China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order in China auto market (+/+/+/+/+)</li>
<li>XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50%, outperforming the industry (+)</li>
<li>ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn Efgartigimod received NMPA approval. We expect 2023 revenue US$10mn (-)</li>
</ul>


XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order in China auto market (+/+/+/+/+)
XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50%, outperforming the industry (+)
ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn Efgartigimod received NMPA approval. We expect 2023 revenue US$10mn (-)


China TMT Update-XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK/ZLAB: 16 Automakers Pledge to Maintain Order;G6 Conversion

Concise Playbook for the Week, Global Markets Playbook

Kevin George

Concise Playbook for the Week

Global Markets Playbook

I am an active trader in stocks, FX and commodities with over 15 years' market experience. I hold a master's degree in finance and have developed a strong skill base in technical analysis. 

Alongside technical setups I will provide earnings analysis, company valuation analysis and macroeconomic studies for the key market releases.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China accounts for over half of the automaker's global sales.</li>
<li>There is also potential for Chinese brands to encroach on European markets.</li>
<li>Tesla's valuation could be impacted by protectionism and nationalism, with questions over how China will tolerate overseas competitors in its electric vehicle market.</li>
</ul>


China accounts for over half of the automaker's global sales.
There is also potential for Chinese brands to encroach on European markets.
Tesla's valuation could be impacted by protectionism and nationalism, with questions over how China will tolerate overseas competitors in its electric vehicle market.


Tesla Earnings Preview: Cash Flow Negative And An Elephant In The Room

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul>
<li>We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li>
<li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li>
<li>We are of the view that Tesla is still resilient, while NIO’s key metrics in Jun were below our expectation.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.
Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.
We are of the view that Tesla is still resilient, while NIO’s key metrics in Jun were below our expectation.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jun leading indicators: NIO weaker than expected

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Robosense Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robosense-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (ROBO HK)</a> (RT) is looking to raise around US$300m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by JPM and China Renaissance.</li>
<li>As of Mar 23, it had earned design wins for mass production of LiDAR for 52 vehicles with 21OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, ranking No. 1 globally, according to CIC.</li>
<li>As of Mar 23, it had served the largest number of automotive OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, according to CIC.</li>
</ul>



Robosense Technology (ROBO HK) (RT) is looking to raise around US$300m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by JPM and China Renaissance.
As of Mar 23, it had earned design wins for mass production of LiDAR for 52 vehicles with 21OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, ranking No. 1 globally, according to CIC.
As of Mar 23, it had served the largest number of automotive OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, according to CIC.


Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC, Bond Angle, LLC

Vicki Bryan

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC

Bond Angle, LLC

Insightful commentary and analysis on bond markets and market movers, including financial, economic, and industry catalysts and management shenanigans. 

High yield market investment research

Credit

<ul>
<li>Prices have been slashed and slashed again, on top of expensive incentives like free charging, cheap leases, &amp; juicy subsidies. </li>
<li>But Tesla has been unable to ease elevated inventory in key markets.</li>
<li>This signals even record deliveries will produce lower quality revenue and disappointing margins &amp; profits for the second quarter.</li>
</ul>


Prices have been slashed and slashed again, on top of expensive incentives like free charging, cheap leases, &amp; juicy subsidies. 
But Tesla has been unable to ease elevated inventory in key markets.
This signals even record deliveries will produce lower quality revenue and disappointing margins &amp; profits for the second quarter.


United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

China TMT Update-XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK/ZLAB: 16 Automakers Pledge to Maintain Order;G6 Conversion

XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order;XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50% (+)ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tesla Earnings Preview: Cash Flow Negative And An Elephant In The Room

China accounts for over half of the automaker's global sales. There is also potential for Chinese brands to encroach on European markets. Tesla's...

Kevin George

China Auto Sector – Jun leading indicators: NIO weaker than expected

We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

Robosense Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Robosense Technology (RT) is looking to raise around US$300m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by JPM and China...

Sumeet Singh

Tesla's Panicky Q2: Everything Must Go!

Tesla threw out all the stops to pull off a record deliveries in Q2 that beat market estimates. The trouble is, as I warned in this report, doing...

Vicki Bryan

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