Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.</li>
<li>We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.</li>
</ul>


There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.
We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.


No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 19th. The aggregated short interest was USD50.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Global Unichip, Yageo, Zhen Ding Technology, LARGAN Precision.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 19th. The aggregated short interest was USD50.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Global Unichip, Yageo, Zhen Ding Technology, LARGAN Precision.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 19th): Shin Kong Financial, Global Unichip, Yageo, LARGAN Precision

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD47.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, Realtek Semiconductor, TSMC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD47.7bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, Realtek Semiconductor, TSMC.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 12th): Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, TSMC

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 6 adds, 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June as the tech rally creates multiple changes for the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Mid-Cap 100 ETF.</li>
<li>Constituent changes along with capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 26.4% and in a round-trip trade of TWD 386bn (US$12.2bn).</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks that have same-way or opposite flow from trackers of other Taiwan indices and present some interesting trading opportunities.</li>
</ul>


There could be 6 adds, 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June as the tech rally creates multiple changes for the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Mid-Cap 100 ETF.
Constituent changes along with capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 26.4% and in a round-trip trade of TWD 386bn (US$12.2bn).
There are multiple stocks that have same-way or opposite flow from trackers of other Taiwan indices and present some interesting trading opportunities.


Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 6 Adds, 5 Deletes; US$12bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There are 18 adds and 18 deletes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF has an AUM of US$16.9bn.</li>
<li>The ETF has started trading the stocks and is expected to continue trading for the next 7 trading days.</li>
<li>The adds are outperforming the deletes today and that trend could continue for the next few days as the ETF trades the stocks.</li>
</ul>


There are 18 adds and 18 deletes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF has an AUM of US$16.9bn.
The ETF has started trading the stocks and is expected to continue trading for the next 7 trading days.
The adds are outperforming the deletes today and that trend could continue for the next few days as the ETF trades the stocks.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$13.6bn Trade over the Next Week

Taiwan

Taiwan Acceptance Corp. provides car financing and leasing services.

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Taiwan Acceptance (9941 TT)

No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

No Traction Above $93 on MSCI $ACWI or 4400-4415 on EURO #STOXX 50. Continues to reinforce our view from early-January that $93 on ACWI caps upside...

Vermilion Research

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 19th): Shin Kong Financial, Global Unichip, Yageo, LARGAN Precision

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Global Unichip, Yageo, Zhen...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 12th): Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 6 Adds, 5 Deletes; US$12bn Trade

There could be 6 adds, 5 deletes and capping changes in June leading to a one-way turnover of 26.4% and in a round-trip trade of US$12.2bn. Many...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$13.6bn Trade over the Next Week

There are 18 adds and 18 deletes for the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 40.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$13.6bn. Adds are...

Brian Freitas

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