Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<div>
<p>Back on the 27 July, Chinese search-engine <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sogou-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25996:1" rel="noopener">Sogou Inc (SOGO US)</a>, majority-owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sohu-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22853:1" rel="noopener">Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US)</a>  and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="http://app.quotemedia.com/data/downloadFiling?webmasterId=101533&amp;ref=115257193&amp;type=PDF&amp;symbol=SOGO&amp;companyName=Sogou+Inc.+American+Depositary+Shares+each+representing+one+Class+A&amp;formType=6-K&amp;dateFiled=2020-09-29&amp;CK=1713947" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered</a> into a definitive agreement for a "Going-Private Transaction" at US$9/share.</p>
<p>Additionally, Sohu entered into a SPA with Tencent concerning its stake in Sogou, which would result in Tencent holding not less than 90% of the voting power in Sogou. Therefore the Merger would be a short-form merger - there is no vote. Dissenting rights will, however, now be afforded following the Grand Court of  Cayman Islands ruling handed down on the 28 January this year and discussed in <em><a href="https://skr.ma/H7E1t" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Changyou (CYOU US): Short-Form Merger Dissent Now Permitted</a></em>. Sohu's privatisation of Changyou competed on the 17 April.</p>
</div><div>
<p>The deal appeared to be a lock, until Sogou's 1 December <a href="http://app.quotemedia.com/data/downloadFiling?webmasterId=101533&amp;ref=115473750&amp;type=PDF&amp;symbol=SOGO&amp;companyName=Sogou+Inc.+American+Depositary+Shares+each+representing+one+Class+A&amp;formType=SC+13E3%2FA&amp;dateFiled=2020-12-01&amp;CK=1713947" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SEC filing</a>, wherein the termination date for the SPA was pushed out to 31 July, from 29 March previously, to allow clearance from the PRC regulatory authorities, specifically State Administration for Market Regulation or SAMR.</p>
<p>What seemed an ample extension at the time now appears less assured as SAMR bears down on the tech sector. </p>
<p>This muddies when (and potentially if) the merger goes through. Plus the knock-on effect to Sohu which would pocket ~US$1.2bn under the merger compared to its current maker cap of ~US$0.7bn.</p>
<p>But Tencent is unlikely to walk - not at this Offer price. </p>
</div><div><p>More below the fold.</p></div>


Back on the 27 July, Chinese search-engine Sogou Inc (SOGO US), majority-owned by Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US)  and Tencent Holdings (700 HK), entered into a definitive agreement for a "Going-Private Transaction" at US$9/share.
Additionally, Sohu entered into a SPA with Tencent concerning its stake in Sogou, which would result in Tencent holding not less than 90% of the voting power in Sogou. Therefore the Merger would be a short-form merger - there is no vote. Dissenting rights will, however, now be afforded following the Grand Court of  Cayman Islands ruling handed down on the 28 January this year and discussed in Changyou (CYOU US): Short-Form Merger Dissent Now Permitted. Sohu's privatisation of Changyou competed on the 17 April.

The deal appeared to be a lock, until Sogou's 1 December SEC filing, wherein the termination date for the SPA was pushed out to 31 July, from 29 March previously, to allow clearance from the PRC regulatory authorities, specifically State Administration for Market Regulation or SAMR.
What seemed an ample extension at the time now appears less assured as SAMR bears down on the tech sector. 
This muddies when (and potentially if) the merger goes through. Plus the knock-on effect to Sohu which would pocket ~US$1.2bn under the merger compared to its current maker cap of ~US$0.7bn.
But Tencent is unlikely to walk - not at this Offer price. 
More below the fold.

