities were simply not supportive. There are exceptions, like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soho-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4123:1" rel="noopener">Soho China (410 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">TCM (570 HK)</a>
</li>
<li>IF LVC wish to remain active in this space/region, they appear to be going about it in a counterproductive way. I still don't understand why they would want to block.</li>
</ul>


You might have to go all the back to Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)'s 2012/2013 unconditional cash offer, which was ostensibly blocked by First Eagle AND Elliott Advisors.
Otherwise, it's slim pickings. Past Schemes or Tender Offers arguably failed as minorities were simply not supportive. There are exceptions, like Soho China (410 HK) and TCM (570 HK)

IF LVC wish to remain active in this space/region, they appear to be going about it in a counterproductive way. I still don't understand why they would want to block.


Henlius (2696 HK): So, When Was The Last Time A PE/VC Outfit Blocked A Deal?

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NextDC in Australia has announced a significant $1.6 billion capital plan, with La Caisse increasing its investment stake.</li>
<li>In Singapore, SingHaiyi acquired a condo site for $692 million after its tender received no bids, indicating market challenges.</li>
<li>Dexus has paused its $780 million Melbourne tower project due to a sluggish office market, reflecting broader issues in the APAC real estate sector.</li>
</ul>


NextDC in Australia has announced a significant $1.6 billion capital plan, with La Caisse increasing its investment stake.
In Singapore, SingHaiyi acquired a condo site for $692 million after its tender received no bids, indicating market challenges.
Dexus has paused its $780 million Melbourne tower project due to a sluggish office market, reflecting broader issues in the APAC real estate sector.


Asia Real Estate Tracker (21-Apr-2026): Australia's NextDC announces $1.6B capital plan.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>Almost a year in, Changhong Group has yet to secure the regulatory approvals for its HK$1.223 scheme offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/changhong-jiahua-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5849:1" rel="noopener">Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>The offer will be effectively blocked, not by a Sichuan NDRC/Commerce rejection with stated reasons, but by the approval process failing to conclude by the 20 September long stop date.</li>
<li>On a deal break, I expect little-to-no downside due to improving fundamentals, significant peer re-rating and significant discount to the undisturbed price. </li>
</ul>


Almost a year in, Changhong Group has yet to secure the regulatory approvals for its HK$1.223 scheme offer for Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK).
The offer will be effectively blocked, not by a Sichuan NDRC/Commerce rejection with stated reasons, but by the approval process failing to conclude by the 20 September long stop date.
On a deal break, I expect little-to-no downside due to improving fundamentals, significant peer re-rating and significant discount to the undisturbed price. 


Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): The Upcoming Long Stop Date Sets the Pretext for a Deal Break

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: How China is trying to get debt dodgers to pay up</li><li>Record numbers apply for China’s teachers exam amid bleak job market</li><li>Trending in China: Good samaritans ‘coldly’ told to self-isolate after helping with overturned ambulance</li></ul>

In Depth: How China is trying to get debt dodgers to pay upRecord numbers apply for China’s teachers exam amid bleak job marketTrending in China: Good samaritans ‘coldly’ told to self-isolate after helping with overturned ambulance

CX Daily: How China Is Trying To Get Debt Dodgers To Pay Up

<ul>
<li>As discussed in <a href="https://skr.ma/y2J0O" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Z Fin (1168 HK)'s Suspension: Expect Ou To Make An Offer</a>, following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-fin-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9999:1" rel="noopener">Z Fin (1168 HK)</a>'s suspension, an Offer from Ou Yaping, Z Fin's founder, was expected.</li>
<li>And that is what unfolded late last night (21st July). Ou is Offering HK$6.60/share, by way of a Scheme. Terms are final.</li>
<li>Terms are a 61.37% premium to undisturbed. Yet a 72.13% discount to NAV. Minorities are somewhat active looking at recent AGM voting. Yet terms are fair to listed peers. </li>
</ul>


As discussed in Z Fin (1168 HK)'s Suspension: Expect Ou To Make An Offer, following Z Fin (1168 HK)'s suspension, an Offer from Ou Yaping, Z Fin's founder, was expected.
And that is what unfolded late last night (21st July). Ou is Offering HK$6.60/share, by way of a Scheme. Terms are final.
Terms are a 61.37% premium to undisturbed. Yet a 72.13% discount to NAV. Minorities are somewhat active looking at recent AGM voting. Yet terms are fair to listed peers. 


Z Fin (1168 HK): Ou's "Fair" HK$6.60/Share Offer

China

SOHO China is a building developer focused on developing and holding high-profile branded commercial properties, primarily offices, in Beijing and Shanghai, China. The company also provides leasing and property management services for its real estate portfolio. It was founded in Beijing, China, in 1995.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

SOHO China (410 HK)

Henlius (2696 HK): So, When Was The Last Time A PE/VC Outfit Blocked A Deal?

PE and/or a VC outfit blocking deals are rare. Which may suggest LVC doesn't want that moniker. You could therefore, extrapolate that line of...

David Blennerhassett

Asia Real Estate Tracker (21-Apr-2026): Australia's NextDC announces $1.6B capital plan.

Australia's NextDC announces a $1.6B capital plan, while SingHaiyi acquires a condo site for $692M; Dexus pauses a $780M project amid market...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): The Upcoming Long Stop Date Sets the Pretext for a Deal Break

As expected, the scheme lapsed because Sichuan NDRC/Commerce approvals were not obtained by the 20 September Long Stop Date, which was not...

Arun George

CX Daily: How China Is Trying To Get Debt Dodgers To Pay Up

In Depth: How China is trying to get debt dodgers to pay up. Record numbers apply for China’s teachers exam amid bleak job market

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Henlius (2696 HK): So, When Was The Last Time A PE/VC Outfit Blocked A Deal?

PE and/or a VC outfit blocking deals are rare. Which may suggest LVC doesn't want that moniker. You could therefore, extrapolate that line of...

David Blennerhassett

Asia Real Estate Tracker (21-Apr-2026): Australia's NextDC announces $1.6B capital plan.

Australia's NextDC announces a $1.6B capital plan, while SingHaiyi acquires a condo site for $692M; Dexus pauses a $780M project amid market...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): The Upcoming Long Stop Date Sets the Pretext for a Deal Break

As expected, the scheme lapsed because Sichuan NDRC/Commerce approvals were not obtained by the 20 September Long Stop Date, which was not...

Arun George

CX Daily: How China Is Trying To Get Debt Dodgers To Pay Up

In Depth: How China is trying to get debt dodgers to pay up. Record numbers apply for China’s teachers exam amid bleak job market

Caixin Global

Z Fin (1168 HK): Ou's "Fair" HK$6.60/Share Offer

This is an awful space to invest. 0.28x P/B appears a steal; but it's above the peer average. If illiquid arbs are your thing, pay up to HK$6.25...

David Blennerhassett