Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Tata Steel’s Q4 and FY 2023-24 numbers were weak in our view, with the restructuring of the UK operations weighing on group performance and offsetting the robust Indian business. The financial risk profile deteriorated significantly, due to lower earnings and soft cash flows. Liquidity was inadequate, driven by the poor cash flows and large dividends. We expect the steel industry's operating environment in FY 2024-25 to be constructive and support Tata Steel's earnings. However, the company's solid earnings for the Indian operations should be offset by the restructuring of the UK business, for which another GBP 1.6 bn of additional costs is projected. It is unclear if there is light at the end of the tunnel.

  Tata Steel’s Q4 and FY 2023-24 numbers were weak in our view, with the restructuring of the UK operations weighing on group performance and offsetting the robust Indian business. The financial risk profile deteriorated significantly, due to lower earnings and soft cash flows. Liquidity was inadequate, driven by the poor cash flows and large dividends.   We expect the steel industry's operating environment in FY 2024-25 to be constructive and support Tata Steel's earnings. However, the company's solid earnings for the Indian operations should be offset by the restructuring of the UK business, for which another GBP 1.6 bn of additional costs is projected. It is unclear if there is light at the end of the tunnel. 

Tata Steel - Earnings Flash - FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Tata Technologies (TT) raised around US$370m in its India IPO in Dec 2023.</li>
<li>Tata Technologies is a global engineering services company offering product development and digital solutions, including turnkey solutions, to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their tier 1 suppliers.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Tata Technologies (TT) raised around US$370m in its India IPO in Dec 2023.
Tata Technologies is a global engineering services company offering product development and digital solutions, including turnkey solutions, to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their tier 1 suppliers.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Tata Technologies IPO Lockup Expiry - US$1.5bn Lockup Release, Some Funds Are Sitting on 40x Gains

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Afcons Infrastructure Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afcons-infrastructure-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41288:1" rel="noopener">Afcons Infrastructure Limited (6595396Z IN)</a> is looking to raise US$840m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Afcons Infrastructure Limited (Afcons) is the flagship infrastructure engineering and construction company of the Shapoorji Pallonji group.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Afcons Infrastructure Limited (6595396Z IN) is looking to raise US$840m in its upcoming India IPO.
Afcons Infrastructure Limited (Afcons) is the flagship infrastructure engineering and construction company of the Shapoorji Pallonji group.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO - The Negatives - But Overdue Trade Receivables Increasing

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afcons-infrastructure-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41288:1" rel="noopener">Afcons Infrastructure Limited (6595396Z IN)</a> is looking to raise US$840m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>Afcons Infrastructure Limited (Afcons) is the flagship infrastructure engineering and construction company of the Shapoorji Pallonji group.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal. </li>
</ul>



Afcons Infrastructure Limited (6595396Z IN) is looking to raise US$840m in its upcoming India IPO. 
Afcons Infrastructure Limited (Afcons) is the flagship infrastructure engineering and construction company of the Shapoorji Pallonji group.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal. 


Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO - The Positives - Profitability More than Doubled

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.</li>
<li>Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.</li>
<li>ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.</li>
</ul>


A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.
Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.
ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.


Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

India

Tata Steel Ltd. is an integrated steel producer which manufactures a variety of steel products. The Company's products include steel ball bearing rings, alloy steel bearing rings, annular forgings, flanges, bearings, welded steel tubes, cold rolled strips and seamless tubes. Tata Steel also manufactures metallurgical machinery.

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Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)

Tata Steel - Earnings Flash - FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Tata Steel’s Q4 and FY 2023-24 numbers were weak in our view, with the restructuring of the UK operations weighing on group performance and...

Lucror Analytics

Tata Technologies IPO Lockup Expiry - US$1.5bn Lockup Release, Some Funds Are Sitting on 40x Gains

Tata Technologies raised around US$370m in its India IPO in Dec 2023. In this note, we talk about its upcoming US$1.5bn lockup release.

Sumeet Singh

Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO - The Negatives - But Overdue Trade Receivables Increasing

Afcons Infrastructure Limited (6595396Z IN) is looking to raise US$840m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive...

Ethan Aw

Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO - The Positives - Profitability More than Doubled

Afcons Infrastructure Limited (6595396Z IN) is looking to raise US$840m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects...

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tata Steel - Earnings Flash - FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Tata Steel’s Q4 and FY 2023-24 numbers were weak in our view, with the restructuring of the UK operations weighing on group performance and...

Lucror Analytics

Tata Technologies IPO Lockup Expiry - US$1.5bn Lockup Release, Some Funds Are Sitting on 40x Gains

Tata Technologies raised around US$370m in its India IPO in Dec 2023. In this note, we talk about its upcoming US$1.5bn lockup release.

Sumeet Singh

Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO - The Negatives - But Overdue Trade Receivables Increasing

Afcons Infrastructure Limited (6595396Z IN) is looking to raise US$840m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive...

Ethan Aw

Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO - The Positives - Profitability More than Doubled

Afcons Infrastructure Limited (6595396Z IN) is looking to raise US$840m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects...

Ethan Aw

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Commodities Testing Resistance; Buys in Global Defensives (Staples, Utilities, Telecomm), Commodity...

Vermilion Research