Sohu/Sogou: Persuasive Situation Amid Ongoing Antitrust Investigations

<p>On the 24 January last year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/changyou-com-ltd-ads" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19287:1" rel="noopener">Changyou.com (CYOU US)</a> <a href="http://ir.changyou.com/file/New-Comet-20200124.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered</a> into a definitive agreement with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sohu-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22853:1" rel="noopener">Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US)</a> at US$5.40/share, or US$10.80/ADS in cash. On the 14 April,  Sohu <a href="http://investors.sohu.com/static-files/4f6c805d-a81c-4799-a043-3d163d5702e7" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> the filing of the definitive plan of merger.</p>
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<p>Sohu held 67.4% of shares out in Changyou via its A and B shares and 95.3% of the voting rights given the disproportionate voting power of the B shares. As Sohu held &gt;90% of the votes, the Offer was in the form of a short-form statutory merger under Cayman Law - i.e. approval from Changyou's shareholders was not required. No vote, no dissent. Done deal.</p>
<p><em><strong>But wait ...</strong></em></p>
<p>In a ruling handed down on the 28 January, the Grand Court of the Cayman Islands concluded that shareholders of companies that undertake a 'short-form' merger <em>are</em> entitled to dissent. </p>
<blockquote>
<p>It would be absurd to exclude a dissentient member of a company subject to short-form merger from the protection of section 238 simply because, unlike in the case of a long-form merger, that member is not allowed to vote.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The ruling has wide-ranging implications.</p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>

On the 24 January last year, Changyou.com (CYOU US) entered into a definitive agreement with Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US) at US$5.40/share, or US$10.80/ADS in cash. On the 14 April,  Sohu announced the filing of the definitive plan of merger.

Sohu held 67.4% of shares out in Changyou via its A and B shares and 95.3% of the voting rights given the disproportionate voting power of the B shares. As Sohu held &gt;90% of the votes, the Offer was in the form of a short-form statutory merger under Cayman Law - i.e. approval from Changyou's shareholders was not required. No vote, no dissent. Done deal.
But wait ...
In a ruling handed down on the 28 January, the Grand Court of the Cayman Islands concluded that shareholders of companies that undertake a 'short-form' merger are entitled to dissent. 

It would be absurd to exclude a dissentient member of a company subject to short-form merger from the protection of section 238 simply because, unlike in the case of a long-form merger, that member is not allowed to vote.

The ruling has wide-ranging implications.
More below the fold.


Changyou (CYOU US): Short-Form Merger Dissent Now Permitted

<div>
<p>On the 29 September Back on the 27 July, Chinese search-engine <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sogou-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25996:1" rel="noopener">Sogou Inc (SOGO US)</a>, majority-owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sohu-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22853:1" rel="noopener">Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US)</a>  and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="http://app.quotemedia.com/data/downloadFiling?webmasterId=101533&amp;ref=115257193&amp;type=PDF&amp;symbol=SOGO&amp;companyName=Sogou+Inc.+American+Depositary+Shares+each+representing+one+Class+A&amp;formType=6-K&amp;dateFiled=2020-09-29&amp;CK=1713947" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered</a> into a definitive agreement for a Going-Private Transaction at US$9/share.</p>
<p>In addition, Sohu entered into a share purchase agreement with Tencent concerning its stake in Sogou, the completion of which will result in Tencent holding not less than 90% of the voting power in Sogou. Therefore the Merger will be in the form of a short-form merger as per section 233(7) of the <a href="https://www.cima.ky/upimages/commonfiles/CompaniesLaw2020Revision_1579811065.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Companies Law of the Cayman Islands</a> - there is no vote. There are no dissenting rights.</p>
<p>That's about as clean a deal as you can get. But wait ...</p>
<p>On the 1 December, Sogou made an <a href="http://app.quotemedia.com/data/downloadFiling?webmasterId=101533&amp;ref=115473750&amp;type=PDF&amp;symbol=SOGO&amp;companyName=Sogou+Inc.+American+Depositary+Shares+each+representing+one+Class+A&amp;formType=SC+13E3%2FA&amp;dateFiled=2020-12-01&amp;CK=1713947" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SEC filing</a>, with the following stated on page 34:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>In late November 2020, THL and Parent made an antitrust filing with relevant PRC regulatory authorities in connection with the Sohu Share Purchase and the Merger. Considering the time needed for the clearance of such filing, the parties decided to extend the termination date under the Sohu Share Purchase Agreement and the Merger Agreement. On December 1, 2020, (i) Sohu.com, Sohu Search, and Parent executed an Amendment No. 1 to Share Purchase Agreement, to <strong>extend the termination date under the Sohu Share Purchase Agreement from March 29, 2021 to July 31, 2021,</strong> and (ii) the Company, THL, Parent and TML executed an Amendment No. 1 to Agreement and Plan of Merger, to extend the termination date under the Merger Agreement from March 29, 2021 to July 31, 2021. (my emphasis)</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Shares are off ~2.3% following the announcement, and are now at a 4.4% gross spread to terms. </p>
<p>But isn't the anti-trust filing with the State Administration for Market Regulation a non-issue?</p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>
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<p></p>
</div>


