Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bilibili reported 1Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue grew 29.6% YoY to RMB5.1bn (vs consensus RMB5.04bn) while operating losses as a % of revenue increased to 39.4% from 26.4% in 1Q2021.</li>
<li>Monthly Paying Users (MPUs) reached 27.2m vs 20.5m in 1Q2021, however, blended ARPU declined to RMB41.8 from RMB43.4 a year ago suggesting that user growth comes at lower pricing.</li>
<li>Bilibili’s ADS’ closed 15% lower at the end of yesterday’s trading as widening losses and softer guidance for 2Q2022 disappointed the market.</li>
</ul>


Bilibili reported 1Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue grew 29.6% YoY to RMB5.1bn (vs consensus RMB5.04bn) while operating losses as a % of revenue increased to 39.4% from 26.4% in 1Q2021.
Monthly Paying Users (MPUs) reached 27.2m vs 20.5m in 1Q2021, however, blended ARPU declined to RMB41.8 from RMB43.4 a year ago suggesting that user growth comes at lower pricing.
Bilibili’s ADS’ closed 15% lower at the end of yesterday’s trading as widening losses and softer guidance for 2Q2022 disappointed the market.


Bilibili 1Q2022: Widening Losses and There Is Further Downside

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.6bn, split (roughly) &lt;US$0.1bn for Shanghai and US$0.5bn for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.6bn, split (roughly) &lt;US$0.1bn for Shanghai and US$0.5bn for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK). The largest outflows were in CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) and Tencent (700 HK).


Shanghai/​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)

LONGi Green Energy Technology / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock-Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net inflow was ~US$6.5bn, split between Shanghai (+US$5.5bn) and Shenzhen (+US$1.0bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longi-green-energy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12703:1" rel="noopener">LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (300750 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-holdings-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27590:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Holdings (601919 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock-Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net inflow was ~US$6.5bn, split between Shanghai (+US$5.5bn) and Shenzhen (+US$1.0bn).
The largest inflows were into LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH) and Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH). The largest outflows were in CATL (300750 CH) and Cosco Shipping Holdings (601919 CH).


Shanghai/​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: College student depression hides anxieties about jobs and Covid</li><li>Some Chinese colleges won’t let students graduate without proof of employment</li><li>Regulatory reform forces China’s trust firms to cut back on risky lending</li></ul>

In Depth: College student depression hides anxieties about jobs and CovidSome Chinese colleges won’t let students graduate without proof of employmentRegulatory reform forces China’s trust firms to cut back on risky lending

CX Daily: College Student Depression Hides Anxieties About Jobs And Covid

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Chinese regulators cleared publishing licenses Tuesday for 60 online games in this year’s second batch of new title approvals following an eight-month suspension</li>
<li>The omission of Tencent and NetEase extended their 11-month drought for new title approvals.</li>
<li>Titles on the latest list are mainly smaller-budget games. Despite the absence of the biggest players, the approvals fanned hopes that regulators are easing their tight leash on the industry and will allow more new games</li>
</ul>


Chinese regulators cleared publishing licenses Tuesday for 60 online games in this year’s second batch of new title approvals following an eight-month suspension
The omission of Tencent and NetEase extended their 11-month drought for new title approvals.
Titles on the latest list are mainly smaller-budget games. Despite the absence of the biggest players, the approvals fanned hopes that regulators are easing their tight leash on the industry and will allow more new games


Tencent, NetEase Miss Out in China’s New Game Approvals

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Bilibili 1Q2022: Widening Losses and There Is Further Downside

Though 1Q2022 revenues beat consensus, operating losses further widened to 39.4% of revenues. MPUs increased but at the cost of lower ARPU and the...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.6bn, split (roughly) <US$0.1bn for Shanghai Southbound and US$0.5bn for Shenzhen Southbound.

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$6.5bn, and was roughly split between Shanghai Northbound (+US$5.5bn) and Shenzhen Northbound (+US$1.0bn).

David Blennerhassett

CX Daily: College Student Depression Hides Anxieties About Jobs And Covid

In Depth: College student depression hides anxieties about jobs and Covid. Some Chinese colleges won’t let students graduate without proof of...

Caixin Global

Tencent, NetEase Miss Out in China’s New Game Approvals

Chinese regulators cleared publishing licenses Tuesday for 60 online games in this year’s second batch of new title approvals following an eight...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bilibili 1Q2022: Widening Losses and There Is Further Downside

Though 1Q2022 revenues beat consensus, operating losses further widened to 39.4% of revenues. MPUs increased but at the cost of lower ARPU and the...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Shanghai/​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.6bn, split (roughly) <US$0.1bn for Shanghai Southbound and US$0.5bn for Shenzhen Southbound.

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$6.5bn, and was roughly split between Shanghai Northbound (+US$5.5bn) and Shenzhen Northbound (+US$1.0bn).

David Blennerhassett

CX Daily: College Student Depression Hides Anxieties About Jobs And Covid

In Depth: College student depression hides anxieties about jobs and Covid. Some Chinese colleges won’t let students graduate without proof of...

Caixin Global

Tencent, NetEase Miss Out in China’s New Game Approvals

Chinese regulators cleared publishing licenses Tuesday for 60 online games in this year’s second batch of new title approvals following an eight...

Caixin Global

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)