Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcelormittal-sa-8b816bb6-eb73-416f-a30a-56f93d1deb03" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38577:1" rel="noopener">ArcelorMittal (MT US)</a> reported an EBITDA decline for the third year in a row to US$7b in CY24. Targets $0.4b/0.6b of $1.9bn of planned strategic EBITDA growth in 2025/2026.</li>
<li>Management has guided a slightly positive apparent global demand growth 2.5-3.5% ex China. Expects restocking demand in Europe. </li>
<li>Trades at 0.5x P/B vs 2-3x P/B for Indian steel mills <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18561:1" rel="noopener">JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jindal-steel-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6614:1" rel="noopener">Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN)</a> </li>
</ul>



ArcelorMittal (MT US) reported an EBITDA decline for the third year in a row to US$7b in CY24. Targets $0.4b/0.6b of $1.9bn of planned strategic EBITDA growth in 2025/2026.
Management has guided a slightly positive apparent global demand growth 2.5-3.5% ex China. Expects restocking demand in Europe. 
Trades at 0.5x P/B vs 2-3x P/B for Indian steel mills JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN) , Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) , Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN) 


ArcelorMittal (MT US) Is Deep Discount to Indian Mills Warranted?

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a> is looking to raise about INR 85bn (US$980m) in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).</li>
<li>In an announcement released on Feb 13, 2025, BOB mentioned its board’s approval to raise upto INR85bn via various modes including a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 1.2%.</li>
<li>The deal would be a relatively large one to digest at 39 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did not do well.</li>
</ul>



Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN) is looking to raise about INR 85bn (US$980m) in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
In an announcement released on Feb 13, 2025, BOB mentioned its board’s approval to raise upto INR85bn via various modes including a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 1.2%.
The deal would be a relatively large one to digest at 39 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did not do well.


Bank of Baroda QIP Early Look - Well Flagged but Last Deal Did Not Do Well

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Hexaware Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies</a> raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not. </li>
<li>Hexaware is a global digital and technology services company with AI at its core, delivering innovative solutions that help customers in their digital transformation journey and subsequent operations.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Hexaware Technologies raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not. 
Hexaware is a global digital and technology services company with AI at its core, delivering innovative solutions that help customers in their digital transformation journey and subsequent operations.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Hexaware Technologies IPO Trading - Very Strong Anchor, Very Poor Overall

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (1364 HK)</a> added to the list of disaapointing tea chain, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group-bab2ff71-b80e-406a-8746-77d70acaa16e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40625:1" rel="noopener">MIXUE</a> is said to be gearing up for a launch soon.</li>
<li>On the placements front, there were two smallish deals in Japan.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, while Guming Holdings (1364 HK) added to the list of disaapointing tea chain, MIXUE is said to be gearing up for a launch soon.
On the placements front, there were two smallish deals in Japan.


ECM Weekly (17th Feb 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Mixue, Guming, Hexaware, Ajax, Aegis, Daiichi, Takasago

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanyo-special-steel-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15900:1" rel="noopener">Sanyo Special Steel (5481 JP)</a> has recommended <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-steel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:961:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)</a>’s tender offer at JPY2,750, a 37.4% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The offer is light, implying a P/B of 0.67x, below the midpoint of the IFA DCF range, below the Board's requested price, and unattractive compared to peer multiples. </li>
<li>The lack of an irrevocable and unattractive offer suggests that satisfying the minimum acceptance condition is likely challenging. This situation requires activism to force a bump.   </li>
</ul>



Sanyo Special Steel (5481 JP) has recommended Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)’s tender offer at JPY2,750, a 37.4% premium to the last close.
The offer is light, implying a P/B of 0.67x, below the midpoint of the IFA DCF range, below the Board's requested price, and unattractive compared to peer multiples. 
The lack of an irrevocable and unattractive offer suggests that satisfying the minimum acceptance condition is likely challenging. This situation requires activism to force a bump.   


Sanyo Special Steel (5481 JP): Nippon Steel (5401 JP)’s Light Tender Offer Begs for Activism

India

Tata Steel Limited is an Indian multinational steel company that manufactures and distributes a wide range of steel products, including hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized steel, tubes, and wire rods. The company serves diverse sectors such as automotive, construction, engineering, and consumer goods. Tata Steel is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded on August 26, 1907.

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Tata Steel (TATA IN)

ArcelorMittal (MT US) Is Deep Discount to Indian Mills Warranted?

ArcelorMittal reports EBITDA decline for third year, targets strategic growth in 2025/2026. Expects positive global demand growth and trades at...

Rahul Jain

Bank of Baroda QIP Early Look - Well Flagged but Last Deal Did Not Do Well

Bank of Baroda (BOB IN) is looking to raise upto INR85bn (US$980m) in its upcoming QIP. In Feb 2025's filing, it mentioned its board’s approval to...

Akshat Shah

Hexaware Technologies IPO Trading - Very Strong Anchor, Very Poor Overall

Hexaware Technologies raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (17th Feb 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Mixue, Guming, Hexaware, Ajax, Aegis, Daiichi, Takasago

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Sanyo Special Steel (5481 JP): Nippon Steel (5401 JP)’s Light Tender Offer Begs for Activism

The offer is light, implying a P/B of 0.67x, below the midpoint of the IFA DCF range and unattractive compared to peer multiples. This needs...

Arun George

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52-week Range

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ArcelorMittal (MT US) Is Deep Discount to Indian Mills Warranted?

​ArcelorMittal reports EBITDA decline for third year, targets strategic growth in 2025/2026. Expects positive global demand growth and trades at...

Rahul Jain

Bank of Baroda QIP Early Look - Well Flagged but Last Deal Did Not Do Well

Bank of Baroda (BOB IN) is looking to raise upto INR85bn (US$980m) in its upcoming QIP. In Feb 2025's filing, it mentioned its board’s approval to...

Akshat Shah

Hexaware Technologies IPO Trading - Very Strong Anchor, Very Poor Overall

Hexaware Technologies raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (17th Feb 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Mixue, Guming, Hexaware, Ajax, Aegis, Daiichi, Takasago

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Sanyo Special Steel (5481 JP): Nippon Steel (5401 JP)’s Light Tender Offer Begs for Activism

The offer is light, implying a P/B of 0.67x, below the midpoint of the IFA DCF range and unattractive compared to peer multiples. This needs...

Arun George

ArcelorMittal reports EBITDA decline for third year, targets strategic growth in 2025/2026. Expects positive global demand growth and trades at...