Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be one change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Following the demerger of the Commercial Vehicle business, the drop in market cap for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors (TTMT IN)</a> could result in index deletion.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a> is a potential inclusion to the index, but there is a small possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grasim-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:290:1" rel="noopener">Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)</a> being added to the index instead.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Following the demerger of the Commercial Vehicle business, the drop in market cap for Tata Motors (TTMT IN) could result in index deletion.

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) is a potential inclusion to the index, but there is a small possibility of Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN) being added to the index instead.


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Tata Motors OUT; Indigo IN; Grasim - Dark Horse

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>RBI kept the policy rate unchanged and retained a neutral policy stance. But (in concert with MoF), a more conducive climate was created for foreign inflows into India's debt markets.  </li>
<li>Real GDP grew 7.8%YoY in Q4/FY26 with a current account surplus (0.7% of GDP). Our forecast for core CPI inflation is 4.2%, headline 4.8%, and no rate hikes in FY27.</li>
<li>With services (52% of the economy) growing 9%+, we expect real GDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, and strong net FDI and FPI inflows to bolster INR. Bullish. </li>
</ul>


RBI kept the policy rate unchanged and retained a neutral policy stance. But (in concert with MoF), a more conducive climate was created for foreign inflows into India's debt markets.  
Real GDP grew 7.8%YoY in Q4/FY26 with a current account surplus (0.7% of GDP). Our forecast for core CPI inflation is 4.2%, headline 4.8%, and no rate hikes in FY27.
With services (52% of the economy) growing 9%+, we expect real GDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, and strong net FDI and FPI inflows to bolster INR. Bullish. 


India: No Rate Hike in FY27, as Growth Slows a Tad and CAD Widens to 1% of GDP

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India’s top five auto OEMs- Maruti Suzuki, Hyundai, Tata Motors, M&amp;M, and Hero MotoCorp, plan to invest nearly INR 40,000 crore in FY27, marking a record capex push.</li>
<li>This capex cycle is not just about adding capacity. It also focuses on EVs, software-led vehicles, premium models, and changing customer preferences.</li>
<li>The Capex wave looks structural, not cyclical. However, investors should track commodity risks, demand trends, valuations, and the larger opportunity in auto ancillary companies.</li>
</ul>


India’s top five auto OEMs- Maruti Suzuki, Hyundai, Tata Motors, M&amp;M, and Hero MotoCorp, plan to invest nearly INR 40,000 crore in FY27, marking a record capex push.
This capex cycle is not just about adding capacity. It also focuses on EVs, software-led vehicles, premium models, and changing customer preferences.
The Capex wave looks structural, not cyclical. However, investors should track commodity risks, demand trends, valuations, and the larger opportunity in auto ancillary companies.


Thematic Report- India Auto: The Great Capex Reset

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>Delhi has drafted EV Policy 2026–2030, replacing the 2020 framework, pivoting to scrappage-linked incentives, capping subsidies to mass-market vehicles below Rs 25 lakh, and targeting 36,000 charging points by 2030.</li>
<li>With 90 lakh registered vehicles and India's most polluted urban air, Delhi's demand signal carries outsized influence on OEM product roadmaps, capex cycles, and localization timelines through 2030.</li>
<li>Legacy OEMs with established service networks (TVS, Bajaj, Hero, Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland) stand to capture disproportionate benefits; pure-play EV startups without scale face a harder road ahead.</li>
</ul>


Delhi has drafted EV Policy 2026–2030, replacing the 2020 framework, pivoting to scrappage-linked incentives, capping subsidies to mass-market vehicles below Rs 25 lakh, and targeting 36,000 charging points by 2030.
With 90 lakh registered vehicles and India's most polluted urban air, Delhi's demand signal carries outsized influence on OEM product roadmaps, capex cycles, and localization timelines through 2030.
Legacy OEMs with established service networks (TVS, Bajaj, Hero, Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland) stand to capture disproportionate benefits; pure-play EV startups without scale face a harder road ahead.


Delhi's EV Draft Policy: Who Wins the Policy Windfall of 2026–2030?