On the 29 September Back on the 27 July, Chinese search-engine Sogou Inc (SOGO US), majority-owned by Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US)  and Tencent Holdings (700 HK), entered into a definitive agreement for a Going-Private Transaction at US$9/share.
In addition, Sohu entered into a share purchase agreement with Tencent concerning its stake in Sogou, the completion of which will result in Tencent holding not less than 90% of the voting power in Sogou. Therefore the Merger will be in the form of a short-form merger as per section 233(7) of the Companies Law of the Cayman Islands - there is no vote. There are no dissenting rights.
That's about as clean a deal as you can get. But wait ...
On the 1 December, Sogou made an SEC filing, with the following stated on page 34:

In late November 2020, THL and Parent made an antitrust filing with relevant PRC regulatory authorities in connection with the Sohu Share Purchase and the Merger. Considering the time needed for the clearance of such filing, the parties decided to extend the termination date under the Sohu Share Purchase Agreement and the Merger Agreement. On December 1, 2020, (i) Sohu.com, Sohu Search, and Parent executed an Amendment No. 1 to Share Purchase Agreement, to extend the termination date under the Sohu Share Purchase Agreement from March 29, 2021 to July 31, 2021, and (ii) the Company, THL, Parent and TML executed an Amendment No. 1 to Agreement and Plan of Merger, to extend the termination date under the Merger Agreement from March 29, 2021 to July 31, 2021. (my emphasis)

Shares are off ~2.3% following the announcement, and are now at a 4.4% gross spread to terms. 
But isn't the anti-trust filing with the State Administration for Market Regulation a non-issue?
More below the fold.





Sogou/Tencent: Anti-Trust Wobble As Deal Nears Finish Line

<div>
<p>Back on the 27 July, Chinese search-engine <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sogou-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25996:1" rel="noopener">Sogou Inc (SOGO US)</a>, majority-owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sohu-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22853:1" rel="noopener">Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US)</a>  and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="http://ir.sogou.com/2020-07-27-Sogou-Announces-Receipt-of-a-Preliminary-Non-Binding-Proposal-to-Acquire-the-Company" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it has received a preliminary non-binding proposal from Tencent to acquire all of its outstanding ordinary shares that are not already owned by Tencent, for US$9.00 in cash per ordinary share or ADS. The Offer price is a 57% premium to the undisturbed price and a two-year high.</p>
<p>Today Sogou <a href="http://app.quotemedia.com/data/downloadFiling?webmasterId=101533&amp;ref=115257193&amp;type=PDF&amp;symbol=SOGO&amp;companyName=Sogou+Inc.+American+Depositary+Shares+each+representing+one+Class+A&amp;formType=6-K&amp;dateFiled=2020-09-29&amp;CK=1713947" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered</a> into a definitive agreement for a Going-Private Transaction at the same Offer price of US$9/share.</p>
<p>Separately, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sohu-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22853:1" rel="noopener">Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US)</a> has entered into a share purchase agreement with Tencent concerning its stake in Sogou, the completion of which will result in Tencent holding not less than 90% of the voting power in Sogou.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>Therefore the Merger will be in the form of a short-form merger as per section 233(7) of the <em><a href="https://www.cima.ky/upimages/commonfiles/CompaniesLaw2020Revision_1579811065.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Companies Law of the Cayman Islands</a></em> - there is no vote. There are no dissenting rights.</p>
<p>Done deal - the Merger is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2020.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>


Back on the 27 July, Chinese search-engine Sogou Inc (SOGO US), majority-owned by Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US)  and Tencent Holdings (700 HK), announced it has received a preliminary non-binding proposal from Tencent to acquire all of its outstanding ordinary shares that are not already owned by Tencent, for US$9.00 in cash per ordinary share or ADS. The Offer price is a 57% premium to the undisturbed price and a two-year high.
Today Sogou entered into a definitive agreement for a Going-Private Transaction at the same Offer price of US$9/share.
Separately, Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US) has entered into a share purchase agreement with Tencent concerning its stake in Sogou, the completion of which will result in Tencent holding not less than 90% of the voting power in Sogou.


