Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> (and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23726:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific Ltd-Cl B (87 HK)</a>) announced earnings, and they announced a large (HK$4bn) buyback.  </li>
<li>Details are somewhat thin, but there are a bunch of possibilities, and all of them should have non-negligible impact on Swire and Swire vs Peers. </li>
<li>The immediate market response was to send them up 10% on the day. That puts both at somewhere near one-year highs, but the discount to NAV is still big.</li>
</ul>


Today Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) (and Swire Pacific Ltd-Cl B (87 HK)) announced earnings, and they announced a large (HK$4bn) buyback.  
Details are somewhat thin, but there are a bunch of possibilities, and all of them should have non-negligible impact on Swire and Swire vs Peers. 
The immediate market response was to send them up 10% on the day. That puts both at somewhere near one-year highs, but the discount to NAV is still big.


Swire A/B (19 HK / 87 HK) Buyback Programme - It's REALLY BIG

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23726:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific Ltd-Cl B (87 HK)</a> has announced a HK$4bn buyback. While that is 6.5% of shares out, it is over 15% of real float.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> was trading at a 50% discount to NAV and near the widest level over the last few years.</li>
<li>There will be passive selling once the buyback is complete, but the stocks should run up prior to that.</li>
</ul>



Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)/Swire Pacific Ltd-Cl B (87 HK) has announced a HK$4bn buyback. While that is 6.5% of shares out, it is over 15% of real float.

Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) was trading at a 50% discount to NAV and near the widest level over the last few years.
There will be passive selling once the buyback is complete, but the stocks should run up prior to that.


Swire Pacific (19 HK/87 HK) Buyback: Bigger Than It Appears

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> expands its beverages ops, its best-performing unlisted segment, via the acquisition of Coke bottling operations in Vietnam and Cambodia. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Swire - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) expands its beverages ops, its best-performing unlisted segment, via the acquisition of Coke bottling operations in Vietnam and Cambodia. 
Preceding my comments on Swire - and Swire Properties (1972 HK) and Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Swire Acquires Coke's Ops in Vietnam & Cambodia

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.</li>
<li>An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.</li>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.
An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.
Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

Orient Overseas (International) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 29 inclusions and 12 deletions for the HSCI at the March rebalance. 26 of the inclusions will be added to Connect while all deletes will leave Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the Stock Connect deletions have a lot of mainland holdings and there could unwinding of some of the positions ahead of becoming sell-only on the link.</li>
<li>Orient Overseas International, United Energy, Cloud Village and Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited could also move higher over the next couple of weeks before the stocks enter Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


There are 29 inclusions and 12 deletions for the HSCI at the March rebalance. 26 of the inclusions will be added to Connect while all deletes will leave Stock Connect.
Some of the Stock Connect deletions have a lot of mainland holdings and there could unwinding of some of the positions ahead of becoming sell-only on the link.
Orient Overseas International, United Energy, Cloud Village and Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited could also move higher over the next couple of weeks before the stocks enter Stock Connect.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 29 Adds, 12 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

Hong Kong

Swire Pacific is a diversified global conglomerate with core businesses in property, aviation, beverages, healthcare, and trading & industrial. It holds interests in property development and investment through Swire Properties, airline operations via Cathay Pacific, and is a major Coca-Cola bottler. Swire Pacific Limited was incorporated in 1974 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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Swire Pacific (87 HK)

Swire A/B (19 HK / 87 HK) Buyback Programme - It's REALLY BIG

Swire announced a large buyback today. Shares in both A|B lines jumped 10+%. It is "only" HK$4bn but it is a large portion of Real World Float and...

Travis Lundy

Swire Pacific (19 HK/87 HK) Buyback: Bigger Than It Appears

Swire Pacific has announced a HK$4bn buyback - that is over 15% of the real float on the stock. Both 19 HK and 87 HK are up today, but there could...

Brian Freitas

StubWorld: Swire Acquires Coke's Ops in Vietnam & Cambodia

I tilt bullish on Swire Pac. A 50%+ discount is wide given it has historically traded in the low-to-mid twenties. Plus it's inexpensive at 0.26x P...

David Blennerhassett

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance: 29 Adds, 12 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

There are 29 adds & 12 deletes for the HSCI at the March rebal. 26 of the inclusions will join Southbound Stock Connect while all the deletes will...

Brian Freitas

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