US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The anchor lock-up expired on 13 Feb 2025 and the pre-IPO shareholder lock-up expires on 13 May 2025. The free float is forecasted to increase from ~13% to ~40%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> is expected to be added to global all-world at the June 2025 review following its IPO in November 2024 and the lock-up expiries.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> is expected to be added to global standard in May 2025 if top-down approach is used for free float. Otherwise, its addition will take place in August.</li>
</ul>


The anchor lock-up expired on 13 Feb 2025 and the pre-IPO shareholder lock-up expires on 13 May 2025. The free float is forecasted to increase from ~13% to ~40%.

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) is expected to be added to global all-world at the June 2025 review following its IPO in November 2024 and the lock-up expiries.

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) is expected to be added to global standard in May 2025 if top-down approach is used for free float. Otherwise, its addition will take place in August.


Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): Post-IPO Global Index Inclusion & Final Lockup Expires In May 2025

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>India is set to witness <strong>INR 4.02 trillion</strong> worth of Pre-IPO shares becoming tradeable by June 2025, lead to huge selling pressure among various IPO stocks.</li>
<li>We identified <strong>6 Companies</strong> where lock-in is about to expire and analyzed their current status in terms of their business and industry environment.</li>
<li>Some fundamentally good companies also provide opportunities at a good price due to a fall because of selling pressure in these companies after lock-in expiry.</li>
</ul>


India is set to witness INR 4.02 trillion worth of Pre-IPO shares becoming tradeable by June 2025, lead to huge selling pressure among various IPO stocks.
We identified 6 Companies where lock-in is about to expire and analyzed their current status in terms of their business and industry environment.
Some fundamentally good companies also provide opportunities at a good price due to a fall because of selling pressure in these companies after lock-in expiry.


IPO Lock-In Expiry: These 6 Companies Need Closer Look!

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy</a> is now looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the updates since then and valuations.</li>
</ul>



Ather Energy is now looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.
Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.
In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the updates since then and valuations.


Ather Energy IPO - Still Not Cheap Enough

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/devyani-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33519:1" rel="noopener">Devyani International (DEVYANI IN)</a> which operates QSRs such as KFC, Pizza Hut in India plans to acquire Sky Gate Hospitality Pvt. Ltd., the operator of the “Biryani By Kilo”.</li>
<li>This acquisition can diversify Devyani's portfolio beyond its core quick‑service restaurant (QSR) franchises—KFC and Pizza Hut—at a time when same‑store sales growth has softened.</li>
<li>With the rise of off-premise dining and food delivery post pandemic, cloud kitchens are expanding across the board thanks to scalable, asset‑light model, and ability to bypass traditional dine‑in overheads.</li>
</ul>



Devyani International (DEVYANI IN) which operates QSRs such as KFC, Pizza Hut in India plans to acquire Sky Gate Hospitality Pvt. Ltd., the operator of the “Biryani By Kilo”.
This acquisition can diversify Devyani's portfolio beyond its core quick‑service restaurant (QSR) franchises—KFC and Pizza Hut—at a time when same‑store sales growth has softened.
With the rise of off-premise dining and food delivery post pandemic, cloud kitchens are expanding across the board thanks to scalable, asset‑light model, and ability to bypass traditional dine‑in overheads.


Devyani Intnl.: Yum Brands India Franchisee to Acquire Cloud Kitchen Operator. In Pursuit of Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> listed in November 2024 and around 85% of the shares outstanding (US$7.6bn) will unlock on 13 May.</li>
<li>Nearly 80% of the shares that unlock are held by pre-IPO PE/VC investors and they are 100% in the money in most cases. Expect the selldown to commence soon.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> should be added to one global index in June, while inclusion in the other global index will require a small price increase or selling from PE/VC investors.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) listed in November 2024 and around 85% of the shares outstanding (US$7.6bn) will unlock on 13 May.
Nearly 80% of the shares that unlock are held by pre-IPO PE/VC investors and they are 100% in the money in most cases. Expect the selldown to commence soon.

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) should be added to one global index in June, while inclusion in the other global index will require a small price increase or selling from PE/VC investors.


Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

India

Swiggy is an Indian online food ordering and delivery company. It also operates quick-commerce services under Instamart for grocery and household items, and offers restaurant reservation services through Dineout. The company is headquartered in Bengaluru, India, and was founded in 2013.

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Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): Post-IPO Global Index Inclusion & Final Lockup Expires In May 2025

Following research, due to the 6-month lock-up on the pre-offer share capital, the free float increase from 13% to 40% is expected to take place on...

Dimitris Ioannidis

IPO Lock-In Expiry: These 6 Companies Need Closer Look!

India to see INR 4.02 trillion worth of Pre-IPO shares tradeable by June 2025, leading to selling pressure on various IPO stocks.

Nimish Maheshwari

Ather Energy IPO - Still Not Cheap Enough

Ather Energy is now looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations for the IPO.

Sumeet Singh

Devyani Intnl.: Yum Brands India Franchisee to Acquire Cloud Kitchen Operator. In Pursuit of Growth

As off‑premise dining surges and traditional restaurants stall, India’s cloud kitchens are booming—Devyani’s acquisition of delivery first Biryani...

Devi Subhakesan

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

There is a US$7.6bn lock-up expiry in Swiggy on 12 May - 80% of that is PE/VC, so expect selling. The stock could remain under pressure but PE/VC...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): Post-IPO Global Index Inclusion & Final Lockup Expires In May 2025

Following research, due to the 6-month lock-up on the pre-offer share capital, the free float increase from 13% to 40% is expected to take place on...

Dimitris Ioannidis

IPO Lock-In Expiry: These 6 Companies Need Closer Look!

​India to see INR 4.02 trillion worth of Pre-IPO shares tradeable by June 2025, leading to selling pressure on various IPO stocks.

Nimish Maheshwari

Ather Energy IPO - Still Not Cheap Enough

Ather Energy is now looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations for the IPO.

Sumeet Singh

Devyani Intnl.: Yum Brands India Franchisee to Acquire Cloud Kitchen Operator. In Pursuit of Growth

As off‑premise dining surges and traditional restaurants stall, India’s cloud kitchens are booming—Devyani’s acquisition of delivery first Biryani...

Devi Subhakesan

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

There is a US$7.6bn lock-up expiry in Swiggy on 12 May - 80% of that is PE/VC, so expect selling. The stock could remain under pressure but PE/VC...

Brian Freitas

India to see INR 4.02 trillion worth of Pre-IPO shares tradeable by June 2025, leading to selling pressure on various IPO stocks.