Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 5 January, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-abu-dhabi-bank-pjsc-630e9462-f2e9-436d-8e18-d66080630fa0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28946:1" rel="noopener">First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB DH)</a></strong> said it had considered a bid for <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/standard-chartered-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:193:1" rel="noopener">Standard Chartered (STAN LN/2888 HK)</a></strong>,  but was no longer evaluating an Offer.</li>
<li>Such a statement kickstarts a six-month cooling-off period whereby FAB is restricted from reloading. This means all deal work must cease.  Unless another bidder emerges or STAN's board approves. </li>
<li>In a curious development, STAN's shares popped ~11% yesterday, on no apparent news.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 5 January, First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB DH) said it had considered a bid for Standard Chartered (STAN LN/2888 HK),  but was no longer evaluating an Offer.
Such a statement kickstarts a six-month cooling-off period whereby FAB is restricted from reloading. This means all deal work must cease.  Unless another bidder emerges or STAN's board approves. 
In a curious development, STAN's shares popped ~11% yesterday, on no apparent news.


Standard Chartered: Has FAB Gone Cold Or Just Cooling Off?

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a>  is one of Indonesia's most differentiated digital economy players plus it is unusual in that it has one of the longest runways amongst peers at 15 years. </li>
<li>Despite operating a marketplace model, the platform uses this to generate traffic for its other businesses including its O2O Mitra Bukalapak business and its growing online speciality store business. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> also has strong ESG credentials, the most obvious of which is in the empowerment of MSMEs through its Mitra business. It is also making headway toward profitability.</li>
</ul>



Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)  is one of Indonesia's most differentiated digital economy players plus it is unusual in that it has one of the longest runways amongst peers at 15 years. 
Despite operating a marketplace model, the platform uses this to generate traffic for its other businesses including its O2O Mitra Bukalapak business and its growing online speciality store business. 

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) also has strong ESG credentials, the most obvious of which is in the empowerment of MSMEs through its Mitra business. It is also making headway toward profitability.


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Thriving Within a Virtuous Circle

<ul>
<li>The ironically named warung-tech segment in Indonesia has seen a recent spate of layoffs by a number of key players, as the path to profitability becomes the key focus. </li>
<li>One company that stands out as a potential beneficiary is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a>, which is already the dominant player in this space through its Mitra business, especially outside Tier 1 cities. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a> saw some dramatic improvements in both take rates and contribution margins in 3Q2022, with more to come in 4Q2022 and beyond, from both its Mitra and Specialty store segments.</li>
</ul>


The ironically named warung-tech segment in Indonesia has seen a recent spate of layoffs by a number of key players, as the path to profitability becomes the key focus. 
One company that stands out as a potential beneficiary is Bukalapak, which is already the dominant player in this space through its Mitra business, especially outside Tier 1 cities. 

Bukalapak saw some dramatic improvements in both take rates and contribution margins in 3Q2022, with more to come in 4Q2022 and beyond, from both its Mitra and Specialty store segments.


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Opportunity from Adversity

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>Hana Financial Group reported a loss in its China banking business in 9MQ22</li>
<li>Hana Bank (China) recorded credit costs at KRW119bn or 20% of group total</li>
<li>Off balance sheet commitments in China appear to be moving on balance sheet </li>
</ul>


Hana Financial Group reported a loss in its China banking business in 9MQ22
Hana Bank (China) recorded credit costs at KRW119bn or 20% of group total
Off balance sheet commitments in China appear to be moving on balance sheet 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Australia & New Zealand Bankin / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022.</li>
<li>The institutional part of the entitlement offer saw a strong take up and the retail take up was within our expectations as well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the retail shortfall bookbuild and other updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022.
The institutional part of the entitlement offer saw a strong take up and the retail take up was within our expectations as well.
In this note, we will talk about the retail shortfall bookbuild and other updates since our last note.


ANZ Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Retail Shortfall Size Within Expectations at A$688m (US$475m)

United Kingdom

Standard Chartered PLC is an international banking group operating principally in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East. The Company offers its products and services in the personal, consumer, corporate, institutional and treasury areas.

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Standard Chartered (STAN LN)

Standard Chartered: Has FAB Gone Cold Or Just Cooling Off?

STAN remains cheap after its recent price run-up. Any change of control development is five months away. If at all. I'd still look to get involved...

David Blennerhassett

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Thriving Within a Virtuous Circle

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) also has strong ESG credentials, the most obvious of which is in the empowerment of MSMEs through its Mitra business, and it is...

Angus Mackintosh

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Opportunity from Adversity

Bukalapak saw some dramatic improvements in both take rates and contribution margins in 3Q2022, with more to come in 4Q2022 and beyond, from both...

Angus Mackintosh

Hana - Granular Data On China

Granular data from Hana Bank (China) suggests major deterioration there, and there appears to be off-balance sheet commitments that are moving on...

Daniel Tabbush

ANZ Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Retail Shortfall Size Within Expectations at A$688m (US$475m)

ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022. In this note...

Sumeet Singh

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