Political Analyst | Steno Research, Steno Research

Anne Sandager

Political Analyst | Steno Research

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">The COP28 in Dubai is coming to a close with COP28-president Sultan al-Jaber presenting the final resolution just this morning.</span></li><li>Nearly 200 countries voted in favor of the deal which urges states to ‘move away from fossil fuel’ – a first in COP history.</li><li>Stakeholders had been working overtime to finalize an agreement as a dispute over whether the deal should call for the phasing out or phasing down of fossil fuels was threatening to undermine the entirety of the COP28 agreement.</li></ul>

The COP28 in Dubai is coming to a close with COP28-president Sultan al-Jaber presenting the final resolution just this morning.Nearly 200 countries voted in favor of the deal which urges states to ‘move away from fossil fuel’ – a first in COP history.Stakeholders had been working overtime to finalize an agreement as a dispute over whether the deal should call for the phasing out or phasing down of fossil fuels was threatening to undermine the entirety of the COP28 agreement.

COP28 Nuclear Deal – Implications for the Global Clean Energy Race

Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The oil market consensus is getting very uniform as everyone and their mother has figured out that there is an obvious supply deficit through Q4.</li><li>Is it time to switch focus in energy markets to better risk/rewards than long oil bets?</li><li>We take a look at oil, natural gas and uranium bets in this weeks Energy Cable newsletter.</li></ul>

The oil market consensus is getting very uniform as everyone and their mother has figured out that there is an obvious supply deficit through Q4.Is it time to switch focus in energy markets to better risk/rewards than long oil bets?We take a look at oil, natural gas and uranium bets in this weeks Energy Cable newsletter.

The Energy Cable #39: A Maturing Bull Market

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is forcing the US and European administrations to wrestle with the vulnerabilities in their uranium supply chains. </li>
<li>The situation is also re-emphasising the spotlight on the future role of nuclear energy in the power grids. </li>
<li>Uranium prices are up 44% since the invasion began, with the price for nuclear fuel at a decade high.</li>
</ul>


Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is forcing the US and European administrations to wrestle with the vulnerabilities in their uranium supply chains. 
The situation is also re-emphasising the spotlight on the future role of nuclear energy in the power grids. 
Uranium prices are up 44% since the invasion began, with the price for nuclear fuel at a decade high.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Based on prices and turnover from 17 July, there could be 5 additions and 1 deletion for the index in July. Plus there will be capping and float changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$840m. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The index is currently trading 34% below its highs but near a zone from where it has bounced in the past.</li>
</ul>


Based on prices and turnover from 17 July, there could be 5 additions and 1 deletion for the index in July. Plus there will be capping and float changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$840m. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade.
The index is currently trading 34% below its highs but near a zone from where it has bounced in the past.


Solactive Global Uranium & Nuclear Components Index Rebalance Preview: 5 Adds, 1 Delete Possible

<ul>
<li>There is 1 add/delete for the MarketVector Global Uranium and Nuclear Energy Infrastructure Index while there are no constituent changes for the MVIS Global Uranium &amp; Nuclear Energy Index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/encore-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39218:1" rel="noopener">Encore Energy (EU US)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boss-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4823:1" rel="noopener">Boss Energy (BOE AU)</a> in the MarketVector Global Uranium and Nuclear Energy Infrastructure Index. </li>
<li>The round-trip trade across both indices is US$445m with capping changes resulting in much bigger flow for the MVIS Global Uranium &amp; Nuclear Energy Index.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 add/delete for the MarketVector Global Uranium and Nuclear Energy Infrastructure Index while there are no constituent changes for the MVIS Global Uranium &amp; Nuclear Energy Index.

Encore Energy (EU US) will replace Boss Energy (BOE AU) in the MarketVector Global Uranium and Nuclear Energy Infrastructure Index. 
The round-trip trade across both indices is US$445m with capping changes resulting in much bigger flow for the MVIS Global Uranium &amp; Nuclear Energy Index.


MV Global Uranium & Nuclear Energy/Infra Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$445m Trade

Canada

Sprott Physical Uranium Trust was created to participate in the arrangement and to subsequently invest and hold substantially all of its assets in uranium. The Trust seeks to provide a secure, convenient and exchange-traded investment alternative for investors interested in holding uranium.

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Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (U-U CN)

COP28 Nuclear Deal – Implications for the Global Clean Energy Race

The COP28 in Dubai is coming to a close with COP28-president Sultan al-Jaber presenting the final resolution just this morning. Nearly 200...

Steno Research

The Energy Cable #39: A Maturing Bull Market

The oil market consensus is getting very uniform as everyone and their mother has figured out that there is an obvious supply deficit through...

Steno Research

Uranium: Fuelling Fears

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is forcing the US and European administrations to wrestle with the vulnerabilities in their uranium supply chains....

David Blennerhassett

Solactive Global Uranium & Nuclear Components Index Rebalance Preview: 5 Adds, 1 Delete Possible

There could be 5 adds and 1 delete for the index in July. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$840m. The index...

Brian Freitas

MV Global Uranium & Nuclear Energy/Infra Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$445m Trade

Encore Energy replaces Boss Energy in the NUCL ETF. The round-trip trade across both indices is US$445m. Few stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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