Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Real interest rates moving lower together with massively increasing fiscal deficits is a plus for gold.</li>
<li>Gold miners are generally poor long-term investments, but their time is close.</li>
<li>Miners’ margins are improving as revenue increases while costs decrease.</li>
</ul>


Real interest rates moving lower together with massively increasing fiscal deficits is a plus for gold.
Gold miners are generally poor long-term investments, but their time is close.
Miners’ margins are improving as revenue increases while costs decrease.


2024 High Conviction Idea -Why the Time Is Right for Gold Miners

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX Futs -0.3% as US OFF ON FOR PRESIDENT'S DAY as Biden makes the trip to Ukraine;  Markets still focused inflation/rate hikes; Europe Resource Stocks bid on China Recovery</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 134.29; North Korea launches  2 more missiles as Japan cries foul;  Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise?  </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. Toto(5332) - Bottoming here?  Pricing in all of the US near term downside and ignoring the upside to a China recovery ? </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX Futs -0.3% as US OFF ON FOR PRESIDENT'S DAY as Biden makes the trip to Ukraine;  Markets still focused inflation/rate hikes; Europe Resource Stocks bid on China Recovery
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 134.29; North Korea launches  2 more missiles as Japan cries foul;  Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise?  
DAILY NUGGET. Toto(5332) - Bottoming here?  Pricing in all of the US near term downside and ignoring the upside to a China recovery ? 


Good Morning Japan | US Out; Rates Worry Europe Stocks;NKorea Fires 2 More Missiles;Toto -Bottom In?

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX -1.1% as Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; All 11 Sectors -ve as Beta Sold; ALPHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; Disney +8% after-hours with earnings beat/job cuts. </li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.41; Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound;  EARNINGS: Pan Pac/SMM Strong vs weak Subaru which -ve production cut; Toyota out today. </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGETS. EPIC fail from Alphabet's "BARD". Aren't these events supposed to  be choreographed ????</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX -1.1% as Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; All 11 Sectors -ve as Beta Sold; ALPHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; Disney +8% after-hours with earnings beat/job cuts. 
JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.41; Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound;  EARNINGS: Pan Pac/SMM Strong vs weak Subaru which -ve production cut; Toyota out today. 
DAILY NUGGETS. EPIC fail from Alphabet's "BARD". Aren't these events supposed to  be choreographed ????


Good Morning Japan |Hawks Re-Emerge + Epic "BARD" Fail Sinks Google; Pan Pac Beat/Subaru Miss

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally as Tech rebounds;  Dovish talk from 2 Fed Members;  Google joins the fray slashing 12,000 staff; US Banks not far behind.</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 129.6;  CORE Inflation hits 4%;  Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy exit;  Japan courts global elite grads; Population declines in 2022</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET.  Change of Direction with new BOJ Leadership? Ha, policy direction has already been decided, and whoever the Govt selects will just continue where Kuroda left off. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally as Tech rebounds;  Dovish talk from 2 Fed Members;  Google joins the fray slashing 12,000 staff; US Banks not far behind.
JAPAN.  NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 129.6;  CORE Inflation hits 4%;  Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy exit;  Japan courts global elite grads; Population declines in 2022
DAILY NUGGET.  Change of Direction with new BOJ Leadership? Ha, policy direction has already been decided, and whoever the Govt selects will just continue where Kuroda left off. 


Good Morning Japan | The Doves Strike Back; Google Joins Layoff Parade; "Too Early for BOJ Exit"

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS:  US MLK Holidays - World markets directionless;  US Equity Futs flat; European Markets bid on Inflation peak;  BOJ decision to lead markets this week.</li>
<li>JAPAN:  NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash ; USDJPY flat at 128.52 ; BOJ speculation dominates local headlines;  Kuroda heads to Davos = no fireworks? ;  Dec Machine Tools orders +1%YoY</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET:  Fast Retailing and Sustainability: Set to introduce a new repair service in its domestic stores.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS:  US MLK Holidays - World markets directionless;  US Equity Futs flat; European Markets bid on Inflation peak;  BOJ decision to lead markets this week.
JAPAN:  NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash ; USDJPY flat at 128.52 ; BOJ speculation dominates local headlines;  Kuroda heads to Davos = no fireworks? ;  Dec Machine Tools orders +1%YoY
DAILY NUGGET:  Fast Retailing and Sustainability: Set to introduce a new repair service in its domestic stores.


Good Morning Japan |US Off = Directionless; BOJ in Focus +2trn JGB Buying; Kuroda off to Davos

Japan

Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd. develops and mines non-ferrous metals in Japan and overseas.  The Company's primary products include copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, and zinc.  The Company refines, produces, and sells precious metals.  Sumitomo Metal Mining also produces and markets electronic & housing construction materials and provides civil engineering works.

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Sumitomo Metal Mining (5713 JP)

2024 High Conviction Idea -Why the Time Is Right for Gold Miners

The time is now right for gold miners as the gold price is set to move to new all time highs and margins expand creating a perfect storm for...

Rikki Malik

Good Morning Japan | US Out; Rates Worry Europe Stocks;NKorea Fires 2 More Missiles;Toto -Bottom In?

North Korea launches 2 more missiles as Japan cries foul; Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise? . STOCK FOCUS TODAY: Toto the...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Hawks Re-Emerge + Epic "BARD" Fail Sinks Google; Pan Pac Beat/Subaru Miss

Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; ALHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; . Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound; JAPAN EARNINGS: Pan Pac...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | The Doves Strike Back; Google Joins Layoff Parade; "Too Early for BOJ Exit"

SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally. NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; JP CORE Inflation hits 4%; Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |US Off = Directionless; BOJ in Focus +2trn JGB Buying; Kuroda off to Davos

NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash ; USDJPY flat; BOJ speculation dominates as Kuroda heads to Davos ; Dec Machine Tools +1%YoY. Global stealth rally...

Mark Chadwick

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