Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>MSFT is set to report Q4 earnings after the market close on Wednesday, July 30.</li>
<li>We examine the implied volatility and projected earnings-day move following a near 30% rally since the last report.</li>
<li>Volatility metrics and historical earnings reactions are analyzed to help frame expectations.</li>
</ul>


MSFT is set to report Q4 earnings after the market close on Wednesday, July 30.
We examine the implied volatility and projected earnings-day move following a near 30% rally since the last report.
Volatility metrics and historical earnings reactions are analyzed to help frame expectations.


MSFT Q4 Earnings: Exceedingly Calm Trading Drags Implied Vol Lower

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In early 2025, Tesla finds itself at a critical juncture as its global vehicle deliveries for 2024 dipped by 1% to 1.79 million units, marking the first annual decline in over a decade.</li><li>Despite this setback, Tesla's market capitalization surged by approximately 53%, positioning the company as a $1.2 trillion giant surpassing the combined value of the next 20 largest automakers.</li><li>This paradox underscores a shift in Tesla's valuation drivers—from traditional car sales to ambitious ventures in robotics, artificial intelligence, and the promising but uncertain robotaxi business.</li></ul>

In early 2025, Tesla finds itself at a critical juncture as its global vehicle deliveries for 2024 dipped by 1% to 1.79 million units, marking the first annual decline in over a decade.Despite this setback, Tesla's market capitalization surged by approximately 53%, positioning the company as a $1.2 trillion giant surpassing the combined value of the next 20 largest automakers.This paradox underscores a shift in Tesla's valuation drivers—from traditional car sales to ambitious ventures in robotics, artificial intelligence, and the promising but uncertain robotaxi business.

Tesla's Delivery Dilemma: How Chinese Rivals Are Stealing the Spotlight!

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>Tesla has shortened its supplier payment cycle to about 90 days in 2024, continuing to outpace rivals in financial efficiency and supplier relations.</li><li>Tesla’s Shanghai factory, where 95% of parts are sourced locally, reflects the company’s deep integration with China’s supply chain.</li><li>The move highlights Tesla’s unique approach to balancing cost-cutting and supplier support in an industry under strain from intense competition, price wars and shifting dynamics between automakers and parts providers.</li></ul>

Tesla has shortened its supplier payment cycle to about 90 days in 2024, continuing to outpace rivals in financial efficiency and supplier relations.Tesla’s Shanghai factory, where 95% of parts are sourced locally, reflects the company’s deep integration with China’s supply chain.The move highlights Tesla’s unique approach to balancing cost-cutting and supplier support in an industry under strain from intense competition, price wars and shifting dynamics between automakers and parts providers.

Tesla Shortens Supplier Payment Terms to 90 Days Through Cost-Saving Innovations 

<ul><li>During Tesla's third quarter of 2024 financial report, several key points emerged that provide an overview of the company's performance and strategic direction.</li><li>One of the prominent highlights was Tesla's achievement of record deliveries in a market experiencing overall industry declines.</li><li>This emphasizes Tesla's ability to navigate a challenging automotive landscape, an important consideration for investors assessing the company's resilience and market positioning.</li></ul>

During Tesla's third quarter of 2024 financial report, several key points emerged that provide an overview of the company's performance and strategic direction.One of the prominent highlights was Tesla's achievement of record deliveries in a market experiencing overall industry declines.This emphasizes Tesla's ability to navigate a challenging automotive landscape, an important consideration for investors assessing the company's resilience and market positioning.

Tesla’s Big Bet: Why Trump’s Autonomous Push Could Supercharge Their Future!

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside healthy market dynamics which have continued to improve.</li>
<li>Two weeks ago, our election day report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and with the SPX/QQQ/IWM pulling back to their 20-day MAs, it's time to buy the pullback <em>again</em>.</li>
<li>We continue to expect significant upside into year-end and early 2025, and we expect support at the 20-day MAs on the aforementioned indexes (though support at 50-day MAs is possible).</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside healthy market dynamics which have continued to improve.
Two weeks ago, our election day report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and with the SPX/QQQ/IWM pulling back to their 20-day MAs, it's time to buy the pullback again.
We continue to expect significant upside into year-end and early 2025, and we expect support at the 20-day MAs on the aforementioned indexes (though support at 50-day MAs is possible).


Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

MSFT Q4 Earnings: Exceedingly Calm Trading Drags Implied Vol Lower

Despite a nearly 30% rally, MSFT’s volatility setup reflects a rare stretch of subdued trading ahead of a closely watched earnings release.

John Ley

Tesla's Delivery Dilemma: How Chinese Rivals Are Stealing the Spotlight!

In early 2025, Tesla finds itself at a critical juncture as its global vehicle deliveries for 2024 dipped by 1% to 1.79 million units, marking the...

Baptista Research

Tesla Shortens Supplier Payment Terms to 90 Days Through Cost-Saving Innovations

Tesla has shortened its supplier payment cycle to about 90 days in 2024, continuing to outpace rivals in financial efficiency and supplier...

Caixin Global

Tesla’s Big Bet: Why Trump’s Autonomous Push Could Supercharge Their Future!

During Tesla's third quarter of 2024 financial report, several key points emerged that provide an overview of the company's performance and...

Baptista Research

Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Buy the Pullback Again, Same as Our Election Day Report; S&P 500 $SPX, Nasdaq 100 $QQQ, Russell 2000 $IWM Testing Confluence of Support at 20-day...

Vermilion Research

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