Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Mirae Asset TIGER Secondary Cell ETF / Event-Driven

Mirae Asset TIGER Secondary Cell ETF (305540 KS)

<ul>
<li>The rebalancing trading will be at the close on October 13. The AUM currently amounts to ₩1.32T with 28 constituents, implying that the passive impacts wouldn't be insignificant.</li>
<li>It will likely show a similar pattern to the last rebalancing. With no constituent change, weight adjustment by 10% cap of top stocks leads to weight adjustment of the rest.</li>
<li>An important variable here is the entry of newly listed stocks. SungEel Hitech and Sebitchem, the two larger cap stocks, appear to have a reasonably high inclusion probability.</li>
</ul>


The rebalancing trading will be at the close on October 13. The AUM currently amounts to ₩1.32T with 28 constituents, implying that the passive impacts wouldn't be insignificant.
It will likely show a similar pattern to the last rebalancing. With no constituent change, weight adjustment by 10% cap of top stocks leads to weight adjustment of the rest.
An important variable here is the entry of newly listed stocks. SungEel Hitech and Sebitchem, the two larger cap stocks, appear to have a reasonably high inclusion probability.


TIGER Battery ETF (WISE) Rebalancing in October

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hpsp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36004:1" rel="noopener">HPSP (403870 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sungeel-hitech-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36028:1" rel="noopener">Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS)</a> are the candidates for Early Entry in the December rebalancing as they sit comfortably within the Early Entry zone.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rsupport-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14783:1" rel="noopener">Rsupport (131370 KS)</a> and Kona I (052400 KS) are safe deletion bets. If they are not deleted through the rebalancing process, they will most likely be excluded by Early Entry.</li>
<li>
HPSP and SungEel should see an inflow equivalent to 0.9x and 0.8x ADTVs, respectively. Rsupport and Kona I will likely suffer an outflow of 3.4x and 3.8x ADTVs, respectively.</li>
</ul>



HPSP (403870 KS) and Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS) are the candidates for Early Entry in the December rebalancing as they sit comfortably within the Early Entry zone.

Rsupport (131370 KS) and Kona I (052400 KS) are safe deletion bets. If they are not deleted through the rebalancing process, they will most likely be excluded by Early Entry.

HPSP and SungEel should see an inflow equivalent to 0.9x and 0.8x ADTVs, respectively. Rsupport and Kona I will likely suffer an outflow of 3.4x and 3.8x ADTVs, respectively.


KOSDAQ 150 Early Entry Candidates for December Rebalancing

<ul>
<li>I recommend focusing on the ceiling regression play. In this regard, SK Innovation has the most notable regression spread, and we should use Samsung SDI as a hedge against it.</li>
<li>As for constituent change, SungEel HiTech is firmly positioned with a market cap of ₩1.34T and a float rate of 50%. And it belongs to the Waste batteries keyword.</li>
<li>But, it is unclear whether SungEel will be in the top 25 in scoring. We should patiently wait until confirmation as it's still a worthy candidate requiring our attention.</li>
</ul>


I recommend focusing on the ceiling regression play. In this regard, SK Innovation has the most notable regression spread, and we should use Samsung SDI as a hedge against it.
As for constituent change, SungEel HiTech is firmly positioned with a market cap of ₩1.34T and a float rate of 50%. And it belongs to the Waste batteries keyword.
But, it is unclear whether SungEel will be in the top 25 in scoring. We should patiently wait until confirmation as it's still a worthy candidate requiring our attention.


KODEX FnGuide Battery ETF Rebalancing Checkup

<ul>
<li>So far, SungEel is in the top 50, currently ranked 38th. Given that the gap with 50th place is more than ₩100B, its early entry in December is very likely.</li>
<li>Rsupport is currently at the bottom with an average daily market cap of ₩0.27T. However, there are four other names under ₩0.30T, so we have to wait a little longer.</li>
<li>SungEel can expect a passive inflow equivalent to 1.0x ADTV. Combined with potential passive inflows from the local battery ETFs, it will form a quite solid flow momentum until December.</li>
</ul>


So far, SungEel is in the top 50, currently ranked 38th. Given that the gap with 50th place is more than ₩100B, its early entry in December is very likely.
Rsupport is currently at the bottom with an average daily market cap of ₩0.27T. However, there are four other names under ₩0.30T, so we have to wait a little longer.
SungEel can expect a passive inflow equivalent to 1.0x ADTV. Combined with potential passive inflows from the local battery ETFs, it will form a quite solid flow momentum until December.


SungEel HiTech: KOSDAQ 150 Early Entry in December

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SOCAR announced its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 28,000 won (18% lower than the low end of the IPO range).</li>
<li>Our base case target price for SOCAR is 27,176 won, which is 3% lower than the IPO price of 28,000 won. </li>
<li>We remain Negative on this IPO due to lack of upside. There were 348 companies involved in the IPO survey with the final demand ratio of 56 to 1.</li>
</ul>


SOCAR announced its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 28,000 won (18% lower than the low end of the IPO range).
Our base case target price for SOCAR is 27,176 won, which is 3% lower than the IPO price of 28,000 won. 
We remain Negative on this IPO due to lack of upside. There were 348 companies involved in the IPO survey with the final demand ratio of 56 to 1.


South Korea

Sungeel Hitech Co., Ltd. operates as a leading secondary battery recycling company. The Company provides lithium ion battery recycling, sustainable rechargeable battery recycling, waste batteries full circulatory recycling, and circulation services. Sungeel Hitech markets its products worldwide.

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Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS)

TIGER Battery ETF (WISE) Rebalancing in October

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KOSDAQ 150 Early Entry Candidates for December Rebalancing

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KODEX FnGuide Battery ETF Rebalancing Checkup

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SungEel HiTech: KOSDAQ 150 Early Entry in December

This post investigates the possibility of SungEel HiTech's early entry to the KOSDAQ 150 at the upcoming rebalancing in December.

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SOCAR IPO Book Building Results

SOCAR announced its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 28,000 won (18% lower than the low end of the IPO range).

Douglas Kim

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