Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

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Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Steelmakers are set for strong Q4 growth, with rising HRC prices and falling raw material costs boosting operating margins by INR 1,200-1,800 per tonne for steelmakers.</li>
<li>Lower input costs, particularly coking coal along with GOI's ADD will significantly improve profitability for steelmakers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18561:1" rel="noopener">JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jindal-steel-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6614:1" rel="noopener">Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN), </a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steel-authority-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14323:1" rel="noopener">Steel Authority of India (SAIL IN)  expects surge in PAT upto 700%.</a>
</li>
</ul>


Steelmakers are set for strong Q4 growth, with rising HRC prices and falling raw material costs boosting operating margins by INR 1,200-1,800 per tonne for steelmakers.
Lower input costs, particularly coking coal along with GOI's ADD will significantly improve profitability for steelmakers.

JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN) , Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN) , Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN),  Steel Authority of India (SAIL IN)  expects surge in PAT upto 700%.



Themes of India: Revival of Indian Steel Industry Cycle In Q4 Feasible?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>While flats prices recovered marginally, longs price moderated QoQ: During Q4FY25, domestic steel realizations for flat products recovered a modest 1% QoQ</li><li>However, longs prices came under pressure and fell ~1-2% QoQ</li><li>Thus, blended steel prices have been broadly flattish QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

While flats prices recovered marginally, longs price moderated QoQ: During Q4FY25, domestic steel realizations for flat products recovered a modest 1% QoQHowever, longs prices came under pressure and fell ~1-2% QoQThus, blended steel prices have been broadly flattish QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Metals (Q4FY25 Results Preview): Gross Margin-Led QoQ Margin Recovery

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

Steel Authority of India / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SAIL has been a consistent under-performer despite having huge iron ore reserves, multi-location steel plants and wide product spectrum and exclusive sales to Indian Railways</li>
<li>Legacy plants, ageing manpower and operational inefficiencies have resulted in slower growth compared to peers and a significant loss in overall market share, high inventories and single digit RoEs</li>
<li>SAIL trades at 0.8x P/B, in line with history, but weak volume visibility and elevated debt warrant a deeper discount—0.6x book better reflects risk-reward, in our view.</li>
</ul>


SAIL has been a consistent under-performer despite having huge iron ore reserves, multi-location steel plants and wide product spectrum and exclusive sales to Indian Railways
Legacy plants, ageing manpower and operational inefficiencies have resulted in slower growth compared to peers and a significant loss in overall market share, high inventories and single digit RoEs
SAIL trades at 0.8x P/B, in line with history, but weak volume visibility and elevated debt warrant a deeper discount—0.6x book better reflects risk-reward, in our view.


Steel Authority of India: Weak on Expansion

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>In Q4FY25, for Steel companies under our coverage (Tata Steel and SAIL), we expect EBITDA to improve QoQ mainly due to higher sales volume and lower coking consumption costs, partially offset by a slight drop in steel price realisations.</li><li>Average HRC price benchmark fell in Q4FY25, down 11%/1% YoY/QoQ, with price recovery taking place only towards the end of Q4FY25.</li><li>We expect Tata Steel and SAIL’s EBITDA to increase on a QoQ basis by 6% and 35% respectively. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q4FY25, for Steel companies under our coverage (Tata Steel and SAIL), we expect EBITDA to improve QoQ mainly due to higher sales volume and lower coking consumption costs, partially offset by a slight drop in steel price realisations.Average HRC price benchmark fell in Q4FY25, down 11%/1% YoY/QoQ, with price recovery taking place only towards the end of Q4FY25.We expect Tata Steel and SAIL’s EBITDA to increase on a QoQ basis by 6% and 35% respectively. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q4FY25 Earnings Preview - Metals and Mining

