Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Reportedly buyout firms are "vying for" <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trend-micro-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13172:1" rel="noopener">Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP)</a>. The stock went limit up today. Again. The stock is now getting to the expensive side.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furukawa-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19521:1" rel="noopener">Furukawa (5715 JP)</a> has changed their capital allocation policy for the third time. The company is a cyclical, and will likely always suffer the indignity of a cyclical multiple.</li>
<li>While it often pays to follows where the family invests when assessing holdco structures, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International (200 HK)</a>'s NAV discount is simply too narrow for a simple holding company structure.</li>
</ul>


Reportedly buyout firms are "vying for" Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP). The stock went limit up today. Again. The stock is now getting to the expensive side.

Furukawa (5715 JP) has changed their capital allocation policy for the third time. The company is a cyclical, and will likely always suffer the indignity of a cyclical multiple.
While it often pays to follows where the family invests when assessing holdco structures, Melco International (200 HK)'s NAV discount is simply too narrow for a simple holding company structure.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Trend Micro, Furukawa, Melco, Ingenia/Lifestyle

<ul>
<li>I tally 59 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaonavi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29703:1" rel="noopener">Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 59 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deals discussed this week: Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP) and Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP).
Key updates/news took place on: Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), Sun Art Retail (6808 HK), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Paragon REIT, Kaonavi, Arcadium Lithium, Sun Art Retail, HKBN, and Seven & I

<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nzme-limited-ae7028be-d76c-4521-9668-48a03910e954" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24021:1" rel="noopener">NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU)</a>, publisher of the NZ Herald, recently announced sweeping job cuts, the country's largest private sector union called for the government to step in.</li>
<li>The union said the cutbacks not only affected staff, but also readers seeking information on important issues. NZME's revamped strategy focuses on stories that engage audience. Or clickbait by detractors. </li>
<li>Reports are now emerging of a possible takeover from local entrepreneurs. Those reports appear tenuous, at best.</li>
</ul>


After NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU), publisher of the NZ Herald, recently announced sweeping job cuts, the country's largest private sector union called for the government to step in.
The union said the cutbacks not only affected staff, but also readers seeking information on important issues. NZME's revamped strategy focuses on stories that engage audience. Or clickbait by detractors. 
Reports are now emerging of a possible takeover from local entrepreneurs. Those reports appear tenuous, at best.


NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU): In Need Of A Good Story

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://archive.is/b5mG6" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reportedly</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-clinical-labs-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36020:1" rel="noopener">Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a> may reload a merger. </li>
<li>The 2023 merger of the second and third-largest pathology plays was blocked by the ACCC. Any follow-up merger will similarly be blocked unless the combined entity jettisons certain ops.  </li>
<li>Since the collapse of the merger, Healius has sold its diagnostic business; Crescent Capital has exited ACL; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitol-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14504:1" rel="noopener">Capitol Health (CAJ AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integral-diagnostics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24306:1" rel="noopener">Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)</a> merged.</li>
</ul>



Reportedly, Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) and Healius (HLS AU) may reload a merger. 
The 2023 merger of the second and third-largest pathology plays was blocked by the ACCC. Any follow-up merger will similarly be blocked unless the combined entity jettisons certain ops.  
Since the collapse of the merger, Healius has sold its diagnostic business; Crescent Capital has exited ACL; and Capitol Health (CAJ AU) and Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) merged.


Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) / Healius (HLS AU): Round 2?

Get Nice Financial Group Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 5th November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a> (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a> (GNF).</li>
<li>The (then) HK$1.116/share implied scrip price &amp; divvy compared to a book value of HK1.736/share. and net cash of ~HK$1.00/share. At the 22nd January EGM, GNH shareholders <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0122/2025012200343.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">backed the Offer</a>.</li>
<li>The Scheme Doc is now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0210/2025021000033.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a Court Meeting on the 7th March,  with new GNH shares trading on the 7th April. The IFA (Veda Capital) botched its peer analysis.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 5th November, Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK) (GNF).
The (then) HK$1.116/share implied scrip price &amp; divvy compared to a book value of HK1.736/share. and net cash of ~HK$1.00/share. At the 22nd January EGM, GNH shareholders backed the Offer.
The Scheme Doc is now out, with a Court Meeting on the 7th March,  with new GNH shares trading on the 7th April. The IFA (Veda Capital) botched its peer analysis.


Get Nice Financial (1469 HK)'s Scheme Vote On The 7th March

Hong Kong

Sun Art Retail Group Ltd. operates hypermarkets.  The Company retails food and offers amenities such as restaurants, automated teller machines, pharmacies and dry cleaners.

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Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)

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Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) / Healius (HLS AU): Round 2?

After heady days during Covid, demand has tapered, but higher operating costs remain. Consolidation makes sense. Healius is trading below it pre...

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Get Nice Financial (1469 HK)'s Scheme Vote On The 7th March

As of the 14th Feb, GNH is no longer shortable. Avoid the arb trade. A more interesting bet is GNH, at a 74% discount to NAV and 0.21x P/B. That...

David Blennerhassett

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