Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in March but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> is the largest buy while capping results in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> being the largest sell by far.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of nearly US$3bn. There are a few stocks with more than 0.2x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in March but there are a lot of float and capping changes.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) is the largest buy while capping results in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) being the largest sell by far.
Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of nearly US$3bn. There are a few stocks with more than 0.2x ADV to trade.


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Over US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC expects the foundry, semiconductor, electronics, industrial technology, and global GDP to be $0.25 trillion, $1 trillion, $3 trillion, $12 trillion, and $145 trillion, respectively, in 2030F</li>
<li>Transistor technology is constantly evolving, and FinFET architecture will be followed by Nanosheet and others.</li>
<li>In the transition, the automotive market belongs to IDM companies, but the utility of ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) could fall under Foundry territory.  </li>
</ul>


TSMC expects the foundry, semiconductor, electronics, industrial technology, and global GDP to be $0.25 trillion, $1 trillion, $3 trillion, $12 trillion, and $145 trillion, respectively, in 2030F
Transistor technology is constantly evolving, and FinFET architecture will be followed by Nanosheet and others.
In the transition, the automotive market belongs to IDM companies, but the utility of ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) could fall under Foundry territory.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Key points
<ul>
<li>TI has continued to innovate in analog chip design over time</li>
<li>Their chips are used in a variety of industries including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics</li>
<li>TI's analog chips are found in a wide range of products from smartphones to medical devices</li>
</ul>
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Key points

TI has continued to innovate in analog chip design over time
Their chips are used in a variety of industries including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics
TI's analog chips are found in a wide range of products from smartphones to medical devices

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) - Monday, Nov 20, 2023

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Texas Instruments, an American multinational company, has shared their Q4 2023 earnings release.</li><li>The financial results indicated a downturn in revenue, decreased by 10% sequentially and 13% year-on-year to $4.1 billion.</li><li>This decrease was largely due to declining sales in the Analog segment (12% YoY), the Embedded Processing segment (10% YoY), and the Other segment (25% YoY).</li></ul>

Texas Instruments, an American multinational company, has shared their Q4 2023 earnings release.The financial results indicated a downturn in revenue, decreased by 10% sequentially and 13% year-on-year to $4.1 billion.This decrease was largely due to declining sales in the Analog segment (12% YoY), the Embedded Processing segment (10% YoY), and the Other segment (25% YoY).

Texas Instruments: A Tale of Strong Cash Generation and Capital Management! - Major Drivers

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)'s</a> updated revenue outlook for 1Q24F suggests that it could be relatively flat QoQ..</li>
<li>UMC's Asian clients, particularly <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a>, are experiencing increased demand in 1Q24F.</li>
<li>On the other hand, European and American clients are more bearish in 1Q24F and have not shown signs of improvement yet.</li>
</ul>


The United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)'s updated revenue outlook for 1Q24F suggests that it could be relatively flat QoQ..
UMC's Asian clients, particularly Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) and Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT), are experiencing increased demand in 1Q24F.
On the other hand, European and American clients are more bearish in 1Q24F and have not shown signs of improvement yet.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q24F Outlook Could Be Flat QoQ; Asian Clients Show Optimism.

United States

Texas Instruments Incorporated operates as a semiconductor design and manufacturing company. The Company develops analog ICs and embedded processors. Texas Instruments has manufacturing or sales operations worldwide.

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Texas Instruments (TXN US)

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Over US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA

TSMC is the largest buy and NVIDIA is the largest sell at the SMH rebalance in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a round-trip...

Brian Freitas

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...

Patrick Liao

Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) - Monday, Nov 20, 2023

TI has continued to innovate in analog chip design over time. Their chips are used in a variety of industries including automotive, industrial, and...

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Texas Instruments: A Tale of Strong Cash Generation and Capital Management! - Major Drivers

Texas Instruments, an American multinational company, has shared their Q4 2023 earnings release. The financial results indicated a downturn in...

Baptista Research

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q24F Outlook Could Be Flat QoQ; Asian Clients Show Optimism.

UMC's updated revenue outlook for 1Q24F suggests flat growth compared to 4Q23, with increased demand from Asian clients but bearish sentiment from...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Over US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA

TSMC is the largest buy and NVIDIA is the largest sell at the SMH rebalance in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a round-trip...

Brian Freitas

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

​TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...

Patrick Liao

Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) - Monday, Nov 20, 2023

TI has continued to innovate in analog chip design over time. Their chips are used in a variety of industries including automotive, industrial, and...

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Texas Instruments: A Tale of Strong Cash Generation and Capital Management! - Major Drivers

Texas Instruments, an American multinational company, has shared their Q4 2023 earnings release. The financial results indicated a downturn in...

Baptista Research

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q24F Outlook Could Be Flat QoQ; Asian Clients Show Optimism.

​UMC's updated revenue outlook for 1Q24F suggests flat growth compared to 4Q23, with increased demand from Asian clients but bearish sentiment from...

Patrick Liao

TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...

UMC's updated revenue outlook for 1Q24F suggests flat growth compared to 4Q23, with increased demand from Asian clients but bearish sentiment from...