Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>-backed hypermarket play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808)</a> is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code.</li>
<li>Reportedly, SASAC-backed COFCO Group may acquire Alibaba’s <a href="https://di.hkex.com.hk/di/NSForm2.aspx?fn=CS20210312E00462&amp;sa2=as&amp;sid=62065&amp;corpn=Sun+Art+Retail+Group+Ltd.&amp;sd=27%2f09%2f2023&amp;ed=27%2f09%2f2024&amp;cid=0&amp;sa1=cl&amp;scsd=27%2f09%2f2023&amp;sced=27%2f09%2f2024&amp;sc=6808&amp;src=MAIN&amp;lang=EN&amp;g_lang=en&amp;" target="_blank" rel="noopener">78.7% stake</a>. Sun Art's shares are up 45% since the middle of the month.</li>
<li>Alibaba exiting - if true - follows <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> (and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dfi-retail-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7427:1" rel="noopener">DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP)</a>) selling their respective stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yonghui-superstores-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15910:1" rel="noopener">Yonghui Superstores Co., (601933 CH)</a> earlier this week.</li>
</ul>



Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)-backed hypermarket play Sun Art Retail (6808) is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code.
Reportedly, SASAC-backed COFCO Group may acquire Alibaba’s 78.7% stake. Sun Art's shares are up 45% since the middle of the month.
Alibaba exiting - if true - follows JD.com (9618 HK) (and DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP)) selling their respective stakes in Yonghui Superstores Co., (601933 CH) earlier this week.


Analyst

Steve

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>'s FY24 (fiscal year ending March) numbers were overall unimpressive, with sales down 13% yoy and net loss increasing to RMB1.6bn.</li>
<li>The new CEO's strategy is to refocus on SSSG of offline traffic and restore price competitiveness.  April and May SSSG improved.  </li>
<li>The stock is up 20% since my initial insight on the name in March, and I believe more upside remains.</li>
</ul>



Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)'s FY24 (fiscal year ending March) numbers were overall unimpressive, with sales down 13% yoy and net loss increasing to RMB1.6bn.
The new CEO's strategy is to refocus on SSSG of offline traffic and restore price competitiveness.  April and May SSSG improved.  
The stock is up 20% since my initial insight on the name in March, and I believe more upside remains.


Sun Art (6808 HK):  FY24 Unimpressive, But All Eyes On Potential Alibaba Sale

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

China Resources Beverage / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We visited convenience stores to look for China Resources Beverage products.</li>
<li>The company is in a price war with Nongfu Spring, for both drinkable water and beverages.</li>
<li>Some CRB products, such as plum syrup, do not have any competitors in physical stores.</li>
</ul>


We visited convenience stores to look for China Resources Beverage products.
The company is in a price war with Nongfu Spring, for both drinkable water and beverages.
Some CRB products, such as plum syrup, do not have any competitors in physical stores.


China Resources Beverage (华润饮料) Pre-IPO: A Visit to Convenience Stores

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 12th): China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China

<ul>
<li>According to public news two days ago, COFCO Group is rumored to be a potential suitor for Alibaba’s 78% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Alibaba wants to eventually get rid of the Sun Art stake, especially after Alibaba’s management change in late 2023.  </li>
<li>Given limited downside, I believe it is worth a bet on the uncertain timeline but certain intention of the eventual divestiture of Sun Art by Alibaba.</li>
</ul>


According to public news two days ago, COFCO Group is rumored to be a potential suitor for Alibaba’s 78% stake in Sun Art Retail (6808 HK). 
Alibaba wants to eventually get rid of the Sun Art stake, especially after Alibaba’s management change in late 2023.  
Given limited downside, I believe it is worth a bet on the uncertain timeline but certain intention of the eventual divestiture of Sun Art by Alibaba.


Sun Art (6808 HK):  Potential Divestiture By Alibaba Worth A Bet

China

Sun Art Retail Group operates hypermarkets, superstores, and membership stores under the RT-Mart, RT-Super, and M-Club brands, alongside online sales channels in the People's Republic of China. The company also provides consulting, investment, procurement, wholesaling, and retailing services. The Group was established on December 13, 2000, and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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Sun Art Retail Group (6808 HK)

Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): COFCO Offer?

Alibaba exiting - if true - follows JD.com (9618 HK) (and DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP)) selling their respective stake in Yonghui Superstores...

David Blennerhassett

Sun Art (6808 HK): FY24 Unimpressive, But All Eyes On Potential Alibaba Sale

Note increased attention on the name given the Miniso-Yonghui deal. A few points here: 1) Miniso CEO was asked why pick Yonghui and not Sun Art,...

Steve

China Resources Beverage (华润饮料) Pre-IPO: A Visit to Convenience Stores

We visited convenience stores for China Resources Beverage products (CRB). The company is in a price war with Nongfu Spring. CRB plum syrup, do not...

Ming Lu

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 12th): China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sun Art (6808 HK): Potential Divestiture By Alibaba Worth A Bet

The company just announced a change in CEO - Mr. Lin Xiaohai has resigned as CEO and executive director of the company. He is replaced by Mr. Shen...

Steve

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