Independent in-depth research from Finimize, Finimize

Finimize Research

Independent in-depth research from Finimize

Finimize

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The US economy’s resilience hasn’t come from the many – it’s come from the top 10% as the “wealth effect” from rising asset prices has boosted spending.</li>
<li>But it works in reverse too.  Since the richest make up nearly half of America’s consumer spending, that could lead to a serious economic fallout.</li>
<li>It’s worth considering protecting your portfolio. I’ve pulled together one list of companies that should do well and another that could suffer from the change in climate.</li>
</ul>


The US economy’s resilience hasn’t come from the many – it’s come from the top 10% as the “wealth effect” from rising asset prices has boosted spending.
But it works in reverse too.  Since the richest make up nearly half of America’s consumer spending, that could lead to a serious economic fallout.
It’s worth considering protecting your portfolio. I’ve pulled together one list of companies that should do well and another that could suffer from the change in climate.


A Defensive Portfolio Prepared For The Wealth Effect’s Reversal

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Restaurants /In Depth: Starbucks, Burger King Overhaul China Strategies</li><li>Shipping /: China Launches 18-Day Arctic Shipping Route to Europe Amid Global Trade Turmoil</li><li>Corruption /: How a Chinese Police Chief Cashed In on a Pre-IPO Chip Venture</li></ul>

Restaurants /In Depth: Starbucks, Burger King Overhaul China StrategiesShipping /: China Launches 18-Day Arctic Shipping Route to Europe Amid Global Trade TurmoilCorruption /: How a Chinese Police Chief Cashed In on a Pre-IPO Chip Venture

CX Daily: Starbucks, Burger King Overhaul China Strategies 

<ul><li>India-U.S. /Cover Story: Why Modi Won’t Play Cowboys and Indians With Trump, Opting Instead for Strategic Autonomy</li><li>Asia New Vision Forum /: EV Suppliers Must Innovate and Find a Niche to Survive, Insiders Say</li><li>Military /: China’s Top Legislature Ousts Four More Generals in Widening Anti-Corruption Campaign</li></ul>

India-U.S. /Cover Story: Why Modi Won’t Play Cowboys and Indians With Trump, Opting Instead for Strategic AutonomyAsia New Vision Forum /: EV Suppliers Must Innovate and Find a Niche to Survive, Insiders SayMilitary /: China’s Top Legislature Ousts Four More Generals in Widening Anti-Corruption Campaign

CX Daily: Why Modi Won’t Play Cowboys and Indians With Trump, Opting Instead for Strategic Autonomy 

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The expiry of cornerstone investors’ lock-up today modestly increases <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a>’s free float, which still remains below 10%.</li>
<li>Mixue’s 1H2025 results show limited overseas scale-up, with growth driven entirely by the domestic market, raising concerns over long-term growth prospects from new markets.</li>
<li>At 22x forward earnings, Mixue trades at a premium to HK-listed F&amp;B peers, reflecting market optimism for above-consensus growth.</li>
</ul>


The expiry of cornerstone investors’ lock-up today modestly increases Mixue Group (2097 HK)’s free float, which still remains below 10%.
Mixue’s 1H2025 results show limited overseas scale-up, with growth driven entirely by the domestic market, raising concerns over long-term growth prospects from new markets.
At 22x forward earnings, Mixue trades at a premium to HK-listed F&amp;B peers, reflecting market optimism for above-consensus growth.


Mixue (2097 HK): Lock-Up Expiry. After Doubling Post-IPO, Is the Fizz Running Out?

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>China's tea sector has attracted increased interest, but the share prices are volatile. Overall valuations do not look cheap, and the key is stock picking.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/auntea-jenny-shanghai-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40891:1" rel="noopener">Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial (2589 HK)</a> nd <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a> are expensive on both PEG and P/B vs. ROE perspectives.</li>
<li>In two years, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chagee-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45011:1" rel="noopener">Chagee Holdings (CHA US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nayuki-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32149:1" rel="noopener">Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK)</a> will turn even cheaper.</li>
</ul>


China's tea sector has attracted increased interest, but the share prices are volatile. Overall valuations do not look cheap, and the key is stock picking.

Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial (2589 HK) nd Mixue Group (2097 HK) are expensive on both PEG and P/B vs. ROE perspectives.
In two years, Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK), Chagee Holdings (CHA US), and Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK) will turn even cheaper.


United States

Starbucks Corporation retails, roasts, and provides its own brand of specialty coffee. The Company operates retail locations worldwide and sells whole bean coffees through its sales group, direct response business, supermarkets, and on the World Wide Web. Starbucks also produces and sells bottled coffee drinks and a line of ice creams.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Starbucks Corp (SBUX US)

A Defensive Portfolio Prepared For The Wealth Effect’s Reversal

The top 10% account for around 50% of consumer spending in the US. This insight looks at the sectors and companies that could win and lose from the...

Finimize Research

CX Daily: Starbucks, Burger King Overhaul China Strategies

Restaurants /In Depth: Starbucks, Burger King Overhaul China Strategies Shipping /: China Launches 18-Day Arctic Shipping Route to Europe Amid...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: Why Modi Won’t Play Cowboys and Indians With Trump, Opting Instead for Strategic Autonomy

India-U.S. /Cover Story: Why Modi Won’t Play Cowboys and Indians With Trump, Opting Instead for Strategic Autonomy Asia New Vision Forum /: EV...

Caixin Global

Mixue (2097 HK): Lock-Up Expiry. After Doubling Post-IPO, Is the Fizz Running Out?

Stock upside seem constrained until Mixue delivers tangible overseas growth or margin expansion to justify premium valuations

Devi Subhakesan

China Tea Sector: What to Buy and Sell?

China's tea sector is attracting interest, but stock picking is key. Auntea Jenny and Mixue Group are expensive, while Chabaidao, Chagee, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A Defensive Portfolio Prepared For The Wealth Effect’s Reversal

The top 10% account for around 50% of consumer spending in the US. This insight looks at the sectors and companies that could win and lose from the...

Finimize Research

CX Daily: Starbucks, Burger King Overhaul China Strategies

Restaurants /In Depth: Starbucks, Burger King Overhaul China Strategies Shipping /: China Launches 18-Day Arctic Shipping Route to Europe Amid...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: Why Modi Won’t Play Cowboys and Indians With Trump, Opting Instead for Strategic Autonomy

India-U.S. /Cover Story: Why Modi Won’t Play Cowboys and Indians With Trump, Opting Instead for Strategic Autonomy Asia New Vision Forum /: EV...

Caixin Global

Mixue (2097 HK): Lock-Up Expiry. After Doubling Post-IPO, Is the Fizz Running Out?

Stock upside seem constrained until Mixue delivers tangible overseas growth or margin expansion to justify premium valuations

Devi Subhakesan

China Tea Sector: What to Buy and Sell?

​China's tea sector is attracting interest, but stock picking is key. Auntea Jenny and Mixue Group are expensive, while Chabaidao, Chagee, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China's tea sector is attracting interest, but stock picking is key. Auntea Jenny and Mixue Group are expensive, while Chabaidao, Chagee, and...