Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Xiaomi and Stepfun all shipped model updates, with price cuts and open weights at the center of the week.</li>
<li>AI infrastructure financing stayed active across Akamai, Nscale, Firmus, Oracle-linked data centers, CoreWeave facilities and SoftBank debt.</li>
<li>Regulatory and security news focused on Pentagon supply-chain controls, OpenAI evaluation incidents and US review before UK model testing.</li>
</ul>


Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Xiaomi and Stepfun all shipped model updates, with price cuts and open weights at the center of the week.
AI infrastructure financing stayed active across Akamai, Nscale, Firmus, Oracle-linked data centers, CoreWeave facilities and SoftBank debt.
Regulatory and security news focused on Pentagon supply-chain controls, OpenAI evaluation incidents and US review before UK model testing.


This Week in AI (Sep 20-26): Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Launch Cheaper; Data Center IPO Delays

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>Y/Y improvement for LCD, PMIC, GaAs RF, gaming card, cooling system, semi equipment&amp;material, semi fab construction, memory, and foundry vendors but more y/y deterioration for WiFi and CMOS sensor vendors</li>
<li>After 6 vendors beating consensus, we might see AI server supply chain, large panel LCD driver, WiFi/networking, and NAND flash vendors in US to report a better than expected 1Q24.</li>
<li>We might see 8"/12" raw wafer (like Shin Etsu, SUMCO , National Silicon Industry, Siltronic AG) vendors in Japan, China, and Germany to report a worse than expected 1Q24.</li>
</ul>


Y/Y improvement for LCD, PMIC, GaAs RF, gaming card, cooling system, semi equipment&amp;material, semi fab construction, memory, and foundry vendors but more y/y deterioration for WiFi and CMOS sensor vendors
After 6 vendors beating consensus, we might see AI server supply chain, large panel LCD driver, WiFi/networking, and NAND flash vendors in US to report a better than expected 1Q24.
We might see 8"/12" raw wafer (like Shin Etsu, SUMCO , National Silicon Industry, Siltronic AG) vendors in Japan, China, and Germany to report a worse than expected 1Q24.


Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AI Accelerators (Nvidia and AMD GPU, hyperscalers’ chips) receive a lot of attention. AI rack assemblers, the companies that turn GPU into systems are equally interesting – and concentrated.</li>
<li>They are mostly Taiwanese firms: Hon Hai, Quanta, Wistron, Wiwynn and module makers like Accton. Growth of the top suppliers is impressive, stocks aren’t expensive.</li>
<li>2 different markets: hyperscalers customized racks, and Nvidia standard products. It is possible that standard racks that go into AI data centers or “AI factory” will outgrow hyperscalers’ spending.</li>
</ul>


AI Accelerators (Nvidia and AMD GPU, hyperscalers’ chips) receive a lot of attention. AI rack assemblers, the companies that turn GPU into systems are equally interesting – and concentrated.
They are mostly Taiwanese firms: Hon Hai, Quanta, Wistron, Wiwynn and module makers like Accton. Growth of the top suppliers is impressive, stocks aren’t expensive.
2 different markets: hyperscalers customized racks, and Nvidia standard products. It is possible that standard racks that go into AI data centers or “AI factory” will outgrow hyperscalers’ spending.


AI Servers: The Big System Designers / Assemblers in Taiwan

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/palantir-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27728:1" rel="noopener">Palantir Technologies (PLTR US)</a> is anticipated to be the largest addition following its eligibility, which was secured through a listing transfer from NYSE to Nasdaq just before the cut-off date.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/super-micro-computer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7921:1" rel="noopener">Super Micro Computer (SMCI US)</a> is projected to exit the index despite its recent entry in July 2024, as it has ranked above the exit threshold of 125.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (ARM US)</a> is <em>not </em>an expected deletion due to special ADR market cap treatment. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/equinix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17409:1" rel="noopener">Equinix Inc (EQIX US)</a> is <em>not </em>an expected addition because it is a REIT.</li>
</ul>



Palantir Technologies (PLTR US) is anticipated to be the largest addition following its eligibility, which was secured through a listing transfer from NYSE to Nasdaq just before the cut-off date.