<ul>
<li>India's PLI-ACC scheme has disbursed zero incentives to date; actual cell production capacity stands at roughly 1.4 GWh against a 50 GWh target.</li>
<li>India's grid needs an estimated 236 GWh of battery storage by 2031-32; if domestic gigafactories miss their 2026-28 ramps, China will supply the surge, undermining the entire domestic manufacturing thesis.</li>
<li>Three players, three divergent technology bets, and a shared supply-chain vulnerability from China: the 2026-27 window will reveal which of these factories can close the gap between ambition and output.</li>
</ul>


India's PLI-ACC scheme has disbursed zero incentives to date; actual cell production capacity stands at roughly 1.4 GWh against a 50 GWh target.
India's grid needs an estimated 236 GWh of battery storage by 2031-32; if domestic gigafactories miss their 2026-28 ramps, China will supply the surge, undermining the entire domestic manufacturing thesis.
Three players, three divergent technology bets, and a shared supply-chain vulnerability from China: the 2026-27 window will reveal which of these factories can close the gap between ambition and output.


India's Gigafactory: 50 GWh Promised, 1.4 GWh Delivered

India

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited is an Indian multinational automobile manufacturer that designs, manufactures, and sells a diverse portfolio of passenger cars and utility vehicles, including electric variants. The company is a key player in India's electric vehicle market and also owns the British car manufacturer Jaguar Land Rover. It is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded in 1945 as Tata Motors Limited, with the passenger vehicles business later carved out as a dedicated subsidiary.

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Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV IN)

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Tata Motors OUT; Indigo IN; Grasim - Dark Horse

Following the demerger of the Commercial Vehicle business, Tata Motors could be deleted from the index. Indigo is the highest ranked non-member;...

Brian Freitas

India: No Rate Hike in FY27, as Growth Slows a Tad and CAD Widens to 1% of GDP

RBI maintains policy rate, focuses on attracting foreign inflows to debt markets. With Services growing 9%, RGDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, as...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Thematic Report- India Auto: The Great Capex Reset

India's top auto OEMs set to invest INR 40,000 crore in FY27, focusing on EVs, software-led vehicles, and premium models. Investors should monitor...

Nimish Maheshwari

Delhi's EV Draft Policy: Who Wins the Policy Windfall of 2026–2030?

Delhi's new EV Policy 2026-2030 focuses on scrappage incentives, subsidies for mass-market vehicles under Rs 25 lakh, and aims for 36,000 charging...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India's Gigafactory: 50 GWh Promised, 1.4 GWh Delivered

India's PLI-ACC scheme struggles with zero incentives and low cell production capacity, risking reliance on China for battery storage needs if...

Nimish Maheshwari

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Tata Motors OUT; Indigo IN; Grasim - Dark Horse

Following the demerger of the Commercial Vehicle business, Tata Motors could be deleted from the index. Indigo is the highest ranked non-member;...

Brian Freitas

India: No Rate Hike in FY27, as Growth Slows a Tad and CAD Widens to 1% of GDP

​RBI maintains policy rate, focuses on attracting foreign inflows to debt markets. With Services growing 9%, RGDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, as...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Thematic Report- India Auto: The Great Capex Reset

​India's top auto OEMs set to invest INR 40,000 crore in FY27, focusing on EVs, software-led vehicles, and premium models. Investors should monitor...

Nimish Maheshwari

Delhi's EV Draft Policy: Who Wins the Policy Windfall of 2026–2030?

​Delhi's new EV Policy 2026-2030 focuses on scrappage incentives, subsidies for mass-market vehicles under Rs 25 lakh, and aims for 36,000 charging...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India's Gigafactory: 50 GWh Promised, 1.4 GWh Delivered

​India's PLI-ACC scheme struggles with zero incentives and low cell production capacity, risking reliance on China for battery storage needs if...

Nimish Maheshwari

RBI maintains policy rate, focuses on attracting foreign inflows to debt markets. With Services growing 9%, RGDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, as...

India's top auto OEMs set to invest INR 40,000 crore in FY27, focusing on EVs, software-led vehicles, and premium models. Investors should monitor...

Delhi's new EV Policy 2026-2030 focuses on scrappage incentives, subsidies for mass-market vehicles under Rs 25 lakh, and aims for 36,000 charging...

India's PLI-ACC scheme struggles with zero incentives and low cell production capacity, risking reliance on China for battery storage needs if...