Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Woodside Energy, BHP, Evolution Mining, South32, Santos, CSL.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Woodside Energy, BHP, Evolution Mining, South32, Santos, CSL.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jan): Woodside Energy, BHP, Evolution Mining, South32, Santos

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>After a yuuge rally in the stock over the last 8 months, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> could be added to a global index in February.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> is also a potential upward migration in a local index a few weeks later and that will lead to more passive buying.</li>
<li>There has been increased positioning in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a>, but we also see a similar trend in its peers that do not have any upcoming passive flows.</li>
</ul>


After a yuuge rally in the stock over the last 8 months, Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) could be added to a global index in February.

Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) is also a potential upward migration in a local index a few weeks later and that will lead to more passive buying.
There has been increased positioning in Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU), but we also see a similar trend in its peers that do not have any upcoming passive flows.


PLS Group (PLS AU): Index Inclusion Follows Huge Move Higher

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global, Woodside Energy, National Australia Bank, Rio Tinto, CSL.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global, Woodside Energy, National Australia Bank, Rio Tinto, CSL.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Dec): Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD29.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD29.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 18th): Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In<a href="https://skr.ma/4E7Ql" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> Friendshoring Aussie Rare Earths</a>, I expected some critical mineral deals would be struck when Aussie PM Albanese and Trump met. And that is what unfolded.</li>
<li>The US and Australia will each "provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects in Australia and the U.S. over the next six months"</li>
<li>Separately, Albanese announced two priority projects in Australia, including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arafura-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16550:1" rel="noopener">Arafura Resources (ARU AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


In Friendshoring Aussie Rare Earths, I expected some critical mineral deals would be struck when Aussie PM Albanese and Trump met. And that is what unfolded.
The US and Australia will each "provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects in Australia and the U.S. over the next six months"
Separately, Albanese announced two priority projects in Australia, including Arafura Resources (ARU AU). 


The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals

Australia

South32 Limited operates as a diversified metals and mining company. The Company produces alumina, aluminum, coal, manganese, nickel, silver, lead, and zinc. South32 conducts business globally.

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South32 Ltd (S32 AU)

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jan): Woodside Energy, BHP, Evolution Mining, South32, Santos

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Jan 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Woodside Energy, BHP, Evolution Mining, South32, Santos, CSL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

PLS Group (PLS AU): Index Inclusion Follows Huge Move Higher

PLS Group could be added to a global index in Feb. And then to a local index in March. Shorts have covered but are still huge compared to float....

Brian Freitas

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Dec): Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Dec 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global, Woodside Energy,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 18th): Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals

Under this framework, the US and Oz will each "provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects...

David Blennerhassett

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