Therefore the Merger will be in the form of a short-form merger as per section 233(7) of the Companies Law of the Cayman Islands - there is no vote. There are no dissenting rights.
Done deal - the Merger is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2020.


More below the fold.


Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul class="">
<li>Alibaba (BABA)’s Taobao inflated audience for live broadcast.</li>
<li>SEC is investigating iQiyi for revenue inflation.</li>
<li>The merger of DouYu (DOYU) and Huya (HUYA) will come true as we had expected in April.</li>
<li>Baidu (BIDU), China Literature (772), and Sohu (SOHU) released 2Q20 results.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba (BABA)’s Taobao inflated audience for live broadcast.
SEC is investigating iQiyi for revenue inflation.
The merger of DouYu (DOYU) and Huya (HUYA) will come true as we had expected in April.
Baidu (BIDU), China Literature (772), and Sohu (SOHU) released 2Q20 results.


China Internet Weekly (17Aug2020): Top Broadcaster Said Taobao Lied, Probe and Rumor on IQ

China

Sohu.com Limited operates as an online media search and game service group company. The Company provides online brand advertising services on personal computers and mobile devices. Sohu.com serves clients in the People's Republic of China.

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Sohu.com (SOHU US)

Sohu/Sogou: Persuasive Situation Amid Ongoing Antitrust Investigations

Trading at a gross spread of 7.5%. Even assuming another six months out from here to complete the deal, that looks compelling. I still like Sohu...

David Blennerhassett

Changyou (CYOU US): Short-Form Merger Dissent Now Permitted

The Court rightfully concluded s.238 provides the right of dissent in a short-form merger. Offerors will now face the prospect of dissension from...

David Blennerhassett

Sogou/Tencent: Anti-Trust Wobble As Deal Nears Finish Line

The new SAMR rules came into effect this week. I suspect Tencent/Sohu are largely playing nice by proving an extended timetable to facilitate the...

David Blennerhassett

Sogou/Tencent: And That's A Wrap

Chinese search-engine Sogou Inc (SOGO US), majority-owned by Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US) and Tencent Holdings (700 HK), has announced it has received...

David Blennerhassett

China Internet Weekly (17Aug2020): Top Broadcaster Said Taobao Lied, Probe and Rumor on IQ

Alibaba (BABA)’s Taobao inflated audience for live broadcast. SEC is investigating iQiyi for revenue inflation. The merger of DouYu (DOYU) and...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Sohu/Sogou: Persuasive Situation Amid Ongoing Antitrust Investigations

Trading at a gross spread of 7.5%. Even assuming another six months out from here to complete the deal, that looks compelling. I still like Sohu...

David Blennerhassett

Changyou (CYOU US): Short-Form Merger Dissent Now Permitted

The Court rightfully concluded s.238 provides the right of dissent in a short-form merger. Offerors will now face the prospect of dissension from...

David Blennerhassett

Sogou/Tencent: Anti-Trust Wobble As Deal Nears Finish Line

The new SAMR rules came into effect this week. I suspect Tencent/Sohu are largely playing nice by proving an extended timetable to facilitate the...

David Blennerhassett

Sogou/​Tencent: And That's A Wrap

Chinese search-engine Sogou Inc (SOGO US), majority-owned by Sohu.com Inc (SOHU US) and Tencent Holdings (700 HK), has announced it has received...

David Blennerhassett

China Internet Weekly (17Aug2020): Top Broadcaster Said Taobao Lied, Probe and Rumor on IQ

Alibaba (BABA)’s Taobao inflated audience for live broadcast. SEC is investigating iQiyi for revenue inflation. The merger of DouYu (DOYU) and...

Ming Lu

Sogou/Tencent: And That's A Wrap