AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tesla’s stock dropped 12% post Q2 earnings, due to a 7% decrease in auto revenue, reflecting broader financial struggles despite a 15% rise in quarterly EV deliveries.</li>
<li>Trump's potential repeal of EV subsidies could reduce EV sales by 27% by 2030, but Tesla’s lower reliance on imports may mitigate the effect of increased tariffs.</li>
<li>Elon Musk’s $5 billion investment in his AI startup xAI raises concerns about potential distractions from Tesla, even as he leverages political shifts to benefit Tesla.</li>
</ul>


Tesla’s stock dropped 12% post Q2 earnings, due to a 7% decrease in auto revenue, reflecting broader financial struggles despite a 15% rise in quarterly EV deliveries.
Trump's potential repeal of EV subsidies could reduce EV sales by 27% by 2030, but Tesla’s lower reliance on imports may mitigate the effect of increased tariffs.
Elon Musk’s $5 billion investment in his AI startup xAI raises concerns about potential distractions from Tesla, even as he leverages political shifts to benefit Tesla.


Will Margin Contraction, Decline in Deliveries, and Trump's EV Policy Reversals Stall Tesla?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.</li>
<li>In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.
In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


Ola Electric Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Tesla remains a polarizing entity in the stock market, consistently capturing the imagination of investors with its bold vision and ambitious projects.</li><li>The company's latest earnings highlighted both its impressive achievements and notable challenges, leaving a mixed bag for potential investors, resulting in the stock going down.</li><li>On the positive side, Tesla continues to lead the electric vehicle (EV) market with record revenues and promising advancements in autonomous driving technology.</li></ul>

Tesla remains a polarizing entity in the stock market, consistently capturing the imagination of investors with its bold vision and ambitious projects.The company's latest earnings highlighted both its impressive achievements and notable challenges, leaving a mixed bag for potential investors, resulting in the stock going down.On the positive side, Tesla continues to lead the electric vehicle (EV) market with record revenues and promising advancements in autonomous driving technology.

Tesla's Bold Ambitions vs. Harsh Realities Of Product Delays & Slowing Growth Of EV Demand! - Major Drivers

China New Economy Equity Analyst, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robert McKay

China New Economy Equity Analyst

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US semiconductor restrictions are limiting China's access to advanced AI accelerators, causing a widening gap in AI compute. The US will expand its lead over China to ~7x by 2025.</li>
<li>Although China has domestic alternatives, bottlenecks due to separate US restrictions on semiconductor equipment are hindering yields and capacity expansions, effectively limiting China’s capacity to train state-of-the-art AI models.</li>
<li>To maximize AI compute, Huawei will likely curtail smartphone semiconductors in favor of AI accelerators. We expect manufacturers offering mid-end Android devices like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> to benefit first.</li>
</ul>


US semiconductor restrictions are limiting China's access to advanced AI accelerators, causing a widening gap in AI compute. The US will expand its lead over China to ~7x by 2025.
Although China has domestic alternatives, bottlenecks due to separate US restrictions on semiconductor equipment are hindering yields and capacity expansions, effectively limiting China’s capacity to train state-of-the-art AI models.
To maximize AI compute, Huawei will likely curtail smartphone semiconductors in favor of AI accelerators. We expect manufacturers offering mid-end Android devices like Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) to benefit first.


Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Stocks Fall On Potential New U.S. Tech Restrictions for China &amp; Potential Policy Shift from a Trump White House... Strong TSMC &amp; ASML Results Fail to Rally the Sector</li>
<li>Even Tighter Technology Restrictions for China?  -- US Could Use Special Rule to Restrict Selling of Products Made by Foreign Companies</li>
<li>We See TSMC's Margins Increasing Much Higher Than Guidance in Long-Term; 2Q24 Shows Apple Ramping Up </li>
</ul>


Taiwan Stocks Fall On Potential New U.S. Tech Restrictions for China &amp; Potential Policy Shift from a Trump White House... Strong TSMC &amp; ASML Results Fail to Rally the Sector
Even Tighter Technology Restrictions for China?  -- US Could Use Special Rule to Restrict Selling of Products Made by Foreign Companies
We See TSMC's Margins Increasing Much Higher Than Guidance in Long-Term; 2Q24 Shows Apple Ramping Up 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Strong TSMC & ASML Data Fails to Rally the Semiconductor Sector

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

Will Margin Contraction, Decline in Deliveries, and Trump's EV Policy Reversals Stall Tesla?

Tesla's Q2 earnings showed a 7% decline in auto revenue which led to a 12% fall in stock price. Despite a 15% increase in EV deliveries, YoY...

Mint Finance

Ola Electric Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Ola Electric has launched its IPO at a much more digestible valuation than what it was aiming for earlier. At the current valuations, it would be...

Sumeet Singh

Tesla's Bold Ambitions vs. Harsh Realities Of Product Delays & Slowing Growth Of EV Demand! - Major Drivers

Tesla remains a polarizing entity in the stock market, consistently capturing the imagination of investors with its bold vision and ambitious...

Baptista Research

Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Strong TSMC & ASML Data Fails to Rally the Semiconductor Sector

Taiwan stocks dropped last week as potential new US tech restrictions for China loom, despite strong TSMC and ASML results. Apple ramping up...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Will Margin Contraction, Decline in Deliveries, and Trump's EV Policy Reversals Stall Tesla?

Tesla's Q2 earnings showed a 7% decline in auto revenue which led to a 12% fall in stock price. Despite a 15% increase in EV deliveries, YoY...

Mint Finance

Ola Electric Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Ola Electric has launched its IPO at a much more digestible valuation than what it was aiming for earlier. At the current valuations, it would be...

Sumeet Singh

Tesla's Bold Ambitions vs. Harsh Realities Of Product Delays & Slowing Growth Of EV Demand! - Major Drivers

Tesla remains a polarizing entity in the stock market, consistently capturing the imagination of investors with its bold vision and ambitious...

Baptista Research

Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

​US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Strong TSMC & ASML Data Fails to Rally the Semiconductor Sector

​Taiwan stocks dropped last week as potential new US tech restrictions for China loom, despite strong TSMC and ASML results. Apple ramping up...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...

Taiwan stocks dropped last week as potential new US tech restrictions for China loom, despite strong TSMC and ASML results. Apple ramping up...