Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A detailed analysis of price patterns, implied vol and the earnings implied jump in TSLA options compared to historical outcomes. </li>
<li>Pre- and post-earnings price movements are examined to assess directional tendencies, patterns and magnitude.</li>
<li>Price returns in the 1-month following earnings show a distinctly different pattern between beats and misses. </li>
</ul>


A detailed analysis of price patterns, implied vol and the earnings implied jump in TSLA options compared to historical outcomes. 
Pre- and post-earnings price movements are examined to assess directional tendencies, patterns and magnitude.
Price returns in the 1-month following earnings show a distinctly different pattern between beats and misses. 


TSLA Earnings: Volatility Setup and Post-Release Price Behavior

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Tesla is facing one of its most turbulent periods in recent memory.</li><li>In just the past few weeks, the electric vehicle giant reported its worst quarterly deliveries since 2022, saw its stock fall over 44% from its December peak, and lost one of its top software executives.</li><li>Tesla’s Q1 2025 vehicle deliveries came in significantly below expectations at 336,681 units, triggering a wave of analyst downgrades, with JPMorgan citing “unprecedented brand damage” as a key factor.</li></ul>

Tesla is facing one of its most turbulent periods in recent memory.In just the past few weeks, the electric vehicle giant reported its worst quarterly deliveries since 2022, saw its stock fall over 44% from its December peak, and lost one of its top software executives.Tesla’s Q1 2025 vehicle deliveries came in significantly below expectations at 336,681 units, triggering a wave of analyst downgrades, with JPMorgan citing “unprecedented brand damage” as a key factor.

Tesla’s Freefall: Why Sales Are Plunging, Executives Are Leaving, and Investors Are Panicking!

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>Politico just published a <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/04/02/trump-musk-leaving-political-liability-00265784" target="_blank" rel="noopener">report saying that Elon Musk is about to Step Back from DOGE</a>, if true, this could impact somehow <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> stock price.</li>
<li>Death threats and the spate vandalism directed at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a>'s cars, plus Musk being viewed as a potential political liability by members of the Trump Administration are the drivers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> brand has been heavily damaged by Musk involvement in politics, sales are falling gobally and competitors like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> are rising. The stock is short-term OVERBOUGHT. </li>
</ul>


Politico just published a report saying that Elon Musk is about to Step Back from DOGE, if true, this could impact somehow Tesla (TSLA US) stock price.
Death threats and the spate vandalism directed at Tesla (TSLA US)'s cars, plus Musk being viewed as a potential political liability by members of the Trump Administration are the drivers.

Tesla (TSLA US) brand has been heavily damaged by Musk involvement in politics, sales are falling gobally and competitors like BYD (1211 HK) are rising. The stock is short-term OVERBOUGHT. 


TESLA'S Outlook After Rumors Elon Musk Will Step Back from DOGE

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>Tesla’s highly anticipated trial launch of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system in China has suffered a setback, as some users report not receiving the feature update due to a delay in regulatory approval.</li><li>Tesla China said Monday that it is working to secure government approval for both software and hardware under new national guidelines issued by China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation.</li><li>The company said the trial will resume once all preparations are complete.</li></ul>

Tesla’s highly anticipated trial launch of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system in China has suffered a setback, as some users report not receiving the feature update due to a delay in regulatory approval.Tesla China said Monday that it is working to secure government approval for both software and hardware under new national guidelines issued by China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation.The company said the trial will resume once all preparations are complete.

Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Trial in China Delayed by Regulatory Checks 

<ul><li>Tesla’s stock has been in free fall, shedding nearly 50% of its value since mid-December, wiping out over $800 billion in market cap.</li><li>The most recent 15% plunge on Monday marked Tesla’s worst trading day since September 2020, and the stock is now on track for its seventh straight week of losses—its longest losing streak since going public in 2010.</li><li>This sharp decline is not a typical market correction but the result of a combination of fundamental weaknesses, political controversies, and competitive pressures that are raising serious questions about Tesla’s future trajectory.</li></ul>

Tesla’s stock has been in free fall, shedding nearly 50% of its value since mid-December, wiping out over $800 billion in market cap.The most recent 15% plunge on Monday marked Tesla’s worst trading day since September 2020, and the stock is now on track for its seventh straight week of losses—its longest losing streak since going public in 2010.This sharp decline is not a typical market correction but the result of a combination of fundamental weaknesses, political controversies, and competitive pressures that are raising serious questions about Tesla’s future trajectory.

Tesla's $800 Billion Wipeout: The Troubling Signs Investors Can’t Ignore!

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

TSLA Earnings: Volatility Setup and Post-Release Price Behavior

Analysis of TSLA options reveals distinct patterns in price movements pre- and post-earnings, with notable differences between beats and misses.

John Ley

Tesla’s Freefall: Why Sales Are Plunging, Executives Are Leaving, and Investors Are Panicking!

Tesla is facing one of its most turbulent periods in recent memory. In just the past few weeks, the electric vehicle giant reported its worst...

Baptista Research

TESLA'S Outlook After Rumors Elon Musk Will Step Back from DOGE

Elon Musk's potential step back from DOGE could impact Tesla stock price. Competitors like BYD are rising as Tesla sales fall globally.The stock...

Nico Rosti

Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Trial in China Delayed by Regulatory Checks

Tesla’s highly anticipated trial launch of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system in China has suffered a setback, as some users report not receiving...

Caixin Global

Tesla's $800 Billion Wipeout: The Troubling Signs Investors Can’t Ignore!

Tesla’s stock has been in free fall, shedding nearly 50% of its value since mid-December, wiping out over $800 billion in market cap. The most...

Baptista Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSLA Earnings: Volatility Setup and Post-Release Price Behavior

​Analysis of TSLA options reveals distinct patterns in price movements pre- and post-earnings, with notable differences between beats and misses.

John Ley

Tesla’s Freefall: Why Sales Are Plunging, Executives Are Leaving, and Investors Are Panicking!

Tesla is facing one of its most turbulent periods in recent memory. In just the past few weeks, the electric vehicle giant reported its worst...

Baptista Research

TESLA'S Outlook After Rumors Elon Musk Will Step Back from DOGE

​Elon Musk's potential step back from DOGE could impact Tesla stock price. Competitors like BYD are rising as Tesla sales fall globally.The stock...

Nico Rosti

Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Trial in China Delayed by Regulatory Checks

Tesla’s highly anticipated trial launch of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system in China has suffered a setback, as some users report not receiving...

Caixin Global

Tesla's $800 Billion Wipeout: The Troubling Signs Investors Can’t Ignore!

Tesla’s stock has been in free fall, shedding nearly 50% of its value since mid-December, wiping out over $800 billion in market cap. The most...

Baptista Research

Analysis of TSLA options reveals distinct patterns in price movements pre- and post-earnings, with notable differences between beats and misses.

Elon Musk's potential step back from DOGE could impact Tesla stock price. Competitors like BYD are rising as Tesla sales fall globally.The stock...