Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 4th December 204, Starwood/Warburg Pincus Consortium announced a firm pre-conditional Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener"><strong>ESR Group (1821 HK)</strong></a> at HK$13/share (best &amp; final), by way of a Scheme.</li>
<li>The list of pre-cons was extensive. Last night (15th May), ESR announced the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0515/2025051501469.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">satisfaction</a> of all pre-cons. </li>
<li>The Scheme Doc is now required to be dispatched by the 22nd May, suggesting payment around mid-July. Assuming no dispatch delays.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 4th December 204, Starwood/Warburg Pincus Consortium announced a firm pre-conditional Offer for ESR Group (1821 HK) at HK$13/share (best &amp; final), by way of a Scheme.
The list of pre-cons was extensive. Last night (15th May), ESR announced the satisfaction of all pre-cons. 
The Scheme Doc is now required to be dispatched by the 22nd May, suggesting payment around mid-July. Assuming no dispatch delays.


ESR (1821 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Scheme Doc By 22nd May

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The precondition for the consortium scheme offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a> has been satisfied. The scheme document will be despatched by 22 May.</li>
<li>The consortium has disclosed an additional irrevocable. Total irrevocables and letters of support represent 35.01% of outstanding shares (58.24% of disinterested shares).</li>
<li>This is a done deal, helped by the material derating of peers. At the last close and for an early August payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.3%/21.3%</li>
</ul>


The precondition for the consortium scheme offer for ESR Group (1821 HK) has been satisfied. The scheme document will be despatched by 22 May.
The consortium has disclosed an additional irrevocable. Total irrevocables and letters of support represent 35.01% of outstanding shares (58.24% of disinterested shares).
This is a done deal, helped by the material derating of peers. At the last close and for an early August payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.3%/21.3%


ESR Group (1821 HK): Precondition Satisfied

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>’s preconditional scheme offer from the consortium is either cash (HK$13.00), scrip or a combination of cash/scrip. The offer is final.</li>
<li>On 7 March, the consortium disclosed two additional irrevocable (3.47% of outstanding shares) and satisfied two regulatory preconditions (UK FCA and Singapore MAS).</li>
<li>Since announcing the offer, peers have materially derated, lowering the vote risk. At the last close and for an end August payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.5%/10.1%</li>
</ul>



ESR Group (1821 HK)’s preconditional scheme offer from the consortium is either cash (HK$13.00), scrip or a combination of cash/scrip. The offer is final.
On 7 March, the consortium disclosed two additional irrevocable (3.47% of outstanding shares) and satisfied two regulatory preconditions (UK FCA and Singapore MAS).
Since announcing the offer, peers have materially derated, lowering the vote risk. At the last close and for an end August payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.5%/10.1%


<ul>
<li>When the Starwood/Warburg Pincus Consortium announced a firm offer on the 4th December, it was pre-conditional on a raft of regulatory approvals from no less than eight countries/jurisdictions. </li>
<li>We're half way there, with four approvals now squared away, leaving Australia, China, Hong Kong and New Zealand still to give the go ahead. </li>
<li>Irrevocables comprising 34.26% of the register (and 57.01% of disinterested shares) are now in the bag. This is a done deal. It's just a question of timing.</li>
</ul>


When the Starwood/Warburg Pincus Consortium announced a firm offer on the 4th December, it was pre-conditional on a raft of regulatory approvals from no less than eight countries/jurisdictions. 
We're half way there, with four approvals now squared away, leaving Australia, China, Hong Kong and New Zealand still to give the go ahead. 
Irrevocables comprising 34.26% of the register (and 57.01% of disinterested shares) are now in the bag. This is a done deal. It's just a question of timing.


<ul>
<li>
<strong>HK$13.00/Share (deemed final)</strong>. That's the key takeaway here as the Starwood/Warburg Pincus Consortium (finally) tables a firm offer, by way of a pre-conditional Scheme.</li>
<li>Pre-Conditions are extensive, with a long stop date of the 4th September 2025.</li>
<li>HK$13.00 is below prior expectations of a HK$14+ handle. But with irrevocables of 30.79% of the register (and 51.24% of Scheme shares), this is done. A scrip option is afforded.</li>
</ul>



HK$13.00/Share (deemed final). That's the key takeaway here as the Starwood/Warburg Pincus Consortium (finally) tables a firm offer, by way of a pre-conditional Scheme.
Pre-Conditions are extensive, with a long stop date of the 4th September 2025.
HK$13.00 is below prior expectations of a HK$14+ handle. But with irrevocables of 30.79% of the register (and 51.24% of Scheme shares), this is done. A scrip option is afforded.


Singapore

The Straits Trading Company Limited is a Singapore-based conglomerate-investment company with operations and financial interests in resources, property, and hospitality. Its activities include tin smelting, property investment, development, and management, as well as hotel ownership and management. The company was founded in Singapore in 1887.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Straits Trading (STRTR SP)

ESR (1821 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Scheme Doc By 22nd May

This was always a done deal. And timing is now more assured. Assuming mid-July payment, I'd pay up to HK$12.70/share, or 15% annualised.

David Blennerhassett

ESR Group (1821 HK): Precondition Satisfied

This is a done deal, helped by irrevocables and the material derating of peers. At the last close and for an early August payment, the gross...

Arun George

ESR Group (1821 HK): Steady Progress

The additional irrevocable and material derating of peers lowers the vote risk. The consortium is making steady progress in satisfying the...

Arun George

ESR (1821 HK) Chips Away At Pre-Cons

Four of the eight key pre-conditions are now in the bag. And irrevocable undertakings have also been bolstered. This is a done deal. It’s just a...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ESR (1821 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Scheme Doc By 22nd May

This was always a done deal. And timing is now more assured. Assuming mid-July payment, I'd pay up to HK$12.70/share, or 15% annualised.

David Blennerhassett

ESR Group (1821 HK): Precondition Satisfied

This is a done deal, helped by irrevocables and the material derating of peers. At the last close and for an early August payment, the gross...

Arun George

ESR Group (1821 HK): Steady Progress

The additional irrevocable and material derating of peers lowers the vote risk. The consortium is making steady progress in satisfying the...

Arun George

ESR (1821 HK) Chips Away At Pre-Cons

Four of the eight key pre-conditions are now in the bag. And irrevocable undertakings have also been bolstered. This is a done deal. It’s just a...

David Blennerhassett

ESR (1821 HK): HK$13.00/Share Offer

This is a done. Assuming early August completion - or eight months out - I'd pay ~HK$11.85/share for a 15% annualised return; up to HK$12/share if...

David Blennerhassett