Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Who wins the AI race is like asking ”who won the Internet?” Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft? Wait, maybe it’s ASML and TSMC? Do you see how dumb this question is? </li>
<li>If you trade stocks, you enjoy the “Google is back” moment. Or maybe that was last week’s trade. The market wants profits and margins. Revenue growth is no longer enough.</li>
<li>So, who wins the AI race? I will eventually buy,  hopefully early 2026: AMD, Google, LAM, Meta, Microsoft, Micron, Nvidia, TSMC. These are the category winners IMO</li>
</ul>


Who wins the AI race is like asking ”who won the Internet?” Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft? Wait, maybe it’s ASML and TSMC? Do you see how dumb this question is? 
If you trade stocks, you enjoy the “Google is back” moment. Or maybe that was last week’s trade. The market wants profits and margins. Revenue growth is no longer enough.
So, who wins the AI race? I will eventually buy,  hopefully early 2026: AMD, Google, LAM, Meta, Microsoft, Micron, Nvidia, TSMC. These are the category winners IMO


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<strong>Omnivision (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/will-semiconductor-co-ltd-shan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28274:1" rel="noopener">Will Semiconductor 603501 CH)</a> </strong> (OVIC, 603501 CH), a semiconductor company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>OVIC, is the world’s third largest smartphone CIS and the largest automotive CIS provider with a market share of 32.9% based on revenue in 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Omnivision (Will Semiconductor 603501 CH)  (OVIC, 603501 CH), a semiconductor company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
OVIC, is the world’s third largest smartphone CIS and the largest automotive CIS provider with a market share of 32.9% based on revenue in 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group (Will Semicon) A/H Listing - Earnings Have Been Recovering

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated holding was USD1,385.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD614mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Accton Technology, Hon Hai Precision, L&amp;K Engineering, Wistron, TSMC, Accton Technology, L&amp;K Engineering, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated holding was USD1,385.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD614mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Accton Technology, Hon Hai Precision, L&amp;K Engineering, Wistron, TSMC, Accton Technology, L&amp;K Engineering, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 12th): TSMC, Accton Technology, Hon Hai Precision, L&K Engineering

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV US Semiconductor 25 index represents the performance of the biggest US-listed companies in the semiconductor industry.</li>
<li>There will be no index changes for the December 2025 rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of US$2.9bn and a turnover of ~7.5% for December 2025.</li>
</ul>


The MV US Semiconductor 25 index represents the performance of the biggest US-listed companies in the semiconductor industry.
There will be no index changes for the December 2025 rebal event.
We expect a one-way flow of US$2.9bn and a turnover of ~7.5% for December 2025.


[Quiddity Index] MV US Semiconductor25 Dec25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in December but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$5.5bn. There are 3 stocks with over half a yard to trade.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lam-research-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1116:1" rel="noopener">Lam Research</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-instruments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18804:1" rel="noopener">Texas Instruments</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR</a>. </li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in December but there are a lot of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$5.5bn. There are 3 stocks with over half a yard to trade.
The largest flows will be in NVIDIA, Micron Technology, Applied Materials, Lam Research, Intel Corp, Texas Instruments and TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR. 


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$5.5bn Trade

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Who’s Winning the AI Race?

The article questions the idea of "winning" the AI race and emphasizes the importance of profits and margins, suggesting potential category...

Nicolas Baratte

OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group (Will Semicon) A/H Listing - Earnings Have Been Recovering

Omnivision (603501 CH), a semiconductor company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. It has filed its PHIP, we had looked at its...

Sumeet Singh

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 12th): TSMC, Accton Technology, Hon Hai Precision, L&K Engineering

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Accton Technology (2345 TT), Hon...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Quiddity Index] MV US Semiconductor25 Dec25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

There are no ADDs or DELETEs to the MV US Semiconductor 25 Index for December 2025 but there is US$6bn to trade, which adds flow to an otherwise...

Travis Lundy

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$5.5bn Trade

There are no constituent changes for the index in Dec but there are float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.5% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Who’s Winning the AI Race?

​The article questions the idea of "winning" the AI race and emphasizes the importance of profits and margins, suggesting potential category...

Nicolas Baratte

OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group (Will Semicon) A/H Listing - Earnings Have Been Recovering

Omnivision (603501 CH), a semiconductor company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. It has filed its PHIP, we had looked at its...

Sumeet Singh

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 12th): TSMC, Accton Technology, Hon Hai Precision, L&K Engineering

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Accton Technology (2345 TT), Hon...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Quiddity Index] MV US Semiconductor25 Dec25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

There are no ADDs or DELETEs to the MV US Semiconductor 25 Index for December 2025 but there is US$6bn to trade, which adds flow to an otherwise...

Travis Lundy

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$5.5bn Trade

There are no constituent changes for the index in Dec but there are float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.5% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

The article questions the idea of "winning" the AI race and emphasizes the importance of profits and margins, suggesting potential category...