Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> is proposing the spin-off and separate listing on the SET of non-wholly-owned ThaiNamthip Corporation Limited, a Coca-Cola franchise operator in Thailand, Cambodia and Laos.</li>
<li>On the 30th September, Swire completed the 55.7% acquisition for THB42,615.7mn (HK$9,470.1mn). ThaiNamthip concurrently sought to acquire a 30% stake in Swire Coca-Cola’s operations in Vietnam and Cambodia for HK$2,114.6mn.</li>
<li>At the time of the acquisition, ThaiNamthip had an extrapolative price tag of ~HK$17bn. Should the proposed spin-off complete, ThaiNamthip will remain a non-wholly owned subsidiary of Swire.</li>
</ul>



Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) is proposing the spin-off and separate listing on the SET of non-wholly-owned ThaiNamthip Corporation Limited, a Coca-Cola franchise operator in Thailand, Cambodia and Laos.
On the 30th September, Swire completed the 55.7% acquisition for THB42,615.7mn (HK$9,470.1mn). ThaiNamthip concurrently sought to acquire a 30% stake in Swire Coca-Cola’s operations in Vietnam and Cambodia for HK$2,114.6mn.
At the time of the acquisition, ThaiNamthip had an extrapolative price tag of ~HK$17bn. Should the proposed spin-off complete, ThaiNamthip will remain a non-wholly owned subsidiary of Swire.


Swire Pac (19 HK): Thai Beverage Spin-Off

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a>  reported marginal revenue growth and a slight decline in EBITDA for the December quarter (1QFY25), even as its spirits segment experienced a sharper drop in both.</li>
<li>With its primarily Thailand-based spirits segment seemingly in a structural decline, growth in other segments must offset the impact on overall sales.</li>
<li>With limited potential to unlock value from its beer division, particularly amid the sharp decline in BeerCo's valuations, Thai Bev seems increasingly off investors' radar.</li>
</ul>



Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)  reported marginal revenue growth and a slight decline in EBITDA for the December quarter (1QFY25), even as its spirits segment experienced a sharper drop in both.
With its primarily Thailand-based spirits segment seemingly in a structural decline, growth in other segments must offset the impact on overall sales.
With limited potential to unlock value from its beer division, particularly amid the sharp decline in BeerCo's valuations, Thai Bev seems increasingly off investors' radar.


Thai Beverage: In Low Spirits. Now a Low- Risk Dividend Play

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

<ul><li>Over the five trading sessions from Nov 29 to Dec 5, institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional inflow of S$418 million.</li><li>Stocks that led the net institutional inflow over the five sessions until Dec 5 inclusive were DBS, Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust (Reit), Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Sembcorp Industries, Singtel, Keppel, Thai Beverage, Seatrium, Jardine Matheson, and Singapore Airlines.</li><li>Union Steel ranks among the 250 most-traded stocks this year, and among the 150 stocks that booked the highest net institutional inflow.</li></ul>

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 29 to Dec 5, institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional inflow of S$418 million.Stocks that led the net institutional inflow over the five sessions until Dec 5 inclusive were DBS, Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust (Reit), Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Sembcorp Industries, Singtel, Keppel, Thai Beverage, Seatrium, Jardine Matheson, and Singapore Airlines.Union Steel ranks among the 250 most-traded stocks this year, and among the 150 stocks that booked the highest net institutional inflow.

Marco Polo Marine Directors Boost Shareholding

<ul>
<li>I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Five new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a>'s scrip merger; and cash Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151:1" rel="noopener">Suntec (SUN SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/latin-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8770:1" rel="noopener">Latin Resources (LRS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-property-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9850:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">Sg Fleet (SGF AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphb-capital-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8540:1" rel="noopener">MPHB (MPHB MK)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Five new deals this week: De Grey Mining (DEG AU)'s scrip merger; and cash Offers for ESR (1821 HK), HKBN (1310 HK), Lifestyle China (2136 HK), and Suntec (SUN SP).
Key updates/news took place on: Latin Resources (LRS AU), Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU), Sg Fleet (SGF AU), Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), and MPHB (MPHB MK).



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

<ul>
<li>For the month of November 2024, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$15bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in November was ~44%. The average premium YTD is ~43%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of November 2024, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$15bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in November was ~44%. The average premium YTD is ~43%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2024: Net One System, Amcor/Berry, I D & E Holdings, SG Fleet, Macromill

Thailand

Thai Beverage is a leading beverage company in Southeast Asia, manufacturing, marketing, and distributing alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, as well as food products. Its diverse portfolio includes spirits, beer (such as Chang Beer), non-alcoholic beverages like Oishi green tea, and various food offerings. The company is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, and was founded on October 29, 2003.

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Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)

Swire Pac (19 HK): Thai Beverage Spin-Off

Quantifying unlisted operations is positive. However, unless ThaiNamthip's valuation surprises to the upside, its listing impact may be limited....

David Blennerhassett

Thai Beverage: In Low Spirits. Now a Low- Risk Dividend Play

For income-focused investors seeking steady dividends with limited downside, Thai Beverage remains a proposition worth considering in the current...

Devi Subhakesan

Marco Polo Marine Directors Boost Shareholding

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 29 to Dec 5, institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional inflow of...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2024: Net One System, Amcor/Berry, I D & E Holdings, SG Fleet, Macromill

For Nov 2024, 14 new transactions were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$15bn. The ave. premium for these new transactions...

David Blennerhassett

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