External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>State Bank of India: SBIN’s earnings were in line with estimates with healthy loan growth (~16% YoY) and stable NIMs, offset by soft deposit growth and elevated credit costs</li><li>Loan growth was strong across segments, offset by a slowdown in the Xpress credit portfolio</li><li>Deposit growth (+8% YoY, -0.3% QoQ) was muted with the CASA ratio dropping to 39% (-45 bps QoQ), in line with industry trends</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

State Bank of India: SBIN’s earnings were in line with estimates with healthy loan growth (~16% YoY) and stable NIMs, offset by soft deposit growth and elevated credit costsLoan growth was strong across segments, offset by a slowdown in the Xpress credit portfolioDeposit growth (+8% YoY, -0.3% QoQ) was muted with the CASA ratio dropping to 39% (-45 bps QoQ), in line with industry trendsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Thermax, Aptus Value Housing Finance India

<ul><li>ABB India: ABB reported its best-ever quarter with revenue/EBITDA/PAT at INR 30.8/5.6/4.5bn, beating our estimates by 9.5/37.6/35%</li><li>The company achieved a strong Q1CY24 order inflow at INR 36bn (+15%/+14% YoY/QoQ), taking the backlog to INR 89bn</li><li>Base Q1CY24 order inflows grew 3% YoY to INR 32.3bn and a large data centre order aided growth with inflows growing 15% YoY to INR 36.1bn</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ABB India: ABB reported its best-ever quarter with revenue/EBITDA/PAT at INR 30.8/5.6/4.5bn, beating our estimates by 9.5/37.6/35%The company achieved a strong Q1CY24 order inflow at INR 36bn (+15%/+14% YoY/QoQ), taking the backlog to INR 89bnBase Q1CY24 order inflows grew 3% YoY to INR 32.3bn and a large data centre order aided growth with inflows growing 15% YoY to INR 36.1bnContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ABB India, Thermax, Aarti Industries, Karur Vysya Bank

<ul><li>NHAI’s FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect pick-up from H2FY25: With minimal awarding activity in Q4FY24, the overall FY24 awarding activity remained muted</li><li>FY24 was a truncated year for ordering with ~INR 330bn worth of project awards (vs average INR 1.2trn for the previous year)</li><li>NHAI is re-modelling the award mix towards BOT toll with INR 2trn worth of projects being envisaged to be bid out under this model, which seems to be a tall ask</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NHAI’s FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect pick-up from H2FY25: With minimal awarding activity in Q4FY24, the overall FY24 awarding activity remained mutedFY24 was a truncated year for ordering with ~INR 330bn worth of project awards (vs average INR 1.2trn for the previous year)NHAI is re-modelling the award mix towards BOT toll with INR 2trn worth of projects being envisaged to be bid out under this model, which seems to be a tall askContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Strong Ordering Ex-Roads

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.</li>
<li>As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.</li>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks</li>
</ul>


Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.
As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.
Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks


Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

<ul><li>NHAI has delivered a very successful highway program, following the advent of Bharatmala (BM-1)</li><li>The huge scaling up of the NH program in terms of getting the model right, awarding, executing, financing, creating a highly competitive vendor ecosystem, and monetizing assets is no mean task and involves significant execution complexities that could have only been handled by the N’HAI’ Way</li><li>We have done an in-depth analysis of the NHAI financial model and believe that concerns about debt may get tackled from FY31 onwards as NHAI is capable of meeting its debt commitments on its own and solely relying on budgetary support for additional NH capex</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NHAI has delivered a very successful highway program, following the advent of Bharatmala (BM-1)The huge scaling up of the NH program in terms of getting the model right, awarding, executing, financing, creating a highly competitive vendor ecosystem, and monetizing assets is no mean task and involves significant execution complexities that could have only been handled by the N’HAI’ WayWe have done an in-depth analysis of the NHAI financial model and believe that concerns about debt may get tackled from FY31 onwards as NHAI is capable of meeting its debt commitments on its own and solely relying on budgetary support for additional NH capexContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Thermax Ltd manufactures equipment and machinery used to both produce and to conserve energy. The Company operates through a number of divisions, including Boilers, Heat Recovery Steam Generators, Water Treatment Plants and Air Pollution Control Equipment. In addition, Thermax  produces steam and gas turbines and diesel gensets through a number of strategic alliances.

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Thermax (TMX IN)

HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Thermax, Aptus Value Housing Finance India

State Bank of India: SBIN’s earnings were in line with estimates with healthy loan growth (~16% YoY) and stable NIMs, offset by soft deposit growth...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ABB India, Thermax, Aarti Industries, Karur Vysya Bank

ABB India: ABB reported its best-ever quarter with revenue/EBITDA/PAT at INR 30.8/5.6/4.5bn, beating our estimates by 9.5/37.6/35%

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Strong Ordering Ex-Roads

NHAI’s FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect pick-up from H2FY25: With minimal awarding activity in Q4FY24, the overall FY24 awarding activity...

HDFC Securities

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Overall Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over; Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Industrials: N’HAI’ Way

We have done an in-depth analysis of the NHAI financial model and believe that concerns about debt may get tackled from FY31 onwards

HDFC Securities

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