Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 4th. </li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$727.6 million, led by consumer staples, utilities, and offset by materials, industrials, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, BYD, Mindray, Tianqi, Moutai, Yangtze Power, Yili, East Money, Wintech.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 4th. 
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$727.6 million, led by consumer staples, utilities, and offset by materials, industrials, consumer discretionary.
We highlight flows for CATL, BYD, Mindray, Tianqi, Moutai, Yangtze Power, Yili, East Money, Wintech.


Northbound Flows (Nov 4th): Moutai, Yangtze Power, Yili, East Money, Wintech

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows for September with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate the monthly outflows to be USD 1,383.9 million, led by industrial, financial and consumer staple sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Gree, Qinghai Salt Lake, Bank of Jiangsu, S.F. Holding, Daqin Railway, and outflows from CMB, CALT, Zhejiang Sanhua, Moutai, BOE.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows for September with our data engine.
We estimate the monthly outflows to be USD 1,383.9 million, led by industrial, financial and consumer staple sectors.
We highlight inflows into Gree, Qinghai Salt Lake, Bank of Jiangsu, S.F. Holding, Daqin Railway, and outflows from CMB, CALT, Zhejiang Sanhua, Moutai, BOE.


Northbound Flows Monthly (September): CMB, Gree, CATL, Moutai

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 30th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$994.7 million, led by consumer staples, health care, materials sectors, and offset by financials, industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake, Longi Green, CMB, TCL Zhonghuan, Sungrow.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 30th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$994.7 million, led by consumer staples, health care, materials sectors, and offset by financials, industrials.
We highlight flows for Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake, Longi Green, CMB, TCL Zhonghuan, Sungrow.


Northbound Flows (Sep 30th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.1bn, split between Shanghai (+US$0.76bn) and Shenzhen (+US$0.31bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a> and Wuliangye (000858 SZ). The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:714:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank A (600036 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sungrow-power-supply-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4255:1" rel="noopener">Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.1bn, split between Shanghai (+US$0.76bn) and Shenzhen (+US$0.31bn).
The largest inflows were into Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH) and Wuliangye (000858 SZ). The largest outflows were in China Merchants Bank A (600036 CH) and Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Growatt Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a>, a leading PV inverters manufacturer, will seek a listing hearing for a US$1 billion HKEx IPO in October, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80963" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on rising customer concentration risk, high dependence on Brazil for growth, limited pricing power and a shift to FCF burn. </li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH), a leading PV inverters manufacturer, will seek a listing hearing for a US$1 billion HKEx IPO in October, according to press reports.
In Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. 
The key elements of the bear case rest on rising customer concentration risk, high dependence on Brazil for growth, limited pricing power and a shift to FCF burn. 


China

Sungrow Power Supply Company Limited develops, produces, sells and provides services for solar PV inverters, wind power converters and other power supply. The Company also provides system solutions to renewable energy industry users.

Price Gauge
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Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH)

Northbound Flows (Nov 4th): Moutai, Yangtze Power, Yili, East Money, Wintech

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, BYD, Mindray, Tianqi, Moutai, Yangtze Power,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (September): CMB, Gree, CATL, Moutai

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for September and highlight flows for Gree, Qinghai Salt Lake, Bank of Jiangsu, S.F. Holding,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Sep 30th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake, Longi Green,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)

Overall, net inflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.1bn, split between Shanghai...

David Blennerhassett

Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case's key elements are rising customer concentration risk, high dependence on Brazil for growth, limited pricing power and a shift to FCF...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (Nov 4th): Moutai, Yangtze Power, Yili, East Money, Wintech

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, BYD, Mindray, Tianqi, Moutai, Yangtze Power,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (September): CMB, Gree, CATL, Moutai

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for September and highlight flows for Gree, Qinghai Salt Lake, Bank of Jiangsu, S.F. Holding,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Sep 30th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, Wuliangye, Qinghai Salt Lake, Longi Green,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)

Overall, net inflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.1bn, split between Shanghai...

David Blennerhassett

Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case's key elements are rising customer concentration risk, high dependence on Brazil for growth, limited pricing power and a shift to FCF...

Arun George

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (30 September 2022)