Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today is the last day of trading for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a> with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:564:1" rel="noopener">Sony Financial Group (8729 JP)</a> spin-off rights. SFGI starts trading separately on Monday 29 Sep.</li>
<li>The reference price is ¥150/share. It will likely stay in all major indices except Nikkei 225, and it likely needs low ¥160s to stay in M _ _ _. </li>
<li>The estimated Div Yield is higher on SFGI than peers by a fair ways, and looks to grow, and there is a big buyback to come. I like it.</li>
</ul>


Today is the last day of trading for Sony Corp (6758 JP) with Sony Financial Group (8729 JP) spin-off rights. SFGI starts trading separately on Monday 29 Sep.
The reference price is ¥150/share. It will likely stay in all major indices except Nikkei 225, and it likely needs low ¥160s to stay in M _ _ _. 
The estimated Div Yield is higher on SFGI than peers by a fair ways, and looks to grow, and there is a big buyback to come. I like it.


[Japan Event] Sony Financial Spin-Off Trades Monday - Fina(Ncia)L Thoughts

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:564:1" rel="noopener">Sony Financial Group (8729 JP)</a> started ToSTNeT-3 buybacks last week and did one this week to jumpstart the buyback, cushioning the Nikkei 225 deletion on 29 Sep and subsequent overhang.</li>
<li>In three ToSTNeT-3 buybacks in 6 trading days spending ¥28.9bn, the company bought back 177.513mm shares or 2.5% of shares out, or about 6.2% of Max Real World Float (MRWF).</li>
<li>With ¥71.1bn left, at last that's 460mm shares, or 16.2% of MRWF. Over 10mos that is 1.62%/month. That will boost Mar26 DPS, Mar27 DPS projections, EPS, etc.</li>
</ul>



Sony Financial Group (8729 JP) started ToSTNeT-3 buybacks last week and did one this week to jumpstart the buyback, cushioning the Nikkei 225 deletion on 29 Sep and subsequent overhang.
In three ToSTNeT-3 buybacks in 6 trading days spending ¥28.9bn, the company bought back 177.513mm shares or 2.5% of shares out, or about 6.2% of Max Real World Float (MRWF).
With ¥71.1bn left, at last that's 460mm shares, or 16.2% of MRWF. Over 10mos that is 1.62%/month. That will boost Mar26 DPS, Mar27 DPS projections, EPS, etc.


[Japan Event] Sony Financial (8729 JP) Moves On From ToSTNeT-3 Buybacks, Now In the Market

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:564:1" rel="noopener">Sony Financial Group (8729 JP)</a> listed on Monday with a "Reference Price of ¥150. It opened at ¥205, quickly running to ¥210, then fell to ¥198 by lunch. Close? ¥173.8.</li>
<li>That got a big ToSTNeT-3 buyback at ¥173.8. It traded lower on Day 2, closing at ¥164. Then lower still on Weds with another TN-3 buyback now ¥159.4. </li>
<li>Neither buyback was full. SFGI has bought back 124mm shares. But the stock has fallen hard. ADRs/ADSs start trading Tuesday. That could see more selling. </li>
</ul>



Sony Financial Group (8729 JP) listed on Monday with a "Reference Price of ¥150. It opened at ¥205, quickly running to ¥210, then fell to ¥198 by lunch. Close? ¥173.8.
That got a big ToSTNeT-3 buyback at ¥173.8. It traded lower on Day 2, closing at ¥164. Then lower still on Weds with another TN-3 buyback now ¥159.4. 
Neither buyback was full. SFGI has bought back 124mm shares. But the stock has fallen hard. ADRs/ADSs start trading Tuesday. That could see more selling. 


[Japan Event] Sony Financial (8729 JP) Overhang Hangs Over, Company Buys Back, ADR Selldown Awaits?

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing, Stock Spin-Off Investing

Richard Howe

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing

Stock Spin-Off Investing

Generate attractive returns by taking advantage of inefficiencies in the stock spin-off market.

Stock Spin-offs

<ul>
<li>This week, I published a deep dive into Sony’s upcoming spin-off of Sony Financial (SFGI/8729).</li>
<li>I will be watching the spin-off closely and hoping for selling pressure.</li>
<li>KBR, Inc. (KBR) announced on September 24, 2025 that it plans to spin off its Mission Technology Solutions (MTS) segment into a separate publicly traded company.</li>
</ul>


This week, I published a deep dive into Sony’s upcoming spin-off of Sony Financial (SFGI/8729).
I will be watching the spin-off closely and hoping for selling pressure.
KBR, Inc. (KBR) announced on September 24, 2025 that it plans to spin off its Mission Technology Solutions (MTS) segment into a separate publicly traded company.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ex-date for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:564:1" rel="noopener">Sony Financial Group (8729 JP)</a>'s spinoff from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a> is 29 September. There will be passive flows at the close on the day.</li>
<li>There will be no selling from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX Index</a> and Fglobal trackers. There will be selling from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> trackers and potentially from Mglobal trackers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:564:1" rel="noopener">Sony Financial Group (8729 JP)</a> has announced a buyback of up to 1bn shares (13.99% of shares out) over the next year and that will support the stock.</li>
</ul>


The ex-date for Sony Financial Group (8729 JP)'s spinoff from Sony Corp (6758 JP) is 29 September. There will be passive flows at the close on the day.
There will be no selling from the TOPIX Index and Fglobal trackers. There will be selling from Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) trackers and potentially from Mglobal trackers.

Sony Financial Group (8729 JP) has announced a buyback of up to 1bn shares (13.99% of shares out) over the next year and that will support the stock.


Sony Financial (8729 JP) Spinoff from Sony Group (6758 JP): Potential Index Flows

Japan

Sony Financial Group Inc. provides insurance services. The Company offers life and non-life insurance, banking, and other financial services. Sony Financial Group serves customers across worldwide.

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Sony Financial Group (8729 JP)

[Japan Event] Sony Financial Spin-Off Trades Monday - Fina(Ncia)L Thoughts

SFGI shares trading up vs reference. I had expected it to price in the ¥150-210 range (that range in my first and second piece). I said I was...

Travis Lundy

[Japan Event] Sony Financial (8729 JP) Moves On From ToSTNeT-3 Buybacks, Now In the Market

SFGI starts on-market buybacks, leaves ToSTNeT-3 backstop behind. Now it is 2mm shares a day or more of buying. If ending by end-March, is more...

Travis Lundy

[Japan Event] Sony Financial (8729 JP) Overhang Hangs Over, Company Buys Back, ADR Selldown Awaits?

Sony Financial shares opened high at +35% from the reference. Since then, it has been falling down the stairs. -28% from the opening print in 4...

Travis Lundy

Weekly Update (SFGI/8729, NLOP, KBR)

This week, I published a deep dive into Sony’s upcoming spin-off of Sony Financial (SFGI/8729). I will be watching the spin-off closely and hoping...

Richard Howe

Sony Financial (8729 JP) Spinoff from Sony Group (6758 JP): Potential Index Flows

Sony Financial starts trading today. Nikkei 225 index trackers will sell at the close and the buyback could mop up some of that selling.

Brian Freitas

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