Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02726691-3A628584?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">18 October</a>, media play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10374:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cross Media (SXL AU)</a> announced a non-binding indicative proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arn-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:709:1" rel="noopener">ARN Media (A1N AU)</a> and Anchorage.</li>
<li>SXL shareholders are being offered, by way of a Scheme, 0.753 ARN shares and A$0.296/share in cash. SXL considers the terms to be "complex, and highly conditional". </li>
<li>Reportedly SXL has now signed a confidentiality agreement to gather more info on ARN, possibly leading to a firm deal. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 18 October, media play Southern Cross Media (SXL AU) announced a non-binding indicative proposal from ARN Media (A1N AU) and Anchorage.
SXL shareholders are being offered, by way of a Scheme, 0.753 ARN shares and A$0.296/share in cash. SXL considers the terms to be "complex, and highly conditional". 
Reportedly SXL has now signed a confidentiality agreement to gather more info on ARN, possibly leading to a firm deal. 


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>I Squared won the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ooh-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8662:1" rel="noopener">oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU)</a>'s auction with a binding A$1.70 offer (A$1.68 cash plus a A$0.02 dividend). That is a 100% premium to the undisturbed A$0.85 price.</li>
<li>No shareholder holds a blocking stake, and substantial holders should support the premium. The independent expert found the scheme fair and reasonable, valuing oOh! at A$1.59–A$1.78 per share.</li>
<li>The ACCC cleared the deal unconditionally. For FIRB and NZ OIO approval, the risk is timing, not outcome. A 0.9% gross spread points to a done deal. </li>
</ul>


I Squared won the oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU)'s auction with a binding A$1.70 offer (A$1.68 cash plus a A$0.02 dividend). That is a 100% premium to the undisturbed A$0.85 price.
No shareholder holds a blocking stake, and substantial holders should support the premium. The independent expert found the scheme fair and reasonable, valuing oOh! at A$1.59–A$1.78 per share.
The ACCC cleared the deal unconditionally. For FIRB and NZ OIO approval, the risk is timing, not outcome. A 0.9% gross spread points to a done deal. 


OOh!media (OML AU): Tight Spread, Low Risk, with Scheme Vote on 2 November

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison (1 HK)</a> initiates a second arbitration against the Republic of Panama after Panama's highest court annulled CKH's port contracts earlier this year. </li>
<li>After falling post-1H26 results,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom (762 HK)</a> is inexpensive to its parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-united-network-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12620:1" rel="noopener">China United Network A (600050 CH)</a> - its hybrid domestic A-share twin </li>
<li>The "upside-down world" continues as Trump embraces North Korea, and amps up hostility towards it southern neighbour, possibly disrupting Hanwha's acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a>'s US ops. </li>
</ul>



CK Hutchison (1 HK) initiates a second arbitration against the Republic of Panama after Panama's highest court annulled CKH's port contracts earlier this year. 
After falling post-1H26 results,  China Unicom (762 HK) is inexpensive to its parent China United Network A (600050 CH) - its hybrid domestic A-share twin 
The "upside-down world" continues as Trump embraces North Korea, and amps up hostility towards it southern neighbour, possibly disrupting Hanwha's acquisition of Austal Ltd (ASB AU)'s US ops. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: CK Hutch, China Unicom, Austal, Steadfast

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ASX-listed Sports Entertainment Group (SEG), the Australian sports media company, has agreed to acquire MediaWorks, the principal commercial radio competitor to NZME Limited (NZM), for NZ$130m.</li><li>The 5.1x EV/EBITDA multiple on CY26 budget earnings matches listed Australian audio peers and sits only modestly above NZM’s 4.1x group multiple on our FY26 estimates.</li><li>For NZM, we view the transaction as supportive of our valuation and modestly negative for competition.</li></ul>

ASX-listed Sports Entertainment Group (SEG), the Australian sports media company, has agreed to acquire MediaWorks, the principal commercial radio competitor to NZME Limited (NZM), for NZ$130m.The 5.1x EV/EBITDA multiple on CY26 budget earnings matches listed Australian audio peers and sits only modestly above NZM’s 4.1x group multiple on our FY26 estimates.For NZM, we view the transaction as supportive of our valuation and modestly negative for competition.

<ul><li>NZME (NZM) has agreed to acquire Stuff’s Petone print-plant equipment to right-size its print production capacity.</li><li>Management expects annualised operating savings of c.NZ$7.0m once installed, subject to print volumes, against total project investment of up to NZ$15.0m over two years.</li><li>Our spot valuation lifts +3% to NZ$1.20, reflecting higher peer multiples, model roll-forward, and lower long-term Publishing costs.</li></ul>

NZME (NZM) has agreed to acquire Stuff’s Petone print-plant equipment to right-size its print production capacity.Management expects annualised operating savings of c.NZ$7.0m once installed, subject to print volumes, against total project investment of up to NZ$15.0m over two years.Our spot valuation lifts +3% to NZ$1.20, reflecting higher peer multiples, model roll-forward, and lower long-term Publishing costs.

Australia

Southern Cross Media Group Limited operates broadcasting and publishing businesses. The Company operates regional radio and television stations in Australia, and publishes community newspapers in the United States.

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Southern Cross Media (SXL AU)

Southern Cross/ARN Media: Getting Cosy?

If small arbs are your thing, look to short ARN (where available), and buy SXL. Or you may want to just go outright long in SXL.

David Blennerhassett

OOh!media (OML AU): Tight Spread, Low Risk, with Scheme Vote on 2 November

I Squared's A$1.70 bid (100% premium) won a three-way auction. ACCC cleared; FIRB is a timing risk; 0.9% spread signals a done deal. No blocking...

Arun George

Last Week In Event SPACE: CK Hutch, China Unicom, Austal, Steadfast

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

NZME Limited A Sound Benchmark For NZME

ASX-listed Sports Entertainment Group (SEG), the Australian sports media company, has agreed to acquire MediaWorks, the principal commercial radio...

Forsyth Barr

NZME Limited: Pressing More Out of Stuff

NZME (NZM) has agreed to acquire Stuff’s Petone print-plant equipment to right-size its print production capacity. Management expects annualised...

Forsyth Barr

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