Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish SPX and ACWI since 4/22/25, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We discussed in our July 31, 2025 Int'l Compass how $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 were short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US, and ACWI-US found support at $128 the next day.</li>
<li>Europe (EURO STOXX 50) is the last of the major countries (from a global market cap perspective) to break out; we expect it to be next</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish SPX and ACWI since 4/22/25, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We discussed in our July 31, 2025 Int'l Compass how $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 were short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US, and ACWI-US found support at $128 the next day.
Europe (EURO STOXX 50) is the last of the major countries (from a global market cap perspective) to break out; we expect it to be next


Europe Next to Break Out?; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Korea, Greece, and the U.S.

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Noritake - Despite strong profits from semiconductor ceramics, lack of strategy for underperforming segments and idle assets invites activist pressure for structural reform. </li>
<li>Square Enix - New turnaround plan lacks clear KPIs and capital discipline, prompting activists to demand sharper execution and improved shareholder returns. </li>
<li>Eiken Chemical - Activists gained board influence through compromise, advancing governance reform and signaling momentum toward a potential buyout.</li>
</ul>


Noritake - Despite strong profits from semiconductor ceramics, lack of strategy for underperforming segments and idle assets invites activist pressure for structural reform. 
Square Enix - New turnaround plan lacks clear KPIs and capital discipline, prompting activists to demand sharper execution and improved shareholder returns. 
Eiken Chemical - Activists gained board influence through compromise, advancing governance reform and signaling momentum toward a potential buyout.


Japan Activism Briefs | Noritake, Square Enix, Eiken Chemical

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$123-$123.50 remains short-term support to watch on ACWI-US (6.5-month base); we would expect support here on a pullback, but a break below it would likely mean a test of $119-$121</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.
$123-$123.50 remains short-term support to watch on ACWI-US (6.5-month base); we would expect support here on a pullback, but a break below it would likely mean a test of $119-$121


Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Oracle's good numbers pulling AI and DC related names up, while Samsung failing its NVDA HBM certification (again) positive for Micron.</li>
<li>Tencent is back at the table looking to bid for Nexon, whose outstanding short interest could see a rapid squeeze.</li>
<li>All the good news out for Konami? Looks like it after their even last night with further upside catalysts lacking.</li>
</ul>


Oracle's good numbers pulling AI and DC related names up, while Samsung failing its NVDA HBM certification (again) positive for Micron.
Tencent is back at the table looking to bid for Nexon, whose outstanding short interest could see a rapid squeeze.
All the good news out for Konami? Looks like it after their even last night with further upside catalysts lacking.


Japan Morning Connection: Air India Crash Sends Boing Lower, AMD's AI Event Fails to Impress

<ul>
<li>Applied Digital landing a big data center order from CoreWeave lifting AI related plays setting upbeat tone for SPE.</li>
<li>Big Chinese SiC capacity coming online further adding to the price pressures for Rohm.</li>
<li>Square Enix cancelling its 'Project Gemini' with Polish developer another foreign flop reminiscent of Avengers?</li>
</ul>


Applied Digital landing a big data center order from CoreWeave lifting AI related plays setting upbeat tone for SPE.
Big Chinese SiC capacity coming online further adding to the price pressures for Rohm.
Square Enix cancelling its 'Project Gemini' with Polish developer another foreign flop reminiscent of Avengers?


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Rising from Morning Lows on Expectations for a Trump-Xi Call

Japan

SQUARE ENIX HOLDINGS CO., LTD. develops and sells entertainment software for home video game consoles including Dragon Quest and Final Fantasy series. The Company also publishes books such as informational guide books for its game software, and comic magazines and books.  Additionally, Square Enix sells character goods and stationery items from its software products.

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Square Enix Holdings (9684 JP)

Europe Next to Break Out?; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Korea, Greece, and the U.S.

Europe Next to Break Out?; China and Japan Remain Attractive and a big focus since our July 3rd report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out;"...

Vermilion Research

Japan Activism Briefs | Noritake, Square Enix, Eiken Chemical

Activist pressure mounts on Noritake, Square Enix, and Eiken Chemical for strategic reform and improved shareholder returns.

Mark Chadwick

Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports

Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports $ACWI, $ACWX, ACWI ex-US Small-Caps, $EEM, and $EFA....

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Air India Crash Sends Boing Lower, AMD's AI Event Fails to Impress

Tech and Semi's led higher by Oracle, setting upbeat tone for AI and data center related plays. Watch for knock on effects from recent Boeing 787...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Rising from Morning Lows on Expectations for a Trump-Xi Call

Applied Digital secures big data center order, setting a good tone for AI and SPE. Chinese SiC capacity increase adds pressure for Rohm. Potential...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Europe Next to Break Out?; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Korea, Greece, and the U.S.

Europe Next to Break Out?; China and Japan Remain Attractive and a big focus since our July 3rd report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out;"...

Vermilion Research

Japan Activism Briefs | Noritake, Square Enix, Eiken Chemical

​Activist pressure mounts on Noritake, Square Enix, and Eiken Chemical for strategic reform and improved shareholder returns.

Mark Chadwick

Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports

Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports $ACWI, $ACWX, ACWI ex-US Small-Caps, $EEM, and $EFA....

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Air India Crash Sends Boing Lower, AMD's AI Event Fails to Impress

Tech and Semi's led higher by Oracle, setting upbeat tone for AI and data center related plays. Watch for knock on effects from recent Boeing 787...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Rising from Morning Lows on Expectations for a Trump-Xi Call

​Applied Digital secures big data center order, setting a good tone for AI and SPE. Chinese SiC capacity increase adds pressure for Rohm. Potential...

Andrew Jackson

Activist pressure mounts on Noritake, Square Enix, and Eiken Chemical for strategic reform and improved shareholder returns.

Applied Digital secures big data center order, setting a good tone for AI and SPE. Chinese SiC capacity increase adds pressure for Rohm. Potential...