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> had rallied quite hard the week before last week, then stalled last week, however its looks like maybe is changing in its trend structure, maybe a breakout...</li>
<li>However the breakout may have to wait a bit more, as the NIFTY is overbought WEEKLY according to our model: before the uptrend resumes, there will be a pullback.</li>
<li>Last: as written by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/companies/acegama-advisors" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="companies:30807" rel="noopener">AceGama Advisors</a> the WEEKLY options expiry will be moved from Thursday to Monday, starting in April 2025, impacting the market. Read their insight for detailed analysis.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index had rallied quite hard the week before last week, then stalled last week, however its looks like maybe is changing in its trend structure, maybe a breakout...
However the breakout may have to wait a bit more, as the NIFTY is overbought WEEKLY according to our model: before the uptrend resumes, there will be a pullback.
Last: as written by AceGama Advisors the WEEKLY options expiry will be moved from Thursday to Monday, starting in April 2025, impacting the market. Read their insight for detailed analysis.


NIFTY Outlook: Possible Breakout as Options Expiry Moves to Monday

India

Tata Steel Ltd. is an integrated steel producer which manufactures a variety of steel products. The Company's products include steel ball bearing rings, alloy steel bearing rings, annular forgings, flanges, bearings, welded steel tubes, cold rolled strips and seamless tubes. Tata Steel also manufactures metallurgical machinery.

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Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)

Themes of India: Revival of Indian Steel Industry Cycle In Q4 Feasible?

Steelmakers in India are poised for strong Q4 growth, with rising HRC prices and falling RM costs boosting OPM by INR 1,200-1,800/ tonne, leading...

Nimish Maheshwari

Metals (Q4FY25 Results Preview): Gross Margin-Led QoQ Margin Recovery

While flats prices recovered marginally, longs price moderated QoQ: During Q4FY25, domestic steel realizations for flat products recovered a modest...

HDFC Securities

Steel Authority of India: Weak on Expansion

Despite its vast resources, SAIL's operational inefficiencies have led to underperformance and a loss in market share. A deeper discount on its...

Rahul Jain

Q4FY25 Earnings Preview - Metals and Mining

In Q4FY25, for Steel companies under our coverage (Tata Steel and SAIL), we expect EBITDA to improve QoQ mainly due to higher sales volume and...

Axis Direct

NIFTY Outlook: Possible Breakout as Options Expiry Moves to Monday

The NIFTY is showing a potential breakout, possibly the start of an uptrend, but it is OVERBOUGHT: expect a pullback before a rally. Weekly...

Nico Rosti

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Themes of India: Revival of Indian Steel Industry Cycle In Q4 Feasible?

​Steelmakers in India are poised for strong Q4 growth, with rising HRC prices and falling RM costs boosting OPM by INR 1,200-1,800/ tonne, leading...

Nimish Maheshwari

Metals (Q4FY25 Results Preview): Gross Margin-Led QoQ Margin Recovery

While flats prices recovered marginally, longs price moderated QoQ: During Q4FY25, domestic steel realizations for flat products recovered a modest...

HDFC Securities

Steel Authority of India: Weak on Expansion

​Despite its vast resources, SAIL's operational inefficiencies have led to underperformance and a loss in market share. A deeper discount on its...

Rahul Jain

Q4FY25 Earnings Preview - Metals and Mining

In Q4FY25, for Steel companies under our coverage (Tata Steel and SAIL), we expect EBITDA to improve QoQ mainly due to higher sales volume and...

Axis Direct

NIFTY Outlook: Possible Breakout as Options Expiry Moves to Monday

The ​NIFTY is showing a potential breakout, possibly the start of an uptrend, but it is OVERBOUGHT: expect a pullback before a rally. Weekly...

Nico Rosti

Steelmakers in India are poised for strong Q4 growth, with rising HRC prices and falling RM costs boosting OPM by INR 1,200-1,800/ tonne, leading...

Despite its vast resources, SAIL's operational inefficiencies have led to underperformance and a loss in market share. A deeper discount on its...

The NIFTY is showing a potential breakout, possibly the start of an uptrend, but it is OVERBOUGHT: expect a pullback before a rally. Weekly...