Super Micro Computer (SMCI US) is projected to exit the index despite its recent entry in July 2024, as it has ranked above the exit threshold of 125.

ARM Holdings (ARM US) is not an expected deletion due to special ADR market cap treatment. Equinix Inc (EQIX US) is not an expected addition because it is a REIT.


Nasdaq100 December 2024 Forecast (Final): Palantir's Last-Minute Entry; Arm's Subtle Retention

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (ARM US)</a> has secured a place in the index and is no longer a deletion candidate thanks to the recent methodology changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microstrategy-inc-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14717:1" rel="noopener">Microstrategy Inc Cl A (MSTR US)</a> are the main candidates for direct addition following their recent stock price surge.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dollar-tree-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10913:1" rel="noopener">Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR US)</a> is the favorable candidate for direct deletion in December with an additional but negligible probability of fast-exit in November.</li>
</ul>



ARM Holdings (ARM US) has secured a place in the index and is no longer a deletion candidate thanks to the recent methodology changes.

AppLovin (APP US) and Microstrategy Inc Cl A (MSTR US) are the main candidates for direct addition following their recent stock price surge.

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR US) is the favorable candidate for direct deletion in December with an additional but negligible probability of fast-exit in November.


Nasdaq100 December 2024 Forecasts (Part 2): APP & MSTR Poised for Entry; DLTR & SMCI Set for Exit

United States

Super Micro Computer, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures and sells server solutions based on modular and open-standard x86 architecture. The Company's products include servers, motherboards, chassis, and accessories.

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Super Micro Computer (SMCI US)

This Week in AI (Sep 20-26): Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Launch Cheaper; Data Center IPO Delays

This week in AI: Anthropic and OpenAI cut frontier-model costs, Grok 4.7 entered major coding channels, and financing stress hit infrastructure.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales; we might see AI server, WiFi/networking, and NAND vendors in US to beat 1Q24 but...

Andrew Lu

AI Servers: The Big System Designers / Assemblers in Taiwan

Taiwanese AI rack assemblers are gaining attention for turning GPUs into systems, showing impressive growth in the AI server rack market. Stocks...

Nicolas Baratte

Nasdaq100 December 2024 Forecast (Final): Palantir's Last-Minute Entry; Arm's Subtle Retention

F1: 100%. All of the forecasts matched the index changes announced at the close of Friday 13 December. SMCI fell more than 11% in premarket trading...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Nasdaq100 December 2024 Forecasts (Part 2): APP & MSTR Poised for Entry; DLTR & SMCI Set for Exit

Fast-Exit has been announced and will be implemented for DLTR at the close of 15 November 2024 where the stock will be deleted from Nasdaq100 and...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

This Week in AI (Sep 20-26): Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Launch Cheaper; Data Center IPO Delays

This week in AI: Anthropic and OpenAI cut frontier-model costs, Grok 4.7 entered major coding channels, and financing stress hit infrastructure.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales; we might see AI server, WiFi/networking, and NAND vendors in US to beat 1Q24 but...

Andrew Lu

AI Servers: The Big System Designers / Assemblers in Taiwan

​Taiwanese AI rack assemblers are gaining attention for turning GPUs into systems, showing impressive growth in the AI server rack market. Stocks...

Nicolas Baratte

Nasdaq100 December 2024 Forecast (Final): Palantir's Last-Minute Entry; Arm's Subtle Retention

F1: 100%. All of the forecasts matched the index changes announced at the close of Friday 13 December. SMCI fell more than 11% in premarket trading...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Nasdaq100 December 2024 Forecasts (Part 2): APP & MSTR Poised for Entry; DLTR & SMCI Set for Exit

Fast-Exit has been announced and will be implemented for DLTR at the close of 15 November 2024 where the stock will be deleted from Nasdaq100 and...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Taiwanese AI rack assemblers are gaining attention for turning GPUs into systems, showing impressive growth in the AI server rack market. Stocks...