IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a>’s 180-day lock-up period on its 89.75% <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (ARM US)</a> shareholding expires on 12 March. SoftBank’s stake is worth US$124 billion.</li>
<li>SoftBank will likely monetise its ARM stake using the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> playbook. This playbook uses prepaid forward contracts to raise capital with eventual settlement through shares. </li>
<li>ARM is currently trading 2.6x its IPO price on AI-driven hype. ARM trades at a premium multiple to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a>, despite forecasted lower growth and margin.  </li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP)’s 180-day lock-up period on its 89.75% ARM Holdings (ARM US) shareholding expires on 12 March. SoftBank’s stake is worth US$124 billion.
SoftBank will likely monetise its ARM stake using the Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) playbook. This playbook uses prepaid forward contracts to raise capital with eventual settlement through shares. 
ARM is currently trading 2.6x its IPO price on AI-driven hype. ARM trades at a premium multiple to NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US), despite forecasted lower growth and margin.  


ARM Holdings (ARM US): Lock up Expiry on 12 March

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Nota's IPO price has been confirmed at 9,100 won, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. The demand ratio was 1,058 to 1.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of Nota suggests target price of 11,948 won per share, which is 31% higher than the IPO price (9,100 won). </li>
<li>Nota Provides technology that enables the efficient operation of high-performance AI models even on resource-constrained edge devices, centered around its proprietary AI model optimization platform, NetsPresso®.</li>
</ul>


Nota's IPO price has been confirmed at 9,100 won, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. The demand ratio was 1,058 to 1.
Our base case valuation of Nota suggests target price of 11,948 won per share, which is 31% higher than the IPO price (9,100 won). 
Nota Provides technology that enables the efficient operation of high-performance AI models even on resource-constrained edge devices, centered around its proprietary AI model optimization platform, NetsPresso®.


<ul>
<li>SemiFive is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in December 2025. The IPO price range is from 21,000 won to 24,000 won per share.</li>
<li>Total IPO proceeds are estimated to be between 113.4 billion won to 129.6 billion won. The market cap is expected to range from 708 billion won to 809 billion won.</li>
<li>SemiFive is one of the global leaders in custom AI semiconductor (ASIC) design. </li>
</ul>


SemiFive is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in December 2025. The IPO price range is from 21,000 won to 24,000 won per share.
Total IPO proceeds are estimated to be between 113.4 billion won to 129.6 billion won. The market cap is expected to range from 708 billion won to 809 billion won.
SemiFive is one of the global leaders in custom AI semiconductor (ASIC) design. 


AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia takes a $5B stake in Intel and will co-develop custom x86 CPUs for data centers and RTX-integrated SoCs for PCs.</li>
<li>The phrasing of “fusion of two world-class platforms” signals ambitions beyond just product collaboration. </li>
<li>Intel shares surged +30% on the news, while AMD and Arm slumped; toolmakers like ASML and Synopsys rallied on expectations of fresh CapEx.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia takes a $5B stake in Intel and will co-develop custom x86 CPUs for data centers and RTX-integrated SoCs for PCs.
The phrasing of “fusion of two world-class platforms” signals ambitions beyond just product collaboration. 
Intel shares surged +30% on the news, while AMD and Arm slumped; toolmakers like ASML and Synopsys rallied on expectations of fresh CapEx.


What Is the Real Prize in Nvidia’s $5B Intel Bet?

<ul>
<li>China’s analog chip probe and revived Nvidia antitrust case are part of a deeper strategy to force foreign tech out of its supply chain.</li>
<li>Nvidia’s China-only B40 flops, with buyers preferring grey market alternatives. Meanwhile, Domestic chipmakers like Novosense and SG Micro have rallied sharply as procurement tilts inward.</li>
<li>If Beijing blocks Nvidia’s B30A next, it could mark a full commercial exit. U.S. peers like TXN, AMD, and Synopsys may also not be far behind.</li>
</ul>


China’s analog chip probe and revived Nvidia antitrust case are part of a deeper strategy to force foreign tech out of its supply chain.
Nvidia’s China-only B40 flops, with buyers preferring grey market alternatives. Meanwhile, Domestic chipmakers like Novosense and SG Micro have rallied sharply as procurement tilts inward.
If Beijing blocks Nvidia’s B30A next, it could mark a full commercial exit. U.S. peers like TXN, AMD, and Synopsys may also not be far behind.


Not a Bargaining Chip: Beijing Is Dismantling Nvidia’s China Playbook

United States

Synopsys, Inc. supplies electronic design automation solutions to the global electronics market.  The Company provides design technologies to creators of advanced integrated circuits, electronic systems, and systems on a chip. Synopsys also provides consulting services and support to its customers to streamline the overall design process and accelerate time to market.

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Synopsys Inc (SNPS US)

ARM Holdings (ARM US): Lock up Expiry on 12 March

SoftBank will likely monetise its ARM stake using the Alibaba playbook. This playbook uses prepaid forward contracts to raise capital with eventual...

Arun George

Nota IPO Bookbuilding Analysis

Nota's IPO price has been confirmed at 9,100 won, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. The demand ratio was 1,058 to 1.

Douglas Kim

SemiFive IPO Preview

SemiFive is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in December 2025. SemiFive is one of the global leaders in custom AI semiconductor (ASIC)...

Douglas Kim

What Is the Real Prize in Nvidia’s $5B Intel Bet?

Nvidia's $5B stake in Intel signals a partnership to develop custom x86 CPUs for data centres and RTX-integrated SoCs for PCs; Intel shares...

Mint Finance

Not a Bargaining Chip: Beijing Is Dismantling Nvidia’s China Playbook

China is strategically pushing foreign tech out of its supply chain, with Nvidia facing challenges and domestic chipmakers benefiting. Another ban...

Mint Finance

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ARM Holdings (ARM US): Lock up Expiry on 12 March

SoftBank will likely monetise its ARM stake using the Alibaba playbook. This playbook uses prepaid forward contracts to raise capital with eventual...

Arun George

Nota IPO Bookbuilding Analysis

Nota's IPO price has been confirmed at 9,100 won, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. The demand ratio was 1,058 to 1.

Douglas Kim

SemiFive IPO Preview

SemiFive is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in December 2025. SemiFive is one of the global leaders in custom AI semiconductor (ASIC)...

Douglas Kim

What Is the Real Prize in Nvidia’s $5B Intel Bet?

​Nvidia's $5B stake in Intel signals a partnership to develop custom x86 CPUs for data centres and RTX-integrated SoCs for PCs; Intel shares...

Mint Finance

Not a Bargaining Chip: Beijing Is Dismantling Nvidia’s China Playbook

​China is strategically pushing foreign tech out of its supply chain, with Nvidia facing challenges and domestic chipmakers benefiting. Another ban...

Mint Finance

Nvidia's $5B stake in Intel signals a partnership to develop custom x86 CPUs for data centres and RTX-integrated SoCs for PCs; Intel shares...

China is strategically pushing foreign tech out of its supply chain, with Nvidia facing challenges and domestic chipmakers benefiting. Another ban...