Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 26th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,571m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, McDonald's, Canon, Japan Tobacco, Rakuten, Pan Pacific International, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, Mcdonald'S, Canon.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 26th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,571m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, McDonald's, Canon, Japan Tobacco, Rakuten, Pan Pacific International, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, Mcdonald'S, Canon.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 26th): Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, McDonald's, Canon

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) calculates Free-Float Weight (FFW) for each listed company and uses this value as a key component of TOPIX Index Calculation. </li>
<li>For companies with "low liquidity" the FFW will be multiplied by a fixed liquidity factor of 0.75 to derive the final FFW used for index calculation. </li>
<li>Every April, the application of this liquidity factor is reviewed by the TSE. In this insight, we take an early look at what could happen in April 2023.</li>
</ul>


The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) calculates Free-Float Weight (FFW) for each listed company and uses this value as a key component of TOPIX Index Calculation. 
For companies with "low liquidity" the FFW will be multiplied by a fixed liquidity factor of 0.75 to derive the final FFW used for index calculation. 
Every April, the application of this liquidity factor is reviewed by the TSE. In this insight, we take an early look at what could happen in April 2023.


TOPIX Index Upweights: An Early Preview Of "The Big April Basket" 2023

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The January 2023 TOPIX FFW Trade was announced today. The two-way trade is worth about ¥325bn. </li>
<li>There are four ADDs previously discussed: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36668:1" rel="noopener">Sun* (4053 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appier-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32165:1" rel="noopener">Appier Group (4180 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chubu-steel-plate-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18535:1" rel="noopener">Chubu Steel Plate (5461 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chubu-steel-plate-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18535:1" rel="noopener">Chubu Steel Plate (5461 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>There are 57 downweights, 11 upweights (but only seven FFW buys). The rest is reverse funding to buy. There are 10 names with &gt;$10mm AND &gt;3 days ADV to sell.</li>
</ul>


The January 2023 TOPIX FFW Trade was announced today. The two-way trade is worth about ¥325bn. 
There are four ADDs previously discussed: Sun* (4053 JP), Appier Group (4180 JP), Chubu Steel Plate (5461 JP), and Chubu Steel Plate (5461 JP). 
There are 57 downweights, 11 upweights (but only seven FFW buys). The rest is reverse funding to buy. There are 10 names with &gt;$10mm AND &gt;3 days ADV to sell.


January TOPIX FFW Review - Some Big Sells

<ul>
<li>In mid-December, digital UX creation agency (90% of revenues) and "talent agency" (10%) announced it would move from TSE Growth to TSE Prime mid-December 2022.</li>
<li>This was in Janaghan's "Not Ready" list in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-inclusions-who-is-ready-dec-2022" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85784" rel="noopener">TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2022)</a> because it did not meet two of the requirements. But it turns out it did.</li>
<li>This is therefore a TOPIX inclusion event at end-January 2023.</li>
</ul>


In mid-December, digital UX creation agency (90% of revenues) and "talent agency" (10%) announced it would move from TSE Growth to TSE Prime mid-December 2022.
This was in Janaghan's "Not Ready" list in TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2022) because it did not meet two of the requirements. But it turns out it did.
This is therefore a TOPIX inclusion event at end-January 2023.


Sun* (Sun Asterisk - 4053 JP) TOPIX Inclusion Event

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>This insight is a follow-up to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-inclusions-who-is-ready-dec-2022" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85784" rel="noopener">TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2022)</a>. </li>
<li>Our latest top pick for TOPIX Inclusion pre-events is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/artspark-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20774:1" rel="noopener">Artspark Holdings (3663 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
This insight is a follow-up to TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2022). 
Our latest top pick for TOPIX Inclusion pre-events is Artspark Holdings (3663 JP). 


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jan 2023)

Japan

Sun* Inc. operates as a creative design studio. The Company provides application user interface design services. Sun* provides its services throughout Japan.

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Sun* (4053 JP)

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 26th): Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, McDonald's, Canon

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Skylark (3197 JP), Tokyo Electron (8035 JP), Disco (6146 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TOPIX Index Upweights: An Early Preview Of "The Big April Basket" 2023

Daiei Kankyo, Socionext, Sun* , Mercari, Loadstar Capital, Bewith, Medley, and Appier Group are our high-conviction names that could see their...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

January TOPIX FFW Review - Some Big Sells

The TOPIX January 2023 FFW trade was announced today. 57 down-weights, 11 FFW up-weights. The Phased Weight Reduction has its second leg. Total to...

Travis Lundy

Sun* (Sun Asterisk - 4053 JP) TOPIX Inclusion Event

Sun Asterisk (a.k.a. Sun*) is a "Digital Creative" agency which consults and builds IT products for customers. It will enter TOPIX at end-January....

Travis Lundy

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jan 2023)

Out of the 1,600+ TSE-listed names that are not part of the Prime market, around 100+ can satisfy most of the key conditions for a prime market...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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