Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 9th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 9th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 9th): Aia, Hang Seng Bank, Swire Pacific

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a>, 82%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> all announced interim results this week. </li>
<li>Of interest was Swire Prop announcing a HK$1.5bn share buyback. Shares popped 12% on the news. </li>
<li>Swire Pac remains cheap on a look-through P/B of 0.34x. However, the implied stub and simple ratio (Pac/Props) have just rolled over from multi-year peaks. </li>
</ul>



Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK), 82%-held Swire Properties (1972 HK), and Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) all announced interim results this week. 
Of interest was Swire Prop announcing a HK$1.5bn share buyback. Shares popped 12% on the news. 
Swire Pac remains cheap on a look-through P/B of 0.34x. However, the implied stub and simple ratio (Pac/Props) have just rolled over from multi-year peaks. 


Thoughts On Swire Properties (1972 HK)'s Buyback

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There is nothing in the main investments at JM that suggests the grind lower on ROE and net profit will suddenly reverse, rather it should continue</li>
<li>Astra International, Hong Kong Land, and DFI Retail are key to JM and there is little joy here, with HKL potentially having more valuation impairments</li>
<li>Quarterly figures from Astra, which are a window on the current interim for JM, are not positive, with the worst quarter in over one year</li>
</ul>


There is nothing in the main investments at JM that suggests the grind lower on ROE and net profit will suddenly reverse, rather it should continue
Astra International, Hong Kong Land, and DFI Retail are key to JM and there is little joy here, with HKL potentially having more valuation impairments
Quarterly figures from Astra, which are a window on the current interim for JM, are not positive, with the worst quarter in over one year


Jardine Matheson - The Slow Grind Lower Can Continue

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The steady selloff in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> could result in the stock being deleted from global passive portfolios in the next couple of months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> trades marginally cheaper than its similar sized peers on forward PE and price to book value.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> owns 82% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> and a big drop in the stock price could see them step in.</li>
</ul>


The steady selloff in Swire Properties (1972 HK) could result in the stock being deleted from global passive portfolios in the next couple of months.

Swire Properties (1972 HK) trades marginally cheaper than its similar sized peers on forward PE and price to book value.

Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) owns 82% of Swire Properties (1972 HK) and a big drop in the stock price could see them step in.


Swire Properties (1972 HK): Potential Passive Selling & Trade Ideas

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 7th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi Corporation (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 7th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi Corporation (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 7th): Tencent, Aia, Xiaomi Corporation

Hong Kong

Swire Pacific is a Hong Kong-based international conglomerate with diversified interests in property, aviation, beverages, and trading & industrials. It develops and operates mixed-use properties, holds stakes in airlines and aircraft engineering, is a major Coca-Cola bottler, and engages in various trading and industrial activities. The company is headquartered in Hong Kong and was founded in 1816.

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Swire Pacific (19 HK)

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 9th): Aia, Hang Seng Bank, Swire Pacific

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK), Hang...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thoughts On Swire Properties (1972 HK)'s Buyback

I prefer Swire Pac here over Prop; but not at these lofty implied stub/simple ratio levels. The kicker for Pac is a material change in Cathay's...

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson - The Slow Grind Lower Can Continue

Results just out for Jardine Matheson, with a loss of $40m compared with a profit $556m and underlying profit is down 33%, all comparatives are...

Daniel Tabbush

Swire Properties (1972 HK): Potential Passive Selling & Trade Ideas

The sustained stock price drop could see Swire Properties deleted from global indexes with trackers needing to sell a lot of stock. Positioning has...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 7th): Tencent, Aia, Xiaomi Corporation

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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Market Cap (USDm)

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