Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: Thailand GDP growth, China GDP targets, Indonesia interest rates.</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: Thailand GDP growth, China GDP targets, Indonesia interest rates.

 Companies mentioned: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT), Baidu (9888 HK), Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)



GEMWeekly (24 Nov 2023): Thailand, China, Indonesia Macro; TSMC, Baidu, Alibaba

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 3Q23 results but mixed 4Q23 outlook with shipment/ASP pressure and lower GPM given weak broad-based recovery, low UTR, depreciation and higher utility costs.</li><li>Looking into 2024, most fabs expected 2024 to be a year of growth driven by consumer/smartphone/PC recovery despite automotive inventory correction.</li><li>Overall, we expect global foundry industry to return to positive growth in 1H24. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 3Q23 results but mixed 4Q23 outlook with shipment/ASP pressure and lower GPM given weak broad-based recovery, low UTR, depreciation and higher utility costs.Looking into 2024, most fabs expected 2024 to be a year of growth driven by consumer/smartphone/PC recovery despite automotive inventory correction.Overall, we expect global foundry industry to return to positive growth in 1H24. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>NVIDIA reported another strong beat against elevated expectations, along with a strong outlook (guided 4Q revenue of US$20bn, vs consensus US$17.9bn), alleviating concerns on supply constraints and impact on China sales. Key highlights include: 1) FY4Q24E guidance beat on stronger topline/margin with strong AI demand and robust product pipeline into 2024</li><li>2) China’s sales to drop significantly in 4Q23, largely offset by strong growth in other regions, and new regulation-compliant solutions will be available for China (20-25% of DC sales) in the next few months</li><li>3) mgmt. guided continued chip capacity expansion to meet growth, and expected data center revenue to grow through 2025</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NVIDIA reported another strong beat against elevated expectations, along with a strong outlook (guided 4Q revenue of US$20bn, vs consensus US$17.9bn), alleviating concerns on supply constraints and impact on China sales. Key highlights include: 1) FY4Q24E guidance beat on stronger topline/margin with strong AI demand and robust product pipeline into 20242) China’s sales to drop significantly in 4Q23, largely offset by strong growth in other regions, and new regulation-compliant solutions will be available for China (20-25% of DC sales) in the next few months3) mgmt. guided continued chip capacity expansion to meet growth, and expected data center revenue to grow through 2025Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – NVIDIA FY3Q24: Another Stunning Quarter on Robust AI Demand

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC's N2 technology is currently undergoing verification for a 256Mb SRAM, and it will be implemented in Hsinchu and Kaohsiung, Taiwan.</li>
<li>The TSMC N3 technology capacity was 65kwpm in 3Q23, and the current version is N3B, which were adopted by Apple for the iPhone 15 this year.</li>
<li>Both N3E and N2 only have 20 layers EUV masks.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's N2 technology is currently undergoing verification for a 256Mb SRAM, and it will be implemented in Hsinchu and Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
The TSMC N3 technology capacity was 65kwpm in 3Q23, and the current version is N3B, which were adopted by Apple for the iPhone 15 this year.
Both N3E and N2 only have 20 layers EUV masks.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): N2 Technology Is Scheduled in 2025F.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 7.4% Premium -- Previous Short Has Worked, Now Wait For Better Levels</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -2.0% Discount -- Good Level to Go Long the Spread</li>
<li>CHT: -1.2% Discount -- Good Level to Go Long the Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 7.4% Premium -- Previous Short Has Worked, Now Wait For Better Levels
ChipMOS: -2.0% Discount -- Good Level to Go Long the Spread
CHT: -1.2% Discount -- Good Level to Go Long the Spread


Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Slumps; CHT & ChipMOS at Rare Opportunity Levels

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

GEMWeekly (24 Nov 2023): Thailand, China, Indonesia Macro; TSMC, Baidu, Alibaba

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

Technology – Global Foundry 3Q23 Wrap

Looking into 2024, most fabs expected 2024 to be a year of growth driven by consumer/smartphone/PC recovery despite automotive inventory correction

CMB International

China Technology – NVIDIA FY3Q24: Another Stunning Quarter on Robust AI Demand

NVIDIA reported another strong beat against elevated expectations, along with a strong outlook (guided 4Q revenue of US$20bn, vs consensus US$17.9bn)

CMB International

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): N2 Technology Is Scheduled in 2025F.

TSMC's N2 technology is currently undergoing verification for a 256Mb SRAM. TSMC N3 technology capacity was 65kwpm in 3Q23. The current version is...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Slumps; CHT & ChipMOS at Rare Opportunity Levels

In this piece we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. ChipMOS and CHT spreads are at historically rare levels.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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