Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX & Rates

<p>In this note, we compare the performance of Latin American and Asian currencies as the former had started outperforming earlier this month but the latter has since caught up. The performance gap between the two remains at its widest in 10 years.</p><p>Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.</p>

In this note, we compare the performance of Latin American and Asian currencies as the former had started outperforming earlier this month but the latter has since caught up. The performance gap between the two remains at its widest in 10 years.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

FX Dashboard: LatAm FX Outperformance Versus Asia Did Not Last

<p>In this note, we go over the reasons behind the underperformance of the Thai baht this year. With the underperformance likely to continue for the time being, we expect an opportunity to buy the currency to open up in the coming weeks.</p><p>Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.</p>

In this note, we go over the reasons behind the underperformance of the Thai baht this year. With the underperformance likely to continue for the time being, we expect an opportunity to buy the currency to open up in the coming weeks.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

<p>In this note, we look at the strong negative correlation between EM currencies and the dollar, and its implication for trading opportunities within EM.</p><p>Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.</p>

In this note, we look at the strong negative correlation between EM currencies and the dollar, and its implication for trading opportunities within EM.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

FX Dashboard: EM Currencies on Aggregate Have Mirrored the Dollar This Year

<p>As the Canadian dollar (CAD) has rallied following the hawkish surprise from the Bank of Canada, we go over the drivers behind our trade recommendation to buy the Mexican peso vs CAD and recommend holding the trade.</p><p>Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.</p>

As the Canadian dollar (CAD) has rallied following the hawkish surprise from the Bank of Canada, we go over the drivers behind our trade recommendation to buy the Mexican peso vs CAD and recommend holding the trade.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

FX Dashboard: Update on Mexican Peso Vs Canadian Dollar Trade Recommendation

Smartkarma Research Team, Smartkarma

Smartkarma Research

Smartkarma Research Team

Smartkarma

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<p>For our next webinar, we're excited to host Insight Provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/gautam-jain-phd-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:16876" rel="noopener">Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA</a> , who will be going over the process with which he comes up with trade ideas in Emerging Markets FX and Rates. </p><div><h3>The webinar will be hosted on Wednesday, 28 April 2021, 11:00 SGT/HKT.</h3></div><div>
<div class="content-highlight"><h2><a href="https://share.hsforms.com/1H9pFZOB-RF2J00kbvMmxcw2c5gj?zoom_webinar_id=87206774217" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Register for the Webinar here</a></h2></div>
<div id="ember2586"><div><div>Gautam Jain has over 20 years of experience covering global emerging fixed income markets, both as a strategist and a portfolio manager. He has worked in buy-side and sell-side firms, including The Rohatyn Group (TRG Management), Barclays Capital, and Millennium Partners. He has helped manage emerging markets local-currency and hard-currency debt funds. The assets that he covers include currencies, interest rates, sovereign credits, and related derivatives. He specialises in portfolio construction, smart-beta index creation, and asset allocation. He holds a Ph.D. in Operations Research from Columbia University and is a CFA charter holder.</div></div></div>
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For our next webinar, we're excited to host Insight Provider Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA , who will be going over the process with which he comes up with trade ideas in Emerging Markets FX and Rates. The webinar will be hosted on Wednesday, 28 April 2021, 11:00 SGT/HKT.
Register for the Webinar here
Gautam Jain has over 20 years of experience covering global emerging fixed income markets, both as a strategist and a portfolio manager. He has worked in buy-side and sell-side firms, including The Rohatyn Group (TRG Management), Barclays Capital, and Millennium Partners. He has helped manage emerging markets local-currency and hard-currency debt funds. The assets that he covers include currencies, interest rates, sovereign credits, and related derivatives. He specialises in portfolio construction, smart-beta index creation, and asset allocation. He holds a Ph.D. in Operations Research from Columbia University and is a CFA charter holder.



Smartkarma Webinar | Alpha Bites: Trade Ideas in FX and Rates

Thailand

The Thai baht is the official currency of Thailand. 

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FX Dashboard: LatAm FX Outperformance Versus Asia Did Not Last

We compare the performance of Latin American and Asian currencies as the latter has caught up to the former. However, the performance gap between...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX Dashboard: Thai Baht Not Yet a Buy

We expect an opportunity to buy the Thai baht to open up in the coming weeks as the underperformance of the currency is likely to continue for the...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX Dashboard: EM Currencies on Aggregate Have Mirrored the Dollar This Year

In this note, we look at the strong negative correlation between EM currencies and the dollar, and its implication for trading opportunities within...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX Dashboard: Update on Mexican Peso Vs Canadian Dollar Trade Recommendation

As the Canadian dollar (CAD) has rallied following the hawkish surprise from the BoC, we go over the drivers behind our trade recommendation to buy...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Smartkarma Webinar | Alpha Bites: Trade Ideas in FX and Rates

On 28 April, 11am SGT, join our webinar with Insight Provider Gautam Jain, who will be going over the process with which he comes up with trade...

Smartkarma Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)