Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tandem-diabetes-care-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20893:1" rel="noopener">Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US)</a> reported underwhelming Q2 results, with both revenue and EPS missing consensus. Adjusted EBITDA declined and adjusted operating loss increased on a year-over-year basis.</li>
<li>To reflect lower sales visibility, the company has lowered 2023 guidance. The company has guided for 2023 sales of at least $785M, compared with earlier guidance of $885–900M.</li>
<li>Tandem has also withdrawn correlating year for its long-term target. Achievement of long-term target is highly dependent on the adoption of the company’s recently approved insulin delivery system, Mobi.</li>
</ul>



Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US) reported underwhelming Q2 results, with both revenue and EPS missing consensus. Adjusted EBITDA declined and adjusted operating loss increased on a year-over-year basis.
To reflect lower sales visibility, the company has lowered 2023 guidance. The company has guided for 2023 sales of at least $785M, compared with earlier guidance of $885–900M.
Tandem has also withdrawn correlating year for its long-term target. Achievement of long-term target is highly dependent on the adoption of the company’s recently approved insulin delivery system, Mobi.


Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US): Q2 Sales Declined, Margin Deteriorated; 2023 Guidance Revised Lower

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insulet-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5252:1" rel="noopener">Insulet Corp (PODD US)</a>, with expanding user-base and product innovation, is well-positioned to face competition in the US patch pump market. Large and underpenetrated target market offers immense growth potential.  </li>
<li>Insulet raised Omnipod 2023 revenue growth guidance to 21–25% from 17–22% previously. The U.S. Omnipod revenue growth guidance has been raised to 27–31% from 21–26% earlier.</li>
<li>For 2023, Insulet expects gross profit margin of 65–66%, compared with 61.7% in 2022. Insulet has reaffirmed high-single-digit operating profit margin for 2023 compared with 2.9% in 2022.</li>
</ul>



Insulet Corp (PODD US), with expanding user-base and product innovation, is well-positioned to face competition in the US patch pump market. Large and underpenetrated target market offers immense growth potential.  
Insulet raised Omnipod 2023 revenue growth guidance to 21–25% from 17–22% previously. The U.S. Omnipod revenue growth guidance has been raised to 27–31% from 21–26% earlier.
For 2023, Insulet expects gross profit margin of 65–66%, compared with 61.7% in 2022. Insulet has reaffirmed high-single-digit operating profit margin for 2023 compared with 2.9% in 2022.


Insulet Corp (PODD US): Slow Recovery Is Expected on Easing Competition Fear; 2023 Guidance Raised

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tandem-diabetes-care-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20893:1" rel="noopener">Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US)</a> has been consistently missing earnings expectations. This is taking a toll on the share price performance, with shares plunging ~61% over the last one year.</li>
<li>Tandem’s nearest rival has recently launched its new insulin pump in the U.S. This will affect Tandem’s Q2 sales growth. Tandem guided for 10–12% revenue growth in 2023.</li>
<li>Tandem is a hugely beaten down stock. However, it will be wise to wait for Tandem to launch new product, ensure its good uptake amid competition, and exhibit earnings stability.</li>
</ul>



Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US) has been consistently missing earnings expectations. This is taking a toll on the share price performance, with shares plunging ~61% over the last one year.
Tandem’s nearest rival has recently launched its new insulin pump in the U.S. This will affect Tandem’s Q2 sales growth. Tandem guided for 10–12% revenue growth in 2023.
Tandem is a hugely beaten down stock. However, it will be wise to wait for Tandem to launch new product, ensure its good uptake amid competition, and exhibit earnings stability.


Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US): Missed Earnings + Severe Competition = A Bitter Pill to Swallow

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 25 May, healthcare company <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a></strong> <a href="https://news.medtronic.com/2023-05-25-Medtronic-to-acquire-wearable-insulin-patch-maker-EOFlow" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it had entered into a set of definitive agreements to acquire <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFlow (294090 KS)</a></strong>.</li>
<li>Via a three-step process - SPAs, issuance of new shares, and a Tender Offer - Medtronic will seek majority control, together with a view to delisting EOFlow.</li>
<li>Completion is expected in 4Q23. Regulatory approvals -  domestic and foreign - form part of the conditions. Trading wide to terms. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 25 May, healthcare company Medtronic Plc (MDT US) announced it had entered into a set of definitive agreements to acquire EOFlow (294090 KS).
Via a three-step process - SPAs, issuance of new shares, and a Tender Offer - Medtronic will seek majority control, together with a view to delisting EOFlow.
Completion is expected in 4Q23. Regulatory approvals -  domestic and foreign - form part of the conditions. Trading wide to terms. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a> reported 6% YoY revenue growth to $8.5B, ahead of expectations, driven by procedure volume recovery, supply improvements, and innovative product introductions.</li>
<li>Medtronic intends to acquire Korea-based <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, manufacturer of a tubeless, wearable, full-disposable insulin delivery device, for $738M. The transaction is expected to close in 2H23.  </li>
<li>Medtronic guided for FY24 adjusted EPS of $5.00–5.10, including ~6% unfavorable impact from Fx. The company forecasts 4.0–4.5% organic revenue growth in FY24, accelerating from 2.1% in FY23.</li>
</ul>



Medtronic Plc (MDT US) reported 6% YoY revenue growth to $8.5B, ahead of expectations, driven by procedure volume recovery, supply improvements, and innovative product introductions.
Medtronic intends to acquire Korea-based Eoflow (294090 KS), manufacturer of a tubeless, wearable, full-disposable insulin delivery device, for $738M. The transaction is expected to close in 2H23.  
Medtronic guided for FY24 adjusted EPS of $5.00–5.10, including ~6% unfavorable impact from Fx. The company forecasts 4.0–4.5% organic revenue growth in FY24, accelerating from 2.1% in FY23.


Medtronic Plc (MDT US): Strong Q4 Result; New Acquisition Announced; Fx Headwind to Impact FY24

United States

Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. produces medical devices. The Company designs, develops, and commercializes products for people with insulin-dependent diabetes. Tandem Diabetes Care offers its products to the medical industries in the United States.

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Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US)