Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 19th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,663m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Furukawa Battery, Kioxia, Skylark, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Disco, McDonald's, Mizuho Financial, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Furukawa Battery, Kioxia, Skylark.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 19th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,663m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Furukawa Battery, Kioxia, Skylark, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Disco, McDonald's, Mizuho Financial, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Furukawa Battery, Kioxia, Skylark.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 19th): Furukawa Battery, Kioxia, Skylark, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 17th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD18,404m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SoftBank, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Recruit, Furukawa Electric, Ihi, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 17th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD18,404m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SoftBank, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Recruit, Furukawa Electric, Ihi, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 17th): IHI, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Several days ago I published a piece showing the data for TOPIX flows for April month-end.</li>
<li>This is an update reflecting new data companies have reported to regulators, one large correction to a data provider's data, and one Very Large Flow.</li>
<li>I believe that the revised data is more accurate. And there is more flow. With a spreadsheet attached. </li>
</ul>


Several days ago I published a piece showing the data for TOPIX flows for April month-end.
This is an update reflecting new data companies have reported to regulators, one large correction to a data provider's data, and one Very Large Flow.
I believe that the revised data is more accurate. And there is more flow. With a spreadsheet attached. 


Updated TOPIX Big April Basket Flows; More Big Flows and ¥270bn a Side

<ul>
<li>Every year in April there is an interesting phenomenon with TOPIX. It is what <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> calls "The Big April Basket." The TSE re-assesses Liquidity Factor Coefficients.</li>
<li>It also does a FFW change, and this year it has Phased Weight Reductions for those slowly leaving TOPIX and PWR re-inclusions for those identified last October as going back.</li>
<li>Janaghan had 18 "High Conviction" LF removals. All were hits. They are upweights. Then there are 34 changes to FFW coefficients.</li>
</ul>


Every year in April there is an interesting phenomenon with TOPIX. It is what Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA calls "The Big April Basket." The TSE re-assesses Liquidity Factor Coefficients.
It also does a FFW change, and this year it has Phased Weight Reductions for those slowly leaving TOPIX and PWR re-inclusions for those identified last October as going back.
Janaghan had 18 "High Conviction" LF removals. All were hits. They are upweights. Then there are 34 changes to FFW coefficients.


The TOPIX Big April Basket Flows:  ¥200bn a Side Including Many Multi-ADV Flows

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Murakami to tender stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>? Maybe the "double arb": i.e. short on swap, long on cash, will tender the cash, remain short the back end.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> rejected (for now) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a>'s bid based on regulatory concerns.  Hanwha reckons these should not be an issue.</li>
<li>If you can tolerate owning the mobile biz, buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a> on dips. If not, avoid Rakuten Group and Rakuten Bank short-term; buy Rakuten Bank on larger dips.</li>
</ul>


Murakami to tender stake in JSR Corp (4185 JP)? Maybe the "double arb": i.e. short on swap, long on cash, will tender the cash, remain short the back end.

Austal Ltd (ASB AU) rejected (for now) Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)'s bid based on regulatory concerns.  Hanwha reckons these should not be an issue.
If you can tolerate owning the mobile biz, buy Rakuten (4755 JP) on dips. If not, avoid Rakuten Group and Rakuten Bank short-term; buy Rakuten Bank on larger dips.


Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Austal, Rakuten, Hyundai Home Shopping, Hanmi Science

Japan

Suruga Bank Ltd. is a Shizuoka based regional bank mainly operating in the Kanto area (central eastern part of Japan) including Tokyo.  The Bank provides deposits, loans, and foreign exchange transactions.  The Suruga Bank also provides financial services such as leasing, letter of credit, and credit cards services.

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Suruga Bank Ltd (8358 JP)

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 19th): Furukawa Battery, Kioxia, Skylark, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Furukawa Battery (6937 JP), Kioxia (285A JP), Skylark (3197 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 17th): IHI, Kobe Bussan, Advantest, Disco

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted IHI (7013 JP), Kobe Bussan (3038 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Disco...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Updated TOPIX Big April Basket Flows; More Big Flows and ¥270bn a Side

Earnings releases in tech will start to pick up the next few days, and while the market is open on the 29th then also on the 1st and 2nd, the 5-day...

Travis Lundy

The TOPIX Big April Basket Flows: ¥200bn a Side Including Many Multi-ADV Flows

The TOPIX Big April Basket is ¥200bn a side of flows - FFW changes, PWR cascading deletions, PWR unwinds, share count changes, Liquidity Factor...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Austal, Rakuten, Hyundai Home Shopping, Hanmi Science

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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