Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>It's been a long-time coming. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> and parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> will gradually sell down their stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> to fund a share purchase program.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Prosus and Naspers, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % of market capitalisation greater than 20%.</li>
</ul>


It's been a long-time coming. Prosus (PRX NA) and parent Naspers (NPN SJ) will gradually sell down their stake in Tencent (700 HK) to fund a share purchase program.
Preceding my comments on Prosus and Naspers, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % of market capitalisation greater than 20%.


StubWorld: Prosus & Naspers Gain On Buyback Funded By Tencent Share Sale

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Tencent sold US$3bn worth of SEA shares in Jan 22. The rest of its stake was locked up for six months.</li>
<li>The initial stake sale by Tencent didn’t go down too well and the stock is now trading over 63% below the deal price.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.</li>
</ul>


Tencent sold US$3bn worth of SEA shares in Jan 22. The rest of its stake was locked up for six months.
The initial stake sale by Tencent didn’t go down too well and the stock is now trading over 63% below the deal price.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.


SEA Lock-Up - Tencent Is once Again About to Be Free to Trim Its US$8bn Stake

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> hold 28.78% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and will be selling Tencent stock to fund their own buyback due to the large discount to NAV.</li>
<li>At 3-5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>'s ADV, the selling will last from 9-15 years, though could take much longer (or not complete) if Prosus/Naspers' discount to NAV shrinks considerably.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will buy only around 12-14% of the incremental stock and this will lead to a big overhang on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> in the near future.</li>
</ul>



Prosus (PRX NA)/ Naspers (NPN SJ) hold 28.78% of Tencent (700 HK) and will be selling Tencent stock to fund their own buyback due to the large discount to NAV.
At 3-5% of Tencent (700 HK)'s ADV, the selling will last from 9-15 years, though could take much longer (or not complete) if Prosus/Naspers' discount to NAV shrinks considerably.
Passive trackers will buy only around 12-14% of the incremental stock and this will lead to a big overhang on Tencent (700 HK) in the near future.


Tencent (700 HK): Impact of Prosus Selling & Passive Inflows

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>I wanted to write this insight over the weekend but could not finish it, but now there is new news to warrant it. </li>
<li>Today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>  <a href="https://www.prosus.com/news/disposal-of-jdcom-shares-received-from-tencent-holdings-limited/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it had sold the 131,873,028 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> shares it received in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> distribution. This is as expected. Proceeds were US$3.67bn.</li>
<li>Also <a href="https://www.prosus.com/news/the-group-announces-the-beginning-of-an-open-ended-share-repurchase-programme-of-prosus-and-naspers-shares/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> this morning is "the beginning of an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> shares." The details are the key to everything. </li>
</ul>


I wanted to write this insight over the weekend but could not finish it, but now there is new news to warrant it. 
Today, Prosus (PRX NA)  announced it had sold the 131,873,028 JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) shares it received in the Tencent (700 HK) distribution. This is as expected. Proceeds were US$3.67bn.
Also announced this morning is "the beginning of an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and Naspers (NPN SJ) shares." The details are the key to everything. 


Prosus/Naspers - Operation Ouroboros Commences, And It's Big (Discount, Flows, Index Impact)

<ul>
<li>Today Prosus announced that it will begin an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and Naspers shares which will be funded by on-market sale of Tencent shares.</li>
<li>Prosus also announced that it has sold its entire shareholding in JD.com, to raise US$3.67bn, on-market in Jun 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the implication and timing of today’s announcements.</li>
</ul>


Today Prosus announced that it will begin an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and Naspers shares which will be funded by on-market sale of Tencent shares.
Prosus also announced that it has sold its entire shareholding in JD.com, to raise US$3.67bn, on-market in Jun 2022.
In this note, we talk about the implication and timing of today’s announcements.


Prosus, Tencent, JD.com - Good Intentions but Questionable Timing

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

SEA Lock-Up - Tencent Is once Again About to Be Free to Trim Its US$8bn Stake

Tencent sold US$3bn worth of SEA shares in Jan 22. The rest of its stake was locked up for six months, which will soon be over.

Sumeet Singh

Tencent (700 HK): Impact of Prosus Selling & Passive Inflows

Prosus holds 28.78% of Tencent - that is US$133.5bn. Selling stock could take 9-15 years and is heavily dependent on a few factors. Limited passive...

Brian Freitas

Prosus/Naspers - Operation Ouroboros Commences, And It's Big (Discount, Flows, Index Impact)

The event everyone has been waiting for. Prosus will start selling Tencent to buy back Prosus and Naspers shares to narrow the discount. The...

Travis Lundy

Prosus, Tencent, JD.com - Good Intentions but Questionable Timing

Today Prosus announced that it will begin an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and Naspers shares which will be funded by on-market...

Sumeet Singh

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StubWorld: Prosus & Naspers Gain On Buyback Funded By Tencent Share Sale

Buying a material percentage of Prosus' float at 40%+, translates to a significant lift in NAV/share accretion, even if Tencent remains static. Go...

David Blennerhassett

SEA Lock-Up - Tencent Is once Again About to Be Free to Trim Its US$8bn Stake

Tencent sold US$3bn worth of SEA shares in Jan 22. The rest of its stake was locked up for six months, which will soon be over.

Sumeet Singh

Tencent (700 HK): Impact of Prosus Selling & Passive Inflows

Prosus holds 28.78% of Tencent - that is US$133.5bn. Selling stock could take 9-15 years and is heavily dependent on a few factors. Limited passive...

Brian Freitas

Prosus/Naspers - Operation Ouroboros Commences, And It's Big (Discount, Flows, Index Impact)

The event everyone has been waiting for. Prosus will start selling Tencent to buy back Prosus and Naspers shares to narrow the discount. The...

Travis Lundy

Prosus, Tencent, JD.com - Good Intentions but Questionable Timing

Today Prosus announced that it will begin an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and Naspers shares which will be funded by on-market...

Sumeet Singh