Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>A global perspective on what happened overnight</li></ul>

A global perspective on what happened overnight

South32 Ltd - The Overnight Report: Tariff Truce's Soft Extension

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Zinc market tone for 2025 is cautious, with most producers guiding flat to lower volumes as concentrate supply remains tight and benchmark TCs hit 50-year lows.</li>
<li>Glencore, Teck, and South32 are dialing back output, while Korea Zinc is facing margin compression. Boliden is raising output via acquisitions and restarts, but still faces integration and cost risks.</li>
<li>Hindustan Zinc stands apart—delivering growth, industry-best 53% EBITDA margins, and sub-$1,000/t cost targets, making it a margin fortress in a soft market. </li>
</ul>


Zinc market tone for 2025 is cautious, with most producers guiding flat to lower volumes as concentrate supply remains tight and benchmark TCs hit 50-year lows.
Glencore, Teck, and South32 are dialing back output, while Korea Zinc is facing margin compression. Boliden is raising output via acquisitions and restarts, but still faces integration and cost risks.
Hindustan Zinc stands apart—delivering growth, industry-best 53% EBITDA margins, and sub-$1,000/t cost targets, making it a margin fortress in a soft market. 


Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global, Woodside Energy, National Australia Bank, Rio Tinto, CSL.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global, Woodside Energy, National Australia Bank, Rio Tinto, CSL.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Dec): Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD29.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD29.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 18th): Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In<a href="https://skr.ma/4E7Ql" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> Friendshoring Aussie Rare Earths</a>, I expected some critical mineral deals would be struck when Aussie PM Albanese and Trump met. And that is what unfolded.</li>
<li>The US and Australia will each "provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects in Australia and the U.S. over the next six months"</li>
<li>Separately, Albanese announced two priority projects in Australia, including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arafura-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16550:1" rel="noopener">Arafura Resources (ARU AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


In Friendshoring Aussie Rare Earths, I expected some critical mineral deals would be struck when Aussie PM Albanese and Trump met. And that is what unfolded.
The US and Australia will each "provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects in Australia and the U.S. over the next six months"
Separately, Albanese announced two priority projects in Australia, including Arafura Resources (ARU AU). 


The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals

Australia

South32 Limited operates as a diversified metals and mining company. The Company produces alumina, aluminum, coal, manganese, nickel, silver, lead, and zinc. South32 conducts business globally.

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South32 Ltd (S32 AU)

South32 Ltd - The Overnight Report: Tariff Truce's Soft Extension

A global perspective on what happened overnight

FNArena

Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Rahul Jain

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Dec): Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Dec 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global, Woodside Energy,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 18th): Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals

Under this framework, the US and Oz will each "provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

South32 Ltd - The Overnight Report: Tariff Truce's Soft Extension

A global perspective on what happened overnight

FNArena

Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

​2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Rahul Jain

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Dec): Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Dec 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global, Woodside Energy,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 18th): Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals

Under this framework, the US and Oz will each "provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects...

David Blennerhassett

2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...