Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a> is a pretty straightforward short term trade. Basically the second largest shareholder, Prakitchaiwattana, got margin called, and shares fell limit down. Twice.</li>
<li>South Korean private equity firm VIG Partners tables an Offer for beauty device company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viol-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41010:1" rel="noopener">VIOL (335890 KS)</a>, whose major shareholder, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dms-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2132:1" rel="noopener">DMS (068790 KS)</a>, faces allegations of unfair internal transactions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco (200 HK)</a>'s 11.9% gain on the 26th June - on serious volume - was predicated on a short squeeze, just eight days after the fully-paid rights shares commenced trading.</li>
</ul>



Krungthai Card (KTC TB) is a pretty straightforward short term trade. Basically the second largest shareholder, Prakitchaiwattana, got margin called, and shares fell limit down. Twice.
South Korean private equity firm VIG Partners tables an Offer for beauty device company VIOL (335890 KS), whose major shareholder, DMS (068790 KS), faces allegations of unfair internal transactions.

Melco (200 HK)'s 11.9% gain on the 26th June - on serious volume - was predicated on a short squeeze, just eight days after the fully-paid rights shares commenced trading.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Krungthai Card, VIOL, Melco, Singapore Post

<ul>
<li>I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/humm-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35366:1" rel="noopener">Humm Group (HUM AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viol-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41010:1" rel="noopener">VIOL (335890 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos (STO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet (PBH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9712:1" rel="noopener">New World Resources (NWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartpay-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45153:1" rel="noopener">SmartPay (SMP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dickson-concepts-intl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5052:1" rel="noopener">Dickson Concepts (113 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener"></a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Humm Group (HUM AU) and VIOL (335890 KS).
Key updates/news took place onSantos (STO AU), PointsBet (PBH AU), New World Resources (NWC AU), SmartPay (SMP AU), Dickson Concepts (113 HK), and SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Santos, PointsBet, New World Resources, SmartPay, SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Humm

Travis Lundy

Shin Kong Financial Holding / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT)</a> are scheduled to merge in less than 6 weeks. </li>
<li>The recent TWD strength has meant sharp losses for Shin Kong Life, but the merger agreement the FSC agreed has Taishin explicitly supporting Shin Kong Life. </li>
<li>There are near-term flows and technical limitations which make this situation interesting again. Grab your shorts! It could be a bumpy ride!</li>
</ul>



Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) are scheduled to merge in less than 6 weeks. 
The recent TWD strength has meant sharp losses for Shin Kong Life, but the merger agreement the FSC agreed has Taishin explicitly supporting Shin Kong Life. 
There are near-term flows and technical limitations which make this situation interesting again. Grab your shorts! It could be a bumpy ride!


Shin Kong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) - Short Timer, FX Risk, Index Flows - Time To Buy Vs Peers

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer, Wistron, Asia Vital Components.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer, Wistron, Asia Vital Components.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial (2887 TT)</a> is cheap to peers. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial (2888 TT)</a> is cheap vs Taishin. Long Shin Kong. Long Taishin vs Peers. Long Shin Kong vs Taishin Peers.</li>
<li>Abu Dhabi makes a big, bold bet on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos Ltd (STO AU)</a>. However FIRB will have the last word on whether the deal goes through. </li>
<li>If the results show NTT owns &gt;80% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data (9613 JP)</a>, buy a lot for a potential squeeze. If the results show NTT owns 68-70%, you can probably ignore. </li>
</ul>



Taishin Financial (2887 TT) is cheap to peers. Shin Kong Financial (2888 TT) is cheap vs Taishin. Long Shin Kong. Long Taishin vs Peers. Long Shin Kong vs Taishin Peers.
Abu Dhabi makes a big, bold bet on Santos Ltd (STO AU). However FIRB will have the last word on whether the deal goes through. 
If the results show NTT owns &gt;80% of NTT Data (9613 JP), buy a lot for a potential squeeze. If the results show NTT owns 68-70%, you can probably ignore. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin, Santos, NTT Data, ENN Energy, Mitsui Matsushima

Taiwan

Taishin Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company conducts commercial banking business, such as deposits, loans, discount bills, guarantees, remittances, and foreign exchange transactions.

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Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Krungthai Card, VIOL, Melco, Singapore Post

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Santos, PointsBet, New World Resources, SmartPay, SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Humm

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Shin Kong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) - Short Timer, FX Risk, Index Flows - Time To Buy Vs Peers

One month to go for the Shin Kong Taishin Merger Arb and the spread is still elevated at 5.5%. There is some tightness on Taishin borrow but more...

Travis Lundy

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin, Santos, NTT Data, ENN Energy, Mitsui Matsushima

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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