Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 18th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), PetroChina (386 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), PetroChina (386 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 18th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), PetroChina (386 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), PetroChina (386 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Swire Pacific has been buying back <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23726:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (B) (87 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> shares since August. They are now 58+% done with their HK$4bn buyback program. </li>
<li>The buyback so far has been 50% B shares and 50% A shares. This still seems odd to me but they are doing what they are doing.</li>
<li>B/A ratio is near a 19-year low. The last time it dipped to 6% under its 3mo average, it bounced back in 4 weeks. Now 5% cheap to average.</li>
</ul>


Swire Pacific has been buying back Swire Pacific (B) (87 HK) and Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) shares since August. They are now 58+% done with their HK$4bn buyback program. 
The buyback so far has been 50% B shares and 50% A shares. This still seems odd to me but they are doing what they are doing.
B/A ratio is near a 19-year low. The last time it dipped to 6% under its 3mo average, it bounced back in 4 weeks. Now 5% cheap to average.


Swire B Vs A - It Bounced Before, It Can Bounce Again - A 19 Year Low On the Ratio In Sight

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Brilliance China Automotive / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see 3 potential adds for the HSCI in December. We also see 26 potential adds and 16 potential deletes for the index in March.</li>
<li>Following the March rebalance, we see 22 potential inclusions to Stock Connect while we expect 37 stocks to be removed from the link.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 3 potential adds for the HSCI in December. We also see 26 potential adds and 16 potential deletes for the index in March.
Following the March rebalance, we see 22 potential inclusions to Stock Connect while we expect 37 stocks to be removed from the link.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Changes at the Margins

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 11th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), PetroChina (386 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 11th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), PetroChina (386 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 11th): AIA, PetroChina, Swire Pacific

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 4th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK), Cnooc (883 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 4th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK), Cnooc (883 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 4th): AIA, PetroChina, CNOOC

Hong Kong

Swire Pacific is a Hong Kong-based international conglomerate with diversified interests in property, aviation, beverages, and trading & industrials. It develops and operates mixed-use properties, holds stakes in airlines and aircraft engineering, is a major Coca-Cola bottler, and engages in various trading and industrial activities. The company is headquartered in Hong Kong and was founded in 1816.

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Swire Pacific (19 HK)

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 18th):

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Swire B Vs A - It Bounced Before, It Can Bounce Again - A 19 Year Low On the Ratio In Sight

Swire is 58% done its buyback. Now 50/50 on average (share count). That should be higher impact on Bs than As. But in any case, B/A ratio now near...

Travis Lundy

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Changes at the Margins

We see 3 inclusions for the index in Dec, and then 26 adds/16 deletions in March. Following the March rebal, we see 22 adds/37 deletions for Stock...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 11th): AIA, PetroChina, Swire Pacific

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 4th): AIA, PetroChina, CNOOC

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)