Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Activist hedge fund Jana Partners bought ~2.66M <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-relic-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16283:1" rel="noopener">New Relic Inc (NEWR US)</a>  shares in 2Q22 and upped its stake in the tech company to 5.3%.</li>
<li>According to Reuters, New Relic may explore a potential sale following interest from private equity firms. Mr. Galligan, a partner of Jana Partners, joined the New Relic Board in June. </li>
<li>New Relic shares trade at ~4x EV/Rev on our FY23 revenue estimate, and we think Splunk may set a ceiling on the multiple at which New Relic may be acquired. </li>
</ul>


Activist hedge fund Jana Partners bought ~2.66M New Relic Inc (NEWR US)  shares in 2Q22 and upped its stake in the tech company to 5.3%.
According to Reuters, New Relic may explore a potential sale following interest from private equity firms. Mr. Galligan, a partner of Jana Partners, joined the New Relic Board in June. 
New Relic shares trade at ~4x EV/Rev on our FY23 revenue estimate, and we think Splunk may set a ceiling on the multiple at which New Relic may be acquired. 


Will Jana Partners Have Success In Pushing New Relic For A Sale?

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Splunk managed to deliver a solid all-around beat in the recent quarterly result with growth in total revenues and cloud revenues and strong bookings momentum and customer demand.</li><li>The strong RPO bookings reflect strong customer demand.</li><li>With the effect of its business transformation, the growth of its business and leverage in its model are now clear.</li></ul>

Splunk managed to deliver a solid all-around beat in the recent quarterly result with growth in total revenues and cloud revenues and strong bookings momentum and customer demand.The strong RPO bookings reflect strong customer demand.With the effect of its business transformation, the growth of its business and leverage in its model are now clear.

Splunk Inc.: The JupiterOne Collaboration & Other Developments

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Elastic just dramatically raised its revenue guidance for FY2025...implying a massive acceleration in revenue growth that the 18% move in the stock underplayed.</li>
<li>Dynatrace is a wildly profitable software company trading at a significant discount to its Rule of 40 metrics.</li>
<li>The overall observability space is red hot, unimpacted by macro factors and being overlooked by software investors.</li>
</ul>


Elastic just dramatically raised its revenue guidance for FY2025...implying a massive acceleration in revenue growth that the 18% move in the stock underplayed.
Dynatrace is a wildly profitable software company trading at a significant discount to its Rule of 40 metrics.
The overall observability space is red hot, unimpacted by macro factors and being overlooked by software investors.


Observability Is Not Just Datadog: Why Elastic and Dynatrace Are Great Longs

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/splunk-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12849:1" rel="noopener">Splunk Inc (SPLK US)</a> , a leading American provider of machine-generated data platform and established software vendor, announced strong 1QFY23 earnings results. </li>
<li>Total revenues grew to $674M, up 34% YoY, the highest revenue growth rate for the last 3 years. Cloud revenues jumped by 66%, reflecting customer adoption of the cloud platform.</li>
<li>WSJ reported that Cisco made a <strong>$20B</strong>+ takeover offer for Splunk. However, no deal was on the table, but if talks resume, Cisco could pay $20B+, according to The NYT.   </li>
</ul>



Splunk Inc (SPLK US) , a leading American provider of machine-generated data platform and established software vendor, announced strong 1QFY23 earnings results. 
Total revenues grew to $674M, up 34% YoY, the highest revenue growth rate for the last 3 years. Cloud revenues jumped by 66%, reflecting customer adoption of the cloud platform.
WSJ reported that Cisco made a $20B+ takeover offer for Splunk. However, no deal was on the table, but if talks resume, Cisco could pay $20B+, according to The NYT.   


1QFY23 Revenue Growth Accelerated As Cloud-Driven Transformation Goes Well

Credit

<ul><li>Splunk had a fairly decent 2021 good growth in annual recurring revenue (ARR), more specifically the cloud ARR growth.</li><li>The company has successfully played around with its pricing and expanded the cloud gross margin.</li><li>The company onboarded Fred Loya Insurance who purchased Splunk cloud with workload pricing for safeguarding data of its customers and for automating security initiatives.</li></ul>

Splunk had a fairly decent 2021 good growth in annual recurring revenue (ARR), more specifically the cloud ARR growth.The company has successfully played around with its pricing and expanded the cloud gross margin.The company onboarded Fred Loya Insurance who purchased Splunk cloud with workload pricing for safeguarding data of its customers and for automating security initiatives.

Splunk Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

United States

Splunk Inc. develops web based application software. The Company provides software that collects and analyzes machine data generated by websites, applications, servers, networks, and mobile devices. Splunk serves customers worldwide.

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Splunk Inc (SPLK US)

Will Jana Partners Have Success In Pushing New Relic For A Sale?

Our analysis suggests that New Relic may be acquired with a premium of 30%-40% vs. current levels, and Jana Partners will succeed by pushing New...

Andrei Zakharov

Splunk Inc.: The JupiterOne Collaboration & Other Developments

Splunk managed to deliver a solid all-around beat in the recent quarterly result with growth in total revenues and cloud revenues and strong...

Baptista Research

Observability Is Not Just Datadog: Why Elastic and Dynatrace Are Great Longs

Observability software stocks are being overlooked in the recent valuation downdraft. Elastic is our top pick...it had a massive revenue guidance...

Aaron Gabin

1QFY23 Revenue Growth Accelerated As Cloud-Driven Transformation Goes Well

Cloud ARR growth has accelerated, and we expect Splunk shares may outperform Nasdaq Composite and publicly listed peers in 2022

Andrei Zakharov

Splunk Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

Splunk had a fairly decent 2021 good growth in annual recurring revenue (ARR), more specifically the cloud ARR growth. The company has...

Baptista Research

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