Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders weak and Questions on Apple Intelligence remain</li>
<li>Big software investor days. Expect AI to feature big on hype, but what to expect from TAM to ARR to products?</li>
<li>Semis: Samsung challenges, Intel relief but pressures remain, TSM momentum, this time with ByteDance </li>
</ul>


Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders weak and Questions on Apple Intelligence remain
Big software investor days. Expect AI to feature big on hype, but what to expect from TAM to ARR to products?
Semis: Samsung challenges, Intel relief but pressures remain, TSM momentum, this time with ByteDance 


TMT Daily:Apple, TikTok, PINS, Semis (TSM, Samsung, Intel), Software (EA, CRM, CRWD, WDAY, HUBS),EVs

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 13th which has an aggregated holding worth USD938.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,475mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Hon Hai Precision Industry.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 13th which has an aggregated holding worth USD938.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,475mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Hon Hai Precision Industry.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 13th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial, Zhen Ding Technology Holding, Shin Kong Financial, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 13th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial, Zhen Ding Technology Holding, Shin Kong Financial, Mediatek.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +16.6% Premium; Returning to the 15 - 20% Trading Range?</li>
<li>UMC: +0.5% Premium; Near the Middle of the Historical Trading Range</li>
<li>ASE: +5.2% Premium; Participating in Two Investor Conferences in Next Two Weeks</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +16.6% Premium; Returning to the 15 - 20% Trading Range?
UMC: +0.5% Premium; Near the Middle of the Historical Trading Range
ASE: +5.2% Premium; Participating in Two Investor Conferences in Next Two Weeks


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Returning to Higher Trading Range? ASE's Two Upcoming Events

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC - ADR</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a> are the largest sells with buying spread across <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asml-holding-nv-b0092428-e3ec-4a92-bdd6-2f6eff7f1879" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28204:1" rel="noopener">ASML Holding NV</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology</a>.</li>
<li>The selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> will add to the selling from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> due to the market consultation.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.

TSMC - ADR and NVIDIA are the largest sells with buying spread across ASML Holding NV, Qualcomm Inc, Applied Materials and Micron Technology.
The selling in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) will add to the selling from the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) due to the market consultation.


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

TMT Daily:Apple, TikTok, PINS, Semis (TSM, Samsung, Intel), Software (EA, CRM, CRWD, WDAY, HUBS),EVs

Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders disappointing. Big software investor days AI hype and product expectations. Challenges for Samsung, Intel relief short...

Neil Campling

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Hon Hai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial, Zhen Ding...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Returning to Higher Trading Range? ASE's Two Upcoming Events

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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TMT Daily:Apple, TikTok, PINS, Semis (TSM, Samsung, Intel), Software (EA, CRM, CRWD, WDAY, HUBS),EVs

​Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders disappointing. Big software investor days AI hype and product expectations. Challenges for Samsung, Intel relief short...

Neil Campling

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Hon Hai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ase Industrial, Zhen Ding...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Returning to Higher Trading Range? ASE's Two Upcoming Events

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders disappointing. Big software investor days AI hype and product expectations. Challenges for Samsung, Intel relief short...