External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe is set for a mixed performance in Q1FY26, with overall revenue projected to grow by ~18% YoY in Q1FY26, driven by a few outliers, both positive and negative</li><li>Excluding the strong growth from new age businesses (~49% growth YoY) and headwinds faced by paint companies (~2% growth YoY, negative), our universe is still likely to grow at ~17%</li><li>We anticipate continued margin pressure as SSSGs remain weak, ranging from negative to lower single-digits for most</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe is set for a mixed performance in Q1FY26, with overall revenue projected to grow by ~18% YoY in Q1FY26, driven by a few outliers, both positive and negativeExcluding the strong growth from new age businesses (~49% growth YoY) and headwinds faced by paint companies (~2% growth YoY, negative), our universe is still likely to grow at ~17%We anticipate continued margin pressure as SSSGs remain weak, ranging from negative to lower single-digits for mostContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Q1FY26–a mixed bag

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> saw strong revenue growth, but intense competition and quick commerce costs led to declining profits or increased losses. </li>
<li>Zomato(Eternal) holds a strong advantage in food delivery profitability, reporting INR 428 crore adjusted EBITDA, and its IOCC status offers potential inventory benefits.   </li>
<li>Swiggy uses quick commerce for acquisition, scaling Bolt for speed which drives over 12% of food orders and boosts retention.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOMATO IN) and Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) saw strong revenue growth, but intense competition and quick commerce costs led to declining profits or increased losses. 
Zomato(Eternal) holds a strong advantage in food delivery profitability, reporting INR 428 crore adjusted EBITDA, and its IOCC status offers potential inventory benefits.   
Swiggy uses quick commerce for acquisition, scaling Bolt for speed which drives over 12% of food orders and boosts retention.


Eternal Vs. Swiggy: A Battle for Market Share or a Fight to Stay in the Game?

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe’s performance continues to be a mixed bag</li><li>Our coverage is expected to grow by ~16% YoY in Q4FY25, driven by a few outliers</li><li>Ex-new age and Trent, the universe is likely to grow at 11% alongside margin pressures as SSSGs remain weak (ranging from negative to lower single-digits)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe’s performance continues to be a mixed bagOur coverage is expected to grow by ~16% YoY in Q4FY25, driven by a few outliersEx-new age and Trent, the universe is likely to grow at 11% alongside margin pressures as SSSGs remain weak (ranging from negative to lower single-digits)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary (Q4FY25 Results Preview): Q4FY25–a mixed bag

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>By June 2025, shares worth INR 4.02 trillion across 73 IPOs will become tradeable post lock-in expiry, including major names like Hyundai, Swiggy, and NTPC Green.</li>
<li>This massive unlock could flood markets with fresh float, increasing supply dramatically and potentially causing short-term price corrections, especially in already weak or overvalued stocks.</li>
<li>Investors should prepare for near-term volatility but also watch for dips in strong businesses as potential accumulation opportunities once initial selling pressure subsides.</li>
</ul>


By June 2025, shares worth INR 4.02 trillion across 73 IPOs will become tradeable post lock-in expiry, including major names like Hyundai, Swiggy, and NTPC Green.
This massive unlock could flood markets with fresh float, increasing supply dramatically and potentially causing short-term price corrections, especially in already weak or overvalued stocks.
Investors should prepare for near-term volatility but also watch for dips in strong businesses as potential accumulation opportunities once initial selling pressure subsides.


₹4.02 Lakh Crore IPO Lock-In Expiry Wave in H1 2025 in Indian Markets

<ul>
<li>U.S. crude exports to India hit a two-year high as refiners shift supply amid stricter sanctions on Russian oil shipments.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> , and Zepto face an antitrust probe over deep discounting, as local retailers allege unfair competition in India’s quick commerce sector.</li>
<li>Reliance Retail tightens operations, cuts jobs, and limits expansion to boost valuations ahead of IPO, as market concerns impact investor sentiment.</li>
</ul>


U.S. crude exports to India hit a two-year high as refiners shift supply amid stricter sanctions on Russian oil shipments.

Zomato (ZOMATO IN) , Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) , and Zepto face an antitrust probe over deep discounting, as local retailers allege unfair competition in India’s quick commerce sector.
Reliance Retail tightens operations, cuts jobs, and limits expansion to boost valuations ahead of IPO, as market concerns impact investor sentiment.


#116 India Insight: US Crude Exports to India Rise, Zomato Faces Probe, Reliance Cuts Jobs Pre-IPO

India

Swiggy is an Indian online food ordering and delivery company. It also operates quick-commerce services under Instamart for grocery and household items, and offers restaurant reservation services through Dineout. The company is headquartered in Bengaluru, India, and was founded in 2013.

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Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)

Consumer Discretionary (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Q1FY26–a mixed bag

Our discretionary universe is set for a mixed performance in Q1FY26, with overall revenue projected to grow by ~18% YoY in Q1FY26, driven by a few...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Discretionary (Q4FY25 Results Preview): Q4FY25–a mixed bag

Our discretionary universe’s performance continues to be a mixed bag. Our coverage is expected to grow by ~16% YoY in Q4FY25, driven by a few outliers

HDFC Securities

₹4.02 Lakh Crore IPO Lock-In Expiry Wave in H1 2025 in Indian Markets

By June 2025, INR 4.02 trillion worth of shares from 73 IPOs will become tradeable, potentially causing short-term price corrections and increased...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#116 India Insight: US Crude Exports to India Rise, Zomato Faces Probe, Reliance Cuts Jobs Pre-IPO

U.S. crude exports to India rise amid sanctions on Russian oil; Zomato, Swiggy, and Zepto face antitrust probe in India; Reliance Retail cuts jobs...

Sudarshan Bhandari

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Consumer Discretionary (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Q1FY26–a mixed bag

Our discretionary universe is set for a mixed performance in Q1FY26, with overall revenue projected to grow by ~18% YoY in Q1FY26, driven by a few...

HDFC Securities

Eternal Vs. Swiggy: A Battle for Market Share or a Fight to Stay in the Game?

​Zomato and Swiggy experience revenue growth but face profit challenges due to competition and quick commerce costs. Zomato holds advantage in food...

Nimish Maheshwari

Consumer Discretionary (Q4FY25 Results Preview): Q4FY25–a mixed bag

Our discretionary universe’s performance continues to be a mixed bag. Our coverage is expected to grow by ~16% YoY in Q4FY25, driven by a few outliers

HDFC Securities

₹4.02 Lakh Crore IPO Lock-In Expiry Wave in H1 2025 in Indian Markets

​By June 2025, INR 4.02 trillion worth of shares from 73 IPOs will become tradeable, potentially causing short-term price corrections and increased...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#116 India Insight: US Crude Exports to India Rise, Zomato Faces Probe, Reliance Cuts Jobs Pre-IPO

​U.S. crude exports to India rise amid sanctions on Russian oil; Zomato, Swiggy, and Zepto face antitrust probe in India; Reliance Retail cuts jobs...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Zomato and Swiggy experience revenue growth but face profit challenges due to competition and quick commerce costs. Zomato holds advantage in food...

By June 2025, INR 4.02 trillion worth of shares from 73 IPOs will become tradeable, potentially causing short-term price corrections and increased...

U.S. crude exports to India rise amid sanctions on Russian oil; Zomato, Swiggy, and Zepto face antitrust probe in India; Reliance Retail cuts jobs...