Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>A global perspective on what happened overnight</li></ul>

A global perspective on what happened overnight

South32 Ltd - The Overnight Report: Tariff Truce's Soft Extension

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Zinc market tone for 2025 is cautious, with most producers guiding flat to lower volumes as concentrate supply remains tight and benchmark TCs hit 50-year lows.</li>
<li>Glencore, Teck, and South32 are dialing back output, while Korea Zinc is facing margin compression. Boliden is raising output via acquisitions and restarts, but still faces integration and cost risks.</li>
<li>Hindustan Zinc stands apart—delivering growth, industry-best 53% EBITDA margins, and sub-$1,000/t cost targets, making it a margin fortress in a soft market. </li>
</ul>


Zinc market tone for 2025 is cautious, with most producers guiding flat to lower volumes as concentrate supply remains tight and benchmark TCs hit 50-year lows.
Glencore, Teck, and South32 are dialing back output, while Korea Zinc is facing margin compression. Boliden is raising output via acquisitions and restarts, but still faces integration and cost risks.
Hindustan Zinc stands apart—delivering growth, industry-best 53% EBITDA margins, and sub-$1,000/t cost targets, making it a margin fortress in a soft market. 


Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In<a href="https://skr.ma/4E7Ql" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> Friendshoring Aussie Rare Earths</a>, I expected some critical mineral deals would be struck when Aussie PM Albanese and Trump met. And that is what unfolded.</li>
<li>The US and Australia will each "provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects in Australia and the U.S. over the next six months"</li>
<li>Separately, Albanese announced two priority projects in Australia, including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arafura-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16550:1" rel="noopener">Arafura Resources (ARU AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


In Friendshoring Aussie Rare Earths, I expected some critical mineral deals would be struck when Aussie PM Albanese and Trump met. And that is what unfolded.
The US and Australia will each "provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects in Australia and the U.S. over the next six months"
Separately, Albanese announced two priority projects in Australia, including Arafura Resources (ARU AU). 


The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: Friday’s sell-off occurred after the Australian market closed, but several ASX-listed companies were swept up in the decline through dual listings or U.S.-traded ADRs.</li>
<li>
This Insight looks at the impact on prominent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> constituents — including BHP, CSL, and major banks. While some companies showed limited movement, others, such as BHP, experienced sharper declines.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Understand where the Australian market might be headed when trading resumes after the weekend.</li>
</ul>



Context: Friday’s sell-off occurred after the Australian market closed, but several ASX-listed companies were swept up in the decline through dual listings or U.S.-traded ADRs.

This Insight looks at the impact on prominent S&amp;P/ASX 200 constituents — including BHP, CSL, and major banks. While some companies showed limited movement, others, such as BHP, experienced sharper declines.

Why Read: Understand where the Australian market might be headed when trading resumes after the weekend.


BHP (BHP AU/US) And Woodside (WDS AU/US) Slide as U.S. Sell-Off Spills Into Australian Stocks

<ul>
<li>
Timing:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortescue-metals-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41:1" rel="noopener">Fortescue (FMG AU)</a> is scheduled to report its FY2025 full-year results on Tuesday, 26 August 2025.</li>
<li>
Highlight: The options market provides estimates for the anticipated price move and the upcoming dividend. Implied volatility is projected to decline post-event; this Insight maps the resulting term structure.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Get the expected move, the dividend outlook, and a clear view of the post-event volatility term structure to be ready for results day.</li>
</ul>



Timing:Fortescue (FMG AU) is scheduled to report its FY2025 full-year results on Tuesday, 26 August 2025.

Highlight: The options market provides estimates for the anticipated price move and the upcoming dividend. Implied volatility is projected to decline post-event; this Insight maps the resulting term structure.

Why Read: Get the expected move, the dividend outlook, and a clear view of the post-event volatility term structure to be ready for results day.


Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook

Australia

South32 Limited operates as a diversified metals and mining company. The Company produces alumina, aluminum, coal, manganese, nickel, silver, lead, and zinc. South32 conducts business globally.

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South32 Ltd (S32 AU)

South32 Ltd - The Overnight Report: Tariff Truce's Soft Extension

A global perspective on what happened overnight

FNArena

Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Rahul Jain

The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals

Under this framework, the US and Oz will each "provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects...

David Blennerhassett

BHP (BHP AU/US) And Woodside (WDS AU/US) Slide as U.S. Sell-Off Spills Into Australian Stocks

Friday’s U.S. market rout pushed dual-listed Australian stocks lower, with BHP and Woodside among the biggest movers. US-traded ADRs and futures...

Gaudenz Schneider

Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook

Fortescue (FMG AU) to report FY2025 results on 26 August 2025. Options market anticipates price move, dividend outlook, and post-event volatility....

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

South32 Ltd - The Overnight Report: Tariff Truce's Soft Extension

A global perspective on what happened overnight

FNArena

Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

​2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Rahul Jain

The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals

Under this framework, the US and Oz will each "provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects...

David Blennerhassett

BHP (BHP AU/US) And Woodside (WDS AU/US) Slide as U.S. Sell-Off Spills Into Australian Stocks

Friday’s U.S. market rout pushed dual-listed Australian stocks lower, with BHP and Woodside among the biggest movers. US-traded ADRs and futures...

Gaudenz Schneider

Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook

​Fortescue (FMG AU) to report FY2025 results on 26 August 2025. Options market anticipates price move, dividend outlook, and post-event volatility....

Gaudenz Schneider

2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Fortescue (FMG AU) to report FY2025 results on 26 August 2025. Options market anticipates price move, dividend outlook, and post-event volatility....