Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Rapidus is currently moving in parallel with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)</a> in targeting the 2nm, and is regarded as Japan’s core force in the advanced-process arena.</li>
<li>Rapidus plans to build a second fab in Hokkaido in FY2027. The facility is scheduled to begin 1.4nm volume production in 2029 to accelerate the catch-up with global leader TSMC.</li>
<li>During its mid-October earnings briefing, TSMC stated that 2nm will enter volume production as scheduled in 4Q this year, and that it will begin 1.4nm mass production in 2028.</li>
</ul>


Rapidus is currently moving in parallel with TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US) in targeting the 2nm, and is regarded as Japan’s core force in the advanced-process arena.
Rapidus plans to build a second fab in Hokkaido in FY2027. The facility is scheduled to begin 1.4nm volume production in 2029 to accelerate the catch-up with global leader TSMC.
During its mid-October earnings briefing, TSMC stated that 2nm will enter volume production as scheduled in 4Q this year, and that it will begin 1.4nm mass production in 2028.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Rapidus Plans to Build a Second Fab to Begin 1.4nm Volume Production in 2029

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +25.8% Premium; Rebounded to High End of Range, Good Level to Open a Short of the ADR Spread</li>
<li>UMC: -2.2% Discount; Good Level to Open a Short of the ADR Spread</li>
<li>ASE: +3.2% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Level Before Going Long or Short</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +25.8% Premium; Rebounded to High End of Range, Good Level to Open a Short of the ADR Spread
UMC: -2.2% Discount; Good Level to Open a Short of the ADR Spread
ASE: +3.2% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Level Before Going Long or Short


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back in Extreme Range, UMC Discount

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)</a>’s retired Senior Vice President Dr. Wei-Jen Lo has taken a position at Intel.</li>
<li>Trump has been in power for less than a year, and the U.S.’s measures have fully revealed its purpose of confrontation between China and the United States. </li>
<li>TSMC’s Arizona fab profit dropped from NT$4.32 billion in 2Q25 to NT$410 million in 3Q25.</li>
</ul>



TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)’s retired Senior Vice President Dr. Wei-Jen Lo has taken a position at Intel.
Trump has been in power for less than a year, and the U.S.’s measures have fully revealed its purpose of confrontation between China and the United States. 
TSMC’s Arizona fab profit dropped from NT$4.32 billion in 2Q25 to NT$410 million in 3Q25.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Retired Sr. VP Joins Intel; U.S. Fab Impact; Arizona Earnings Decline.

<ul>
<li>NVIDIA Results: Taiwan Take-Aways -- Demand Visibility Implies Strength for Key Suppliers </li>
<li>NVDA Strong Quarter, Strong Guidance, Consensus ~20% Too Low, Stock Is Not Expensive </li>
<li>Silicon Valley's Substrate -- ASML, TSMC Slayer Or Ideological Pipe Dream? </li>
</ul>


NVIDIA Results: Taiwan Take-Aways -- Demand Visibility Implies Strength for Key Suppliers 
NVDA Strong Quarter, Strong Guidance, Consensus ~20% Too Low, Stock Is Not Expensive 
Silicon Valley's Substrate -- ASML, TSMC Slayer Or Ideological Pipe Dream? 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: NVDA Results- Taiwan Supplier Winners; Silicon Valley's Substrate- TSMC Slayer?

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 24.5% Premium; Near Level to Open Fresh Short of ADR Spread</li>
<li>ASE: +5.7% Premium; Good Level to Short the ADR Spread</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -1.7% Discount; Near Discount Level to Go Long the ADR Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 24.5% Premium; Near Level to Open Fresh Short of ADR Spread
ASE: +5.7% Premium; Good Level to Short the ADR Spread
ChipMOS: -1.7% Discount; Near Discount Level to Go Long the ADR Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC and ASE Premiums Near Spead Short Levels

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Rapidus Plans to Build a Second Fab to Begin 1.4nm Volume Production in 2029

Rapidus aims to catch up with TSMC by targeting 2nm and plans to build a second fab in Hokkaido for 1.4nm volume production in 2029.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back in Extreme Range, UMC Discount

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Retired Sr. VP Joins Intel; U.S. Fab Impact; Arizona Earnings Decline.

TSMC's former SVP joins Intel. US-China tensions escalate, but U.S. actions extended one year for rare earth. TSMC Arizona fab profit plummets.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: NVDA Results- Taiwan Supplier Winners; Silicon Valley's Substrate- TSMC Slayer?

NVIDIA's strong results suggest strong demand for key suppliers in Taiwan, while ASML and TSMC are at the forefront of Silicon Valley's substrate...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC and ASE Premiums Near Spead Short Levels

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Rapidus Plans to Build a Second Fab to Begin 1.4nm Volume Production in 2029

​Rapidus aims to catch up with TSMC by targeting 2nm and plans to build a second fab in Hokkaido for 1.4nm volume production in 2029.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back in Extreme Range, UMC Discount

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Retired Sr. VP Joins Intel; U.S. Fab Impact; Arizona Earnings Decline.

​TSMC's former SVP joins Intel. US-China tensions escalate, but U.S. actions extended one year for rare earth. TSMC Arizona fab profit plummets.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: NVDA Results- Taiwan Supplier Winners; Silicon Valley's Substrate- TSMC Slayer?

​NVIDIA's strong results suggest strong demand for key suppliers in Taiwan, while ASML and TSMC are at the forefront of Silicon Valley's substrate...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC and ASE Premiums Near Spead Short Levels

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Rapidus aims to catch up with TSMC by targeting 2nm and plans to build a second fab in Hokkaido for 1.4nm volume production in 2029.

TSMC's former SVP joins Intel. US-China tensions escalate, but U.S. actions extended one year for rare earth. TSMC Arizona fab profit plummets.

NVIDIA's strong results suggest strong demand for key suppliers in Taiwan, while ASML and TSMC are at the forefront of Silicon Valley's substrate...