Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." </li>
<li>We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.</li>
<li>Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.</li>
</ul>


Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." 
We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.
Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.


Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

TYC Brother Industrial / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>TYC Brother Industrial is set to dominate the NEV market with a US plant scheduled to be operational by the first quarter of 2025.</li><li>Despite sanctions, a Russian company has introduced the MP21 SBC to rival the Raspberry Pi 5, showcasing the competitiveness of the technology market.</li><li>Cerebras and Dell have joined forces to challenge Nvidia in the AI market, highlighting the growth of AI accelerator technology for servers. Taiwan's carbon market is advancing with new initiatives and regulations, while the UK collaborates with Taiwan to lead in semiconductors at Semi-Impact forum. India is ramping up cobalt supply efforts to meet growing demand.</li></ul>

TYC Brother Industrial is set to dominate the NEV market with a US plant scheduled to be operational by the first quarter of 2025.Despite sanctions, a Russian company has introduced the MP21 SBC to rival the Raspberry Pi 5, showcasing the competitiveness of the technology market.Cerebras and Dell have joined forces to challenge Nvidia in the AI market, highlighting the growth of AI accelerator technology for servers. Taiwan's carbon market is advancing with new initiatives and regulations, while the UK collaborates with Taiwan to lead in semiconductors at Semi-Impact forum. India is ramping up cobalt supply efforts to meet growing demand.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Jun-2024): TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEVs; US plant ready by 1Q25.

<ul><li>Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI capabilities, enhancing customization options for users.</li><li>CuspAI receives US$30M funding, partners with Geoffrey Hinton to address climate change using advanced materials.</li><li>Global IC fab capacity expected to grow by 6% in 2024 and 7% in 2025, with Taiwan playing a key role in AI innovation.</li></ul>

Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI capabilities, enhancing customization options for users.CuspAI receives US$30M funding, partners with Geoffrey Hinton to address climate change using advanced materials.Global IC fab capacity expected to grow by 6% in 2024 and 7% in 2025, with Taiwan playing a key role in AI innovation.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.

Unisplendour Corporation Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>H3C and Foxconn partner in Malaysia for data center investment; Tsinghua Unigroup continues acquisitions in the tech industry.</li><li>Chinese automakers urged to invest in cleaner technologies, form strategic partnerships, and comply with EU regulations under new EV tariffs.</li><li>Microsoft &amp; Qualcomm exceed pre-orders with AI-powered Copilot+ PC; Hyundai plans to list Indian arm; SEMICON India to showcase advancements in semiconductor industry.</li></ul>

H3C and Foxconn partner in Malaysia for data center investment; Tsinghua Unigroup continues acquisitions in the tech industry.Chinese automakers urged to invest in cleaner technologies, form strategic partnerships, and comply with EU regulations under new EV tariffs.Microsoft &amp; Qualcomm exceed pre-orders with AI-powered Copilot+ PC; Hyundai plans to list Indian arm; SEMICON India to showcase advancements in semiconductor industry.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jun-2024): H3C partners with Foxconn on Malaysia data center investment.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC's 3nm Shortage: Capacity Filled Until 2026 Amid Surging Demand; Strategic Price Hikes Coming Soon</li>
<li>Top Gainers/Losers: Taiwan Tech Rallies Alongside TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, ARM Strength</li>
<li>Samsung Unveils Pathway to Catch Up With TSMC in the AI Foundry Race</li>
</ul>


TSMC's 3nm Shortage: Capacity Filled Until 2026 Amid Surging Demand; Strategic Price Hikes Coming Soon
Top Gainers/Losers: Taiwan Tech Rallies Alongside TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, ARM Strength
Samsung Unveils Pathway to Catch Up With TSMC in the AI Foundry Race


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's 3nm Shortage & Upcoming Price Hikes; Samsung Unveils AI Catch-Up Plan

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Jun-2024): TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEVs; US plant ready by 1Q25.

TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEV market; Russian company competes with Raspberry Pi 5; Cerebras teams up with Dell in AI market; Taiwan's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.

Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI, CuspAI secures funding for climate change efforts, IC fab capacity to grow, Lumai boosts AI with...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jun-2024): H3C partners with Foxconn on Malaysia data center investment.

H3C and Foxconn invest in Malaysian data center, Tsinghua Unigroup acquires, Chinese auto industry adapts to EU EV regulations, Microsoft &...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's 3nm Shortage & Upcoming Price Hikes; Samsung Unveils AI Catch-Up Plan

TSMC's 3nm capacity filled until 2026, strategic price hikes coming soon. Taiwan tech rallies alongside Nvidia, Apple, and ARM. Samsung unveils...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Jun-2024): TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEVs; US plant ready by 1Q25.

TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEV market; Russian company competes with Raspberry Pi 5; Cerebras teams up with Dell in AI market; Taiwan's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.

Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI, CuspAI secures funding for climate change efforts, IC fab capacity to grow, Lumai boosts AI with...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jun-2024): H3C partners with Foxconn on Malaysia data center investment.

H3C and Foxconn invest in Malaysian data center, Tsinghua Unigroup acquires, Chinese auto industry adapts to EU EV regulations, Microsoft &...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's 3nm Shortage & Upcoming Price Hikes; Samsung Unveils AI Catch-Up Plan

​TSMC's 3nm capacity filled until 2026, strategic price hikes coming soon. Taiwan tech rallies alongside Nvidia, Apple, and ARM. Samsung unveils...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC's 3nm capacity filled until 2026, strategic price hikes coming soon. Taiwan tech rallies alongside Nvidia, Apple, and ARM. Samsung unveils...