Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 85% of the review period complete, we see 10 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on market cap and liquidity and could make it into the final list depending on price/volume over the next few weeks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and pre-positioning could continue till the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


With 85% of the review period complete, we see 10 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on market cap and liquidity and could make it into the final list depending on price/volume over the next few weeks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and pre-positioning could continue till the end of the review period.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Moving in the Right Direction

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KOSDAQ 150's December rebalancing will feature seven regular changes and two special entries.</li>
<li>Among the additions, we should focus on Dear U and ISC, which have a balanced level of liquidity and flow, rather than those theme stocks with high volatility.</li>
<li>As for Nature Holdings, Eoflow, and Nextin, I suggest a more aggressive entry point due to low trading volume. Then, I'd basket-trade the deletions on equal weight.</li>
</ul>


KOSDAQ 150's December rebalancing will feature seven regular changes and two special entries.
Among the additions, we should focus on Dear U and ISC, which have a balanced level of liquidity and flow, rather than those theme stocks with high volatility.
As for Nature Holdings, Eoflow, and Nextin, I suggest a more aggressive entry point due to low trading volume. Then, I'd basket-trade the deletions on equal weight.


KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing: 7 Regular Changes + 2 Special Entries

<ul>
<li>K Car's major shareholder is Hahn &amp; Company, which has already fully recovered the initial investment. So, there is an actual probability that it will make an aggressive exit.</li>
<li>SingEel's 3-month IPO institutional and VCs will be released, 6.18% of SO. All of them are in a profit zone, there is a possibility that an aggressive overhang will occur.</li>
<li>Kakao's 47% holdings in Kakao Pay will be released. The possibility of lowering the stake seems quite low. Nevertheless, we must consider the risk that this will affect market sentiment.</li>
</ul>


K Car's major shareholder is Hahn &amp; Company, which has already fully recovered the initial investment. So, there is an actual probability that it will make an aggressive exit.
SingEel's 3-month IPO institutional and VCs will be released, 6.18% of SO. All of them are in a profit zone, there is a possibility that an aggressive overhang will occur.
Kakao's 47% holdings in Kakao Pay will be released. The possibility of lowering the stake seems quite low. Nevertheless, we must consider the risk that this will affect market sentiment.


Noteworthy Lockup Releases for the Next Two Months in Korea

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>WCP starts trading on its IPO tomorrow (30 September) in Korea. Even at the lower share price of 60,000 won, we continue to have a Negative View of WCP. </li>
<li>We have updated our valuation on WCP taking into account the latest prices and valuation multiples of the comps as of 29 September. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation of WCP is market cap of 1.8 trillion won or target price of 51,973 won, which is 13% lower than the IPO price of 60,000 won.</li>
</ul>


WCP starts trading on its IPO tomorrow (30 September) in Korea. Even at the lower share price of 60,000 won, we continue to have a Negative View of WCP. 
We have updated our valuation on WCP taking into account the latest prices and valuation multiples of the comps as of 29 September. 
Our base case valuation of WCP is market cap of 1.8 trillion won or target price of 51,973 won, which is 13% lower than the IPO price of 60,000 won.


Trading Strategy for WCP Post Lowered IPO Price

Mirae Asset TIGER Secondary Cell ETF / Event-Driven

Mirae Asset TIGER Secondary Cell ETF (305540 KS)

<ul>
<li>The rebalancing trading will be at the close on October 13. The AUM currently amounts to ₩1.32T with 28 constituents, implying that the passive impacts wouldn't be insignificant.</li>
<li>It will likely show a similar pattern to the last rebalancing. With no constituent change, weight adjustment by 10% cap of top stocks leads to weight adjustment of the rest.</li>
<li>An important variable here is the entry of newly listed stocks. <strong>SungEel Hitech</strong> and <strong>Sebitchem</strong>, the two larger cap stocks, appear to have a reasonably high inclusion probability.</li>
</ul>


The rebalancing trading will be at the close on October 13. The AUM currently amounts to ₩1.32T with 28 constituents, implying that the passive impacts wouldn't be insignificant.
It will likely show a similar pattern to the last rebalancing. With no constituent change, weight adjustment by 10% cap of top stocks leads to weight adjustment of the rest.
An important variable here is the entry of newly listed stocks. SungEel Hitech and Sebitchem, the two larger cap stocks, appear to have a reasonably high inclusion probability.


TIGER Battery ETF (WISE) Rebalancing in October

South Korea

Sungeel Hitech Co., Ltd. operates as a leading secondary battery recycling company. The Company provides lithium ion battery recycling, sustainable rechargeable battery recycling, waste batteries full circulatory recycling, and circulation services. Sungeel Hitech markets its products worldwide.

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Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Moving in the Right Direction

There could be 10 changes to the KOSDAQ150 Index in December. There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing: 7 Regular Changes + 2 Special Entries

KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing in December will feature 7 regular changes and 2 special entries. This post details the screening results and the resulting...

Sanghyun Park

Noteworthy Lockup Releases for the Next Two Months in Korea

This post investigates the noteworthy lockup releases on KOSPI and KOSDAQ for the next two months, October and November.

Sanghyun Park

Trading Strategy for WCP Post Lowered IPO Price

Our base case valuation of WCP is market cap of 1.8 trillion won or target price of 51,973 won, which is 13% lower than the IPO price of 60,000 won.

Douglas Kim

TIGER Battery ETF (WISE) Rebalancing in October

This post investigates the upcoming rebalancing situation of the TIGER Secondary Cell ETF (WISE Index), with a focus on the entry possibility of...

Sanghyun